Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 13, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Groningen
Zwolle 		48.3%
26.0%		25.7%
+148
+190

1.52
1.05		2.57
o2¾-125
u3-125

Games for Mar 12, 2026
Games for Mar 14, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Zwolle
Sparta Rotterdam		30.0%
45.5%		24.4%
+325
-132

1
1		-1.45805-1.40944
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven		36.5%
37.0%		26.6%
+575
-238

1
2		-0.39266-0.99531
Ajax
Groningen		70.7%
11.1%		18.2%
+134
+190

1
3		-1.09943-2.19490
Utrecht
Heracles Almelo		41.4%
32.1%		26.5%
+118
+240

0
0		-1.28017-1.32942
AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht		55.9%
21.5%		22.6%
+224
+134

0
2		-0.87981-1.53563
Feyenoord
Twente		56.5%
21.0%		22.5%
+230
+105

0
2		-0.75788-1.55879
Ajax
Zwolle		83.4%
5.7%		10.9%
-116
+290

0
0		-1.42883-2.22082
PSV Eindhoven
Heracles Almelo		61.2%
17.9%		20.8%
-345
+750

3
1		-0.29479-0.49096
Sparta Rotterdam
Heerenveen		25.9%
50.4%		23.7%
+270
+101

1
2		-0.72861-0.68560
Sparta Rotterdam
AZ Alkmaar		9.5%
75.7%		14.7%
+260
+104

1
3		-0.75769-0.27809
Zwolle
Utrecht		19.6%
59.5%		20.9%
+425
-154

1
1		-1.47850-1.56456
Groningen
Twente		40.1%
32.0%		27.9%
+475
-189

1
2		-0.45819-1.14025
Heerenveen
PSV Eindhoven		15.4%
65.7%		18.9%
+875
-370

1
3		-0.27648-0.41957
Zwolle
Heerenveen		23.1%
54.1%		22.8%
+370
-139

2
4		-0.57953-0.61417
Utrecht
Groningen		32.4%
39.9%		27.7%
+320
-109

2
1		-1.47942-1.12726
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax		4.2%
86.8%		8.9%
+800
-323

1
4		-0.31025-0.14137
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Ajax (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2AZ Alkmaar (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Feyenoord (14-3-8, 50 pts)14.03.08.050.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4PSV Eindhoven (14-5-7, 49 pts)14.05.07.049.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
5Willem II (13-8-5, 44 pts)13.08.05.044.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
6Utrecht (12-8-5, 41 pts)12.08.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Vitesse (12-9-5, 41 pts)12.09.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Heracles Almelo (10-10-6, 36 pts)10.010.06.036.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Groningen (10-11-5, 35 pts)10.011.05.035.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Heerenveen (8-9-9, 33 pts)8.09.09.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Sparta Rotterdam (9-11-6, 33 pts)9.011.06.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Emmen (9-12-5, 32 pts)9.012.05.032.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13VVV-Venlo (8-14-4, 28 pts)8.014.04.028.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Twente (7-13-6, 27 pts)7.013.06.027.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Zwolle (7-14-5, 26 pts)7.014.05.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Fortuna Sittard (6-12-8, 26 pts)6.012.08.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17ADO Den Haag (4-15-7, 19 pts)4.015.07.019.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18RKC Waalwijk (4-19-3, 15 pts)4.019.03.015.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.