Ajax at Vitesse

Updated

Ajax

61.1%17.6%21.3%
Ajax WinDrawVitesse Win
2.28Projected Goals 0.80
3Final Score 1

Vitesse

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 1-3 vs VVV-Venlo-950
W 3-0 at Feyenoord-190
W 0-4 vs Emmen-800
W 0-2 vs AZ Alkmaar-195
T 1-1 vs Utrecht-230
Vitesse
Money Line
T 3-3 at Fortuna Sittard-110
L 0-3 at Sparta Rotterdam+105
W 1-2 vs Zwolle-225
T 0-0 at Feyenoord+335
T 0-0 vs ADO Den Haag-450

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-149-256-260-263-265-263-256-
Vitesse+321+610+525+600+544+600+610-
Draw+345+427+425+460+460+460+460-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-175-----175-175-
Vitesse+445----+430+430-
Draw+325----+340+340-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitesse: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Vitesse: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Vitesse: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -250 to -260
Vitesse ML moved from +610 to +600

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitesse: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Vitesse: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 90.0%
Vitesse: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Ajax ML
Vitesse ML moved from +440 to +430

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-120o4-110o4-105o4-108-o4-108o4-105-
Underu3½+100u4-111u4-115u4-112-u4-112u4-111-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¾-115 to o4-103
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.4%
 
No50.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.58%
Exactly 221.77%
Exactly 417.25%
Exactly 65.47%
Exactly 80.93%
 
Exactly 114.12%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 510.64%
Exactly 72.41%
Exactly 90.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 010.17%
Exactly 123.25%
Exactly 226.57%
Exactly 320.24%
Exactly 411.57%
Exactly 55.29%
Exactly 62.01%
Exactly 70.66%
Exactly 80.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitesse
Exactly 045.01%
Exactly 135.93%
Exactly 214.34%
Exactly 33.82%
Exactly 40.76%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.98%
Exactly 224.45%
Exactly 44.15%
Exactly 60.28%
 
Exactly 134.24%
Exactly 311.64%
Exactly 51.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 034.71%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.43%
Exactly 36.86%
Exactly 41.81%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitesse
Exactly 069.10%
Exactly 125.54%
Exactly 24.72%
Exactly 30.58%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals47.46%
Wins by 3+ goals26.35%
Wins by 4+ goals12.24%
Wins by 5+ goals4.82%
Vitesse
Wins by 2+ goals3.29%
Wins by 3+ goals0.72%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Vitesse
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal23.40%
Wins by 2 goals21.11%
Wins by 3 goals14.11%
Wins by 4 goals7.42%
Wins by 5 goals3.20%
Vitesse
Wins by 1 goal8.17%
Wins by 2 goals2.57%
Wins by 3 goals0.60%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.42%4.58%
1.581.30%18.70%
2.559.53%40.47%
3.537.15%62.85%
4.519.90%80.10%
5.59.26%90.74%
6.53.79%96.21%
7.51.38%98.62%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.83%10.17%
1.566.58%33.42%
2.540.01%59.99%
3.519.77%80.23%
4.58.21%91.79%
5.52.92%97.08%

Total Goals Vitesse Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.99%45.01%
1.519.06%80.94%
2.54.72%95.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.02%23.98%
1.541.77%58.23%
2.517.33%82.67%
3.55.69%94.31%
4.51.54%98.46%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Vitesse
Score0123
0
4.58%
3.65%
1.46%
0.39%
1
10.46%
8.35%
3.33%
0.89%
2
11.96%
9.55%
3.81%
1.01%
3
9.11%
7.27%
2.90%
0.77%
4
5.21%
4.16%
1.66%
0.44%
5
2.38%
1.90%
0.76%
0.20%
Ajax
1-010.46%
2-011.96%
2-19.55%
3-09.11%
3-17.27%
3-22.90%
4-05.21%
4-14.16%
4-21.66%
4-30.44%
5-02.38%
5-11.90%
5-20.76%
5-30.20%
Draw
0-04.58%
1-18.35%
2-23.81%
3-30.77%
Vitesse
0-13.65%
0-21.46%
1-23.33%
0-30.39%
1-30.89%
2-31.01%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Vitesse
Score0123
0
23.98%
8.86%
1.64%
0.20%
1
25.38%
9.38%
1.73%
0.21%
2
13.43%
4.96%
0.92%
0.11%
3
4.74%
1.75%
0.32%
0.04%
4
1.25%
0.46%
0.09%
0.01%
5
0.27%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Ajax
1-025.38%
2-013.43%
2-14.96%
3-04.74%
3-11.75%
3-20.32%
4-01.25%
4-10.46%
5-00.27%
Draw
0-023.98%
1-19.38%
2-20.92%
Vitesse
0-18.86%
0-21.64%
1-21.73%
0-30.20%
1-30.21%
2-30.11%