VVV-Venlo at Willem II

Updated

VVV-Venlo

31.0%25.0%44.0%
VVV-Venlo WinDrawWillem II Win
1.26Projected Goals 1.54
2Final Score 2

Willem II

Last 5 Games

VVV-Venlo
Money Line
L 4-0 vs Emmen+380
L 1-3 at Ajax+2000
T 3-3 vs RKC Waalwijk+140
L 0-4 at Heracles Almelo+360
L 0-2 at Sparta Rotterdam+450
Willem II
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Utrecht+110
W 0-2 vs Heracles Almelo+120
L 2-4 at PSV Eindhoven+1780
W 0-1 vs Vitesse+265
L 0-2 at Feyenoord+1500

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
VVV-Venlo+506+469+525+580-+580+580-
Willem II-250-246-220-220--220-220-
Draw+316+330+340+365-+365+365-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
VVV-Venlo------
Willem II------
Draw------

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
VVV-Venlo: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

VVV-Venlo: 50.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

VVV-Venlo: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

VVV-Venlo: 40.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

VVV-Venlo ML moved from +476 to +469
Willem II ML moved from -210 to -220

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-105o2½-149o2¾-115o2¾-115-o2¾-115o2¾-115-
Underu2¾-115u2½+134u2¾-105u2¾-105-u2¾-105u2½+134-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.3%
 
No43.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.07%
Exactly 223.83%
Exactly 415.58%
Exactly 64.07%
Exactly 80.57%
 
Exactly 117.02%
Exactly 322.25%
Exactly 58.73%
Exactly 71.63%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - VVV-Venlo
Exactly 028.44%
Exactly 135.76%
Exactly 222.48%
Exactly 39.42%
Exactly 42.96%
Exactly 50.75%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 021.36%
Exactly 132.97%
Exactly 225.45%
Exactly 313.09%
Exactly 45.05%
Exactly 51.56%
Exactly 60.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.34%
Exactly 222.99%
Exactly 43.22%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.45%
Exactly 39.94%
Exactly 50.84%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - VVV-Venlo
Exactly 055.87%
Exactly 132.53%
Exactly 29.47%
Exactly 31.84%
Exactly 40.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 048.94%
Exactly 134.97%
Exactly 212.50%
Exactly 32.98%
Exactly 40.53%

Alternate Props

Spread

VVV-Venlo
Wins by 2+ goals13.13%
Wins by 3+ goals4.36%
Wins by 4+ goals1.16%
Wins by 5+ goals0.24%
Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals21.92%
Wins by 3+ goals8.70%
Wins by 4+ goals2.79%
Wins by 5+ goals0.70%
Wins by 6+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

VVV-Venlo
Willem II
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
VVV-Venlo
Wins by 1 goal17.88%
Wins by 2 goals8.77%
Wins by 3 goals3.20%
Wins by 4 goals0.92%
Wins by 5 goals0.21%
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal21.95%
Wins by 2 goals13.21%
Wins by 3 goals5.92%
Wins by 4 goals2.08%
Wins by 5 goals0.59%
Wins by 6 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.93%6.07%
1.576.91%23.09%
2.553.08%46.92%
3.530.83%69.17%
4.515.25%84.75%
5.56.52%93.48%
6.52.45%97.55%

Total Goals VVV-Venlo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.56%28.44%
1.535.81%64.19%
2.513.32%86.68%
3.53.90%96.10%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.64%21.36%
1.545.66%54.34%
2.520.22%79.78%
3.57.12%92.88%
4.52.07%97.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.66%27.34%
1.537.21%62.79%
2.514.22%85.78%
3.54.28%95.72%
4.51.06%98.94%

Score Props

Correct Score

VVV-Venlo
Willem II
Score012345
0
6.07%
9.38%
7.24%
3.72%
1.44%
0.44%
1
7.64%
11.79%
9.10%
4.68%
1.81%
0.56%
2
4.80%
7.41%
5.72%
2.94%
1.14%
0.35%
3
2.01%
3.11%
2.40%
1.23%
0.48%
0.15%
4
0.63%
0.98%
0.75%
0.39%
0.15%
0.05%
5
0.16%
0.25%
0.19%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
VVV-Venlo
1-07.64%
2-04.80%
2-17.41%
3-02.01%
3-13.11%
3-22.40%
4-00.63%
4-10.98%
4-20.75%
4-30.39%
5-00.16%
5-10.25%
5-20.19%
Draw
0-06.07%
1-111.79%
2-25.72%
3-31.23%
4-40.15%
Willem II
0-19.38%
0-27.24%
1-29.10%
0-33.72%
1-34.68%
2-32.94%
0-41.44%
1-41.81%
2-41.14%
3-40.48%
0-50.44%
1-50.56%
2-50.35%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

VVV-Venlo
Willem II
Score01234
0
27.34%
19.54%
6.98%
1.66%
0.30%
1
15.92%
11.38%
4.06%
0.97%
0.17%
2
4.63%
3.31%
1.18%
0.28%
0.05%
3
0.90%
0.64%
0.23%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.13%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
VVV-Venlo
1-015.92%
2-04.63%
2-13.31%
3-00.90%
3-10.64%
3-20.23%
4-00.13%
Draw
0-027.34%
1-111.38%
2-21.18%
Willem II
0-119.54%
0-26.98%
1-24.06%
0-31.66%
1-30.97%
2-30.28%
0-40.30%
1-40.17%
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