Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 9, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Ajax
Utrecht 		72.8%
11.0%		16.2%
+146
+168

2.48
0.86		3.34
o3+100
u3-120

PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar 		29.4%
45.6%		25.0%
+113
+200

1.21
1.56		2.77
o3¼-120
u3½-118

Games for Nov 8, 2025
Games for Nov 10, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Sparta Rotterdam
Zwolle 		36.5%
37.9%		25.5%
+150
+161

2.75
o2¾-125
u3-125

2nd H
59:00		0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Heerenveen
Zwolle		43.2%
33.3%		23.5%
+189
+145
+185
+150
1
0		-1.10842-1.09982-0.83866
Twente
Groningen		29.2%
46.1%		24.7%
+180
+170
+165
+170
1
1		-1.25141-1.24344-1.39893
RKC Waalwijk
Heracles Almelo		22.2%
57.1%		20.8%
+420
-160
+385
-155
0
1		-0.53028-0.54867-0.56094
Twente
Heerenveen		32.5%
43.8%		23.8%
+205
+138
+205
+135
3
2		-1.14677-1.16575-1.12458
Zwolle
Utrecht		26.0%
53.8%		20.3%
+790
-278
+750
-260
1
5		-0.35022-0.37459-0.62081
Fortuna Sittard
Vitesse		22.6%
58.3%		19.1%
+630
-215
+500
-205
1
1		-1.56232-1.60624-1.65428
Groningen
Ajax		14.4%
69.3%		16.4%
+2500
-1429

0
3		-0.11641-0.36713
PSV Eindhoven
Willem II		60.8%
21.6%		17.6%
-220
+640
-225
+575
1
2		-2.02989-1.95928-1.53197
AZ Alkmaar
Twente		58.1%
22.5%		19.4%
+110
+235
+110
+230
1
3		-1.25295-1.24223-1.49086
Sparta Rotterdam
Zwolle		37.8%
38.8%		23.5%
+138
+230
+140
+210
1
1		-1.20909-1.21362-1.45026
Heerenveen
Feyenoord		24.5%
54.9%		20.6%
+1000
-326
+850
-340
1
3		-0.29013-0.30843-0.59966
Vitesse
Groningen		38.1%
35.4%		26.5%
+205
+133
+200
+130
1
0		-1.15315-1.14721-0.96569
Willem II
RKC Waalwijk		46.1%
30.1%		23.8%
+190
+140
+190
+135
2
1		-1.10250-1.11544-0.77455
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard		76.3%
12.0%		11.7%
-700
+1600
-800
+1900
5
0		-0.17977-0.16959-0.27031
AZ Alkmaar
Heracles Almelo		57.7%
22.2%		20.1%
-141
+370
-140
+350
2
3		-1.59425-1.55523-1.50517
Twente
Vitesse		26.3%
51.9%		21.7%
+326
-123
+300
-115
4
1		-1.49237-1.43658-1.33431
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.14366 
Sportsbooks10-0-0 (0.500)1 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.20414
-0.06048

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Ajax (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2AZ Alkmaar (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Feyenoord (14-3-8, 50 pts)14.03.08.050.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4PSV Eindhoven (14-5-7, 49 pts)14.05.07.049.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
5Willem II (13-8-5, 44 pts)13.08.05.044.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
6Utrecht (12-8-5, 41 pts)12.08.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Vitesse (12-9-5, 41 pts)12.09.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Heracles Almelo (10-10-6, 36 pts)10.010.06.036.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Groningen (10-11-5, 35 pts)10.011.05.035.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Heerenveen (8-9-9, 33 pts)8.09.09.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Sparta Rotterdam (9-11-6, 33 pts)9.011.06.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Emmen (9-12-5, 32 pts)9.012.05.032.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13VVV-Venlo (8-14-4, 28 pts)8.014.04.028.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Twente (7-13-6, 27 pts)7.013.06.027.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Zwolle (7-14-5, 26 pts)7.014.05.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Fortuna Sittard (6-12-8, 26 pts)6.012.08.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17ADO Den Haag (4-15-7, 19 pts)4.015.07.019.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18RKC Waalwijk (4-19-3, 15 pts)4.019.03.015.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.