Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated 5 days ago

Upcoming Games for November 15, 2024

There are no games on the schedule today.

Games for Nov 14, 2024

Games for Nov 16, 2024

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
03/19/2023 01:30 PM	Feyenoord Ajax	13.6% 67.8%	18.6%	+320 -113 +350 -140	3 2	-1.45977-1.55523	-1.99459
03/19/2023 11:15 AM	Heerenveen Groningen	28.4% 44.5%	27.1%	+159 +188 +170 +175	2 0	-0.97790-1.04344	-1.25903
03/18/2023 05:45 PM	Sparta Rotterdam Emmen	56.2% 21.8%	22.0%	+181 +185 +165 +185	2 0	-1.06007-1.02413	-0.57611
03/12/2023 01:30 PM	Ajax Heerenveen	76.1% 9.1%	14.8%	-261 +751 -270 +700	4 2	-0.35488-0.36464	-0.27323
03/11/2023 08:00 PM	Vitesse Sparta Rotterdam	52.6% 24.0%	23.4%	+164 +186 +170 +170	1 3	-1.07570-1.04055	-1.42587
03/11/2023 07:00 PM	Groningen AZ Alkmaar	15.8% 62.5%	21.7%	+851 -290 +815 -300	0 1	-0.32669-0.33799	-0.47050
03/11/2023 05:45 PM	Twente Fortuna Sittard	40.3% 33.7%	25.9%	-118 +352 -115 +300	3 0	-0.64259-0.67598	-0.90790
03/05/2023 01:30 PM	PSV Eindhoven RKC Waalwijk	79.3% 7.5%	13.2%	-221 +580 -230 +560	1 0	-0.40366-0.41225	-0.23188
03/04/2023 08:00 PM	Heerenveen Twente	36.5% 36.6%	26.8%	+563 -172 +470 -170	3 3	-1.43771-1.44940	-1.31647
03/04/2023 07:00 PM	Groningen Feyenoord	21.1% 54.5%	24.5%	+1591 -543 +1300 -550	0 1	-0.20198-0.21671	-0.60787
03/03/2023 07:00 PM	AZ Alkmaar Vitesse	48.7% 26.2%	25.1%	+135 +206 +125 +220	1 0	-0.89983-0.86074	-0.72013
03/03/2023 07:00 PM	Fortuna Sittard Utrecht	19.5% 59.5%	21.0%	+455 -163 +430 -170	2 1	-1.74841-1.71730	-1.63645
02/26/2023 03:45 PM	Twente PSV Eindhoven	13.0% 69.7%	17.3%	+455 -157 +450 -160	1 3	-0.52721-0.53773	-0.36088
02/26/2023 01:30 PM	Ajax Vitesse	67.1% 14.0%	19.0%	-217 +565 -205 +505	2 1	-0.42135-0.44845	-0.39943
02/26/2023 11:15 AM	Feyenoord Fortuna Sittard	64.6% 15.9%	19.4%	-249 +660 -240 +625	4 2	-0.37430-0.39914	-0.43634
02/25/2023 05:45 PM	RKC Waalwijk Heerenveen	13.3% 68.0%	18.7%	+278 -102 +265 +100	4 1	-1.37302-1.34519	-2.01982

Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Ajax (18-5-2, 56 pts)	18.0	5.0	2.0	56.0	100.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	AZ Alkmaar (18-5-2, 56 pts)	18.0	5.0	2.0	56.0	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
3	Feyenoord (14-3-8, 50 pts)	14.0	3.0	8.0	50.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
4	PSV Eindhoven (14-5-7, 49 pts)	14.0	5.0	7.0	49.0	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
5	Willem II (13-8-5, 44 pts)	13.0	8.0	5.0	44.0	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
6	Utrecht (12-8-5, 41 pts)	12.0	8.0	5.0	41.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
7	Vitesse (12-9-5, 41 pts)	12.0	9.0	5.0	41.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
8	Heracles Almelo (10-10-6, 36 pts)	10.0	10.0	6.0	36.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Groningen (10-11-5, 35 pts)	10.0	11.0	5.0	35.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Heerenveen (8-9-9, 33 pts)	8.0	9.0	9.0	33.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Sparta Rotterdam (9-11-6, 33 pts)	9.0	11.0	6.0	33.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12	Emmen (9-12-5, 32 pts)	9.0	12.0	5.0	32.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	VVV-Venlo (8-14-4, 28 pts)	8.0	14.0	4.0	28.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
14	Twente (7-13-6, 27 pts)	7.0	13.0	6.0	27.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
15	Zwolle (7-14-5, 26 pts)	7.0	14.0	5.0	26.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
16	Fortuna Sittard (6-12-8, 26 pts)	6.0	12.0	8.0	26.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
17	ADO Den Haag (4-15-7, 19 pts)	4.0	15.0	7.0	19.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
18	RKC Waalwijk (4-19-3, 15 pts)	4.0	19.0	3.0	15.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.