Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 9, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Ajax
Utrecht 		72.8%
11.0%		16.2%
+147
+167

2.48
0.86		3.34
o3+100
u3-120

PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar 		29.4%
45.6%		25.0%
+114
+200

1.21
1.56		2.77
o3¼-118
u3¼+100

Games for Nov 8, 2025
Games for Nov 10, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Twente
Vitesse		26.3%
51.9%		21.7%
+326
-123
+300
-115
4
1		-1.49237-1.43658-1.33431
Feyenoord
PSV Eindhoven		32.6%
44.0%		23.4%
+388
-139
+375
-145
4
0		-1.62100-1.60919-1.12113
RKC Waalwijk
Utrecht		18.2%
64.8%		17.0%
+939
-345
+950
-375
2
2		-1.82084-1.84187-1.77243
Groningen
Willem II		44.6%
30.4%		25.0%
+225
+126
+225
+120
1
2		-0.85381-0.83924-1.19162
Fortuna Sittard
Heerenveen		28.2%
49.8%		21.9%
+350
-122
+360
-140
0
1		-0.62019-0.58848-0.69627
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen		54.6%
24.6%		20.8%
-110
+305
-110
+280
3
1		-0.67995-0.69555-0.60508
Vitesse
Ajax		17.2%
66.5%		16.3%
+1800
-667
+1400
-625
0
5		-0.16171-0.19716-0.40806
Feyenoord
Utrecht		44.7%
31.7%		23.6%
+171
+155
+155
+160
1
3		-0.97061-1.00501-1.14747
Zwolle
Willem II		34.7%
41.7%		23.6%
+320
-110
+315
-115
0
1		-0.67480-0.67433-0.87354
Groningen
PSV Eindhoven		24.3%
54.0%		21.7%
+1116
-345
+950
-360
2
5		-0.27843-0.29558-0.61585
RKC Waalwijk
Fortuna Sittard		26.3%
52.0%		21.8%
+348
-122
+330
-130
2
2		-1.39934-1.43297-1.52464
Willem II
Vitesse		23.1%
57.1%		19.8%
+301
-115
+325
-120
3
0		-1.41948-1.49326-1.46651
Ajax
Twente		71.4%
14.7%		13.9%
-400
+939
-390
+1000
1
1		-1.93371-1.87158-1.97026
Utrecht
Groningen		34.5%
39.8%		25.7%
+108
+255
+115
+225
0
0		-1.31628-1.33025-1.35732
Heracles Almelo
Sparta Rotterdam		37.5%
38.2%		24.4%
+300
+105
+270
+105
1
1		-1.27604-1.27461-1.41145
RKC Waalwijk
Heerenveen		20.3%
61.0%		18.8%
+514
-164
+450
-165
2
3		-0.49259-0.52388-0.49477
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-2-0 (0.000)0-1.08108 
Sportsbooks20-0-0 (0.500)2 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.08660
-0.00553

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Ajax (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2AZ Alkmaar (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Feyenoord (14-3-8, 50 pts)14.03.08.050.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4PSV Eindhoven (14-5-7, 49 pts)14.05.07.049.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
5Willem II (13-8-5, 44 pts)13.08.05.044.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
6Utrecht (12-8-5, 41 pts)12.08.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Vitesse (12-9-5, 41 pts)12.09.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Heracles Almelo (10-10-6, 36 pts)10.010.06.036.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Groningen (10-11-5, 35 pts)10.011.05.035.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Heerenveen (8-9-9, 33 pts)8.09.09.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Sparta Rotterdam (9-11-6, 33 pts)9.011.06.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Emmen (9-12-5, 32 pts)9.012.05.032.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13VVV-Venlo (8-14-4, 28 pts)8.014.04.028.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Twente (7-13-6, 27 pts)7.013.06.027.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Zwolle (7-14-5, 26 pts)7.014.05.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Fortuna Sittard (6-12-8, 26 pts)6.012.08.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17ADO Den Haag (4-15-7, 19 pts)4.015.07.019.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18RKC Waalwijk (4-19-3, 15 pts)4.019.03.015.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.