Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 8, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard 		44.8%
30.0%		25.2%
+125
+200

1.54
1.21		2.75
o2¾-109
u2¾-108

Sparta Rotterdam
Zwolle 		36.5%
37.9%		25.5%
+152
+161

1.36
1.39		2.75
o2¾-125
u2¾+105

Games for Nov 7, 2025
Games for Nov 9, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Feyenoord
Groningen		43.7%
30.8%		25.5%
-204
+560
-200
+560
1
1		-1.54787-1.49906-1.36512
RKC Waalwijk
Twente		22.3%
57.8%		19.9%
+420
-143
+485
-170
1
2		-0.57322-0.51196-0.54790
Fortuna Sittard
Zwolle		35.3%
41.3%		23.5%
+265
+116
+275
+105
1
0		-1.32118-1.36920-1.04143
Sparta Rotterdam
Heerenveen		30.4%
47.1%		22.6%
+222
+129
+230
+120
0
0		-1.28518-1.27418-1.48917
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord		19.0%
64.6%		16.5%
+1609
-667
+1700
-650
0
5		-0.18289-0.19309-0.43719
Sparta Rotterdam
AZ Alkmaar		17.0%
68.0%		15.0%
+760
-220
+700
-245
1
3		-0.39797-0.39349-0.38528
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo		37.6%
37.4%		25.0%
+205
+128
+215
+115
1
0		-1.14983-1.19892-0.97793
Utrecht
PSV Eindhoven		25.0%
55.3%		19.7%
+475
-177
+440
-180
1
4		-0.47321-0.49088-0.59281
Zwolle
Groningen		25.4%
52.2%		22.4%
+395
+103
+400
-130
1
1		-1.24500-1.30247-1.49682
Willem II
Ajax		9.7%
79.8%		10.5%
+3500
-1667
+3000
-1500
0
5		-0.09940-0.11626-0.22602
Fortuna Sittard
AZ Alkmaar		15.4%
70.4%		14.2%
+1100
-500
+1060
-435
1
2		-0.23824-0.25871-0.35147
Heracles Almelo
Feyenoord		22.1%
58.0%		19.9%
+851
-330
+900
-335
1
2		-0.31459-0.30876-0.54488
AZ Alkmaar
Vitesse		45.9%
30.2%		23.9%
+140
+200
+135
+195
0
0		-1.26691-1.30177-1.43196
PSV Eindhoven
Heerenveen		52.0%
26.9%		21.1%
-235
+600
-210
+525
1
1		-1.65282-1.60495-1.55817
Heracles Almelo
Utrecht		29.5%
47.3%		23.2%
+361
-135
+360
-140
0
1		-0.59729-0.58848-0.74915
Feyenoord
Twente		51.5%
26.7%		21.7%
-120
+320
-130
+355
0
0		-1.39046-1.37212-1.52689
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Ajax (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2AZ Alkmaar (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Feyenoord (14-3-8, 50 pts)14.03.08.050.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4PSV Eindhoven (14-5-7, 49 pts)14.05.07.049.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
5Willem II (13-8-5, 44 pts)13.08.05.044.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
6Utrecht (12-8-5, 41 pts)12.08.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Vitesse (12-9-5, 41 pts)12.09.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Heracles Almelo (10-10-6, 36 pts)10.010.06.036.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Groningen (10-11-5, 35 pts)10.011.05.035.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Heerenveen (8-9-9, 33 pts)8.09.09.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Sparta Rotterdam (9-11-6, 33 pts)9.011.06.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Emmen (9-12-5, 32 pts)9.012.05.032.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13VVV-Venlo (8-14-4, 28 pts)8.014.04.028.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Twente (7-13-6, 27 pts)7.013.06.027.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Zwolle (7-14-5, 26 pts)7.014.05.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Fortuna Sittard (6-12-8, 26 pts)6.012.08.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17ADO Den Haag (4-15-7, 19 pts)4.015.07.019.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18RKC Waalwijk (4-19-3, 15 pts)4.019.03.015.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.