Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 8, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard 		44.8%
30.0%		25.2%
+134
+180

1.54
1.21		2.75
o2¾-118
u2¾-102

Sparta Rotterdam
Zwolle 		36.5%
37.9%		25.5%
+159
+154

1.36
1.39		2.75
o3+100
u3-120

Games for Nov 7, 2025
Games for Nov 9, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
PSV Eindhoven
Heerenveen		57.1%
21.0%		21.9%
-151
+413
-170
+420
1
0		-0.53789-0.51316-0.56021
AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht		55.9%
21.5%		22.6%
+145
+193
+130
+195
2
1		-0.92296-0.88317-0.58239
Twente
Feyenoord		15.4%
65.0%		19.5%
+339
-120
+315
-125
0
2		-0.63537-0.63936-0.43043
Emmen
Sparta Rotterdam		15.9%
64.9%		19.1%
+270
+121
+270
+110
1
3		-0.80142-0.79025-0.43160
RKC Waalwijk
Groningen		11.4%
69.6%		19.0%
+239
+126
+230
+115
3
2		-1.22997-1.24258-2.17428
Heerenveen
Emmen		64.0%
16.2%		19.8%
+156
+187
+170
+165
0
0		-1.26688-1.24344-1.61868
Sparta Rotterdam
RKC Waalwijk		52.1%
24.1%		23.8%
+321
-109
+260
+105
2
2		-1.34519-1.30280-1.43544
Vitesse
Twente		47.9%
27.2%		24.9%
+383
-130
+400
-150
0
3		-0.59564-0.55961-1.30214
AZ Alkmaar
Groningen		54.1%
21.3%		24.7%
-133
+425
-135
+400
4
1		-0.58150-0.60525-0.61469
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar		50.9%
24.7%		24.3%
-130
+400
-150
+375
1
2		-1.61853-1.60834-1.39675
Twente
Heerenveen		29.2%
45.6%		25.2%
+139
+216
+140
+195
1
2		-1.17746-1.13457-0.78570
Feyenoord
PSV Eindhoven		29.2%
45.9%		24.9%
+282
-110
+280
-115
3
4		-0.67172-0.67564-0.77873
Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam		44.7%
28.9%		26.4%
+237
+134
+230
+125
1
2		-0.86819-0.86022-1.24109
Sparta Rotterdam
Feyenoord		13.2%
69.3%		17.5%
+976
-335
+875
-350
0
3		-0.28943-0.30132-0.36736
Twente
AZ Alkmaar		11.2%
72.1%		16.6%
+287
+105
+275
+100
1
1		-1.30262-1.30383-1.79444
RKC Waalwijk
PSV Eindhoven		5.4%
83.7%		10.8%
+1200
-479
+1250
-550
0
1		-0.22229-0.21756-0.17755
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Ajax (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2AZ Alkmaar (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Feyenoord (14-3-8, 50 pts)14.03.08.050.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4PSV Eindhoven (14-5-7, 49 pts)14.05.07.049.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
5Willem II (13-8-5, 44 pts)13.08.05.044.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
6Utrecht (12-8-5, 41 pts)12.08.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Vitesse (12-9-5, 41 pts)12.09.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Heracles Almelo (10-10-6, 36 pts)10.010.06.036.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Groningen (10-11-5, 35 pts)10.011.05.035.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Heerenveen (8-9-9, 33 pts)8.09.09.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Sparta Rotterdam (9-11-6, 33 pts)9.011.06.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Emmen (9-12-5, 32 pts)9.012.05.032.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13VVV-Venlo (8-14-4, 28 pts)8.014.04.028.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Twente (7-13-6, 27 pts)7.013.06.027.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Zwolle (7-14-5, 26 pts)7.014.05.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Fortuna Sittard (6-12-8, 26 pts)6.012.08.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17ADO Den Haag (4-15-7, 19 pts)4.015.07.019.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18RKC Waalwijk (4-19-3, 15 pts)4.019.03.015.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.