Ajax at Zwolle

Updated

Ajax

83.4%10.9%5.7%
Ajax WinDrawWin
3.07Projected Goals 0.73
3Final Score 1

Zwolle

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
T 2-2 at Sparta Rotterdam+115
T 2-2 vs Fortuna Sittard-190
W 0-2 vs Utrecht+100
L 0-2 at AZ Alkmaar+290
L 2-3 at Heerenveen-120
Zwolle
Money Line
L 1-3 at Fortuna Sittard+380
L 0-2 at Heerenveen+575
L 7-1 vs PSV Eindhoven+1000
W 2-0 at Sparta Rotterdam+320
W 0-1 vs Vitesse+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-135--170-164--164-164-
Zwolle+340-+400+400-+400+400-
Draw+285-+320+340-+340+340-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-130-----180-180-
Zwolle+315----+450+450-
Draw+305----+340+340-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Zwolle: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 40.0%
Zwolle: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Zwolle: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -180 to -190
Zwolle ML moved from +410 to +400

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Zwolle: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 40.0%
Zwolle: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Zwolle: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -175 to -185
Zwolle ML moved from +465 to +450

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-122-o3¼-108o3¼-111-o3¼-111o3¼-108-
Underu3+102-u3¼-112u3¼-109-u3¼-109u3¼-109-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.3%
 
No50.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.24%
Exactly 216.17%
Exactly 419.43%
Exactly 69.35%
Exactly 82.41%
Exactly 100.39%
 
Exactly 18.51%
Exactly 320.47%
Exactly 514.76%
Exactly 75.07%
Exactly 91.02%
Exactly 110.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 04.64%
Exactly 114.25%
Exactly 221.88%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 417.18%
Exactly 510.55%
Exactly 65.40%
Exactly 72.37%
Exactly 80.91%
Exactly 90.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Zwolle
Exactly 048.28%
Exactly 135.15%
Exactly 212.80%
Exactly 33.11%
Exactly 40.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 017.23%
Exactly 226.64%
Exactly 46.87%
Exactly 60.71%
 
Exactly 130.30%
Exactly 315.62%
Exactly 52.41%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 024.14%
Exactly 134.31%
Exactly 224.38%
Exactly 311.55%
Exactly 44.11%
Exactly 51.17%
Exactly 60.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Zwolle
Exactly 071.38%
Exactly 124.06%
Exactly 24.06%
Exactly 30.46%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals65.23%
Wins by 3+ goals44.24%
Wins by 4+ goals25.86%
Wins by 5+ goals13.09%
Zwolle
Wins by 2+ goals1.41%
Wins by 3+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Zwolle
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal18.03%
Wins by 2 goals20.99%
Wins by 3 goals18.38%
Wins by 4 goals12.77%
Wins by 5 goals7.32%
Zwolle
Wins by 1 goal4.26%
Wins by 2 goals1.16%
Wins by 3 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.76%2.24%
1.589.25%10.75%
2.573.08%26.92%
3.552.61%47.39%
4.533.18%66.82%
5.518.42%81.58%
6.59.07%90.93%
7.54.00%96.00%
8.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.36%4.64%
1.581.11%18.89%
2.559.23%40.77%
3.536.85%63.15%
4.519.66%80.34%
5.59.11%90.89%
6.53.72%96.28%
7.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals Zwolle Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.72%48.28%
1.516.56%83.44%
2.53.76%96.24%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.77%17.23%
1.552.47%47.53%
2.525.83%74.17%
3.510.21%89.79%
4.53.35%96.65%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Zwolle
Score0123
0
2.24%
1.63%
0.59%
0.14%
1
6.88%
5.01%
1.82%
0.44%
2
10.56%
7.69%
2.80%
0.68%
3
10.81%
7.87%
2.86%
0.70%
4
8.30%
6.04%
2.20%
0.53%
5
5.09%
3.71%
1.35%
0.33%
Ajax
1-06.88%
2-010.56%
2-17.69%
3-010.81%
3-17.87%
3-22.86%
4-08.30%
4-16.04%
4-22.20%
4-30.53%
5-05.09%
5-13.71%
5-21.35%
5-30.33%
Draw
0-02.24%
1-15.01%
2-22.80%
3-30.70%
Zwolle
0-11.63%
0-20.59%
1-21.82%
0-30.14%
1-30.44%
2-30.68%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Zwolle
Score0123
0
17.23%
5.81%
0.98%
0.11%
1
24.49%
8.26%
1.39%
0.16%
2
17.41%
5.87%
0.99%
0.11%
3
8.25%
2.78%
0.47%
0.05%
4
2.93%
0.99%
0.17%
0.02%
5
0.83%
0.28%
0.05%
0.01%
6
0.20%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Ajax
1-024.49%
2-017.41%
2-15.87%
3-08.25%
3-12.78%
3-20.47%
4-02.93%
4-10.99%
4-20.17%
5-00.83%
5-10.28%
6-00.20%
Draw
0-017.23%
1-18.26%
2-20.99%
Zwolle
0-15.81%
0-20.98%
1-21.39%
0-30.11%
1-30.16%
2-30.11%