Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 9, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Ajax
Utrecht 		72.8%
11.0%		16.2%
+139
+183

2.48
0.86		3.34
o2¾-115
u2¾-102

PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar 		29.4%
45.6%		25.0%
+114
+200

1.21
1.56		2.77
o3½-109
u3½-110

Games for Nov 8, 2025
Games for Nov 10, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Utrecht
RKC Waalwijk		58.9%
22.4%		18.7%
-189
+554
-200
+475
2
1		-0.21012-0.23179-0.32225
ADO Den Haag
Heerenveen		19.2%
65.5%		15.3%
+464
-169
+500
-170
0
3		-0.24859-0.23485-0.25710
Willem II
Twente		30.8%
45.0%		24.2%
+307
-109
+375
-145
1
1		-0.76235-0.82113-0.71090
VVV-Venlo
Feyenoord		18.9%
67.0%		14.1%
+1238
-476
+1100
-475
0
6		-0.08658-0.09610-0.24860
Sparta Rotterdam
Emmen		51.1%
27.4%		21.5%
+142
+202
+135
+200
1
1		-0.69926-0.70058-0.74106
Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar		29.6%
46.0%		24.4%
+248
-104
+240
+100
2
4		-0.44704-0.46262-0.49676
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven		51.0%
27.3%		21.8%
+101
+235
+105
+220
1
1		-0.72542-0.71773-0.74120
Fortuna Sittard
Groningen		25.3%
52.4%		22.3%
+222
+128
+320
-115
0
1		-0.53536-0.36821-0.39430
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam		33.2%
42.1%		24.8%
+351
-128
+375
-145
2
0		-1.26185-1.33792-0.81921
Twente
Heracles Almelo		34.1%
39.3%		26.6%
+160
+181
+160
+170
2
2		-0.69390-0.69332-0.69566
VVV-Venlo
Vitesse		22.4%
60.0%		17.6%
+610
-217
+575
-225
1
4		-0.18711-0.19391-0.31651
RKC Waalwijk
ADO Den Haag		35.5%
36.4%		28.1%
-112
+320
-120
+325
0
0		-0.77053-0.77902-0.69322
Emmen
Utrecht		17.6%
69.8%		12.6%
+1000
-385
+900
-350
1
0		-2.27536-2.17226-1.60281
Heerenveen
Zwolle		42.4%
32.6%		25.0%
+160
+175
+170
+155
1
4		-0.72159-0.66497-0.83271

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-2-0 (0.000)0-1.08108 
Sportsbooks20-0-0 (0.500)2 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.08660
-0.00553

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Ajax (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2AZ Alkmaar (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Feyenoord (14-3-8, 50 pts)14.03.08.050.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4PSV Eindhoven (14-5-7, 49 pts)14.05.07.049.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
5Willem II (13-8-5, 44 pts)13.08.05.044.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
6Utrecht (12-8-5, 41 pts)12.08.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Vitesse (12-9-5, 41 pts)12.09.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Heracles Almelo (10-10-6, 36 pts)10.010.06.036.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Groningen (10-11-5, 35 pts)10.011.05.035.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Heerenveen (8-9-9, 33 pts)8.09.09.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Sparta Rotterdam (9-11-6, 33 pts)9.011.06.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Emmen (9-12-5, 32 pts)9.012.05.032.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13VVV-Venlo (8-14-4, 28 pts)8.014.04.028.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Twente (7-13-6, 27 pts)7.013.06.027.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Zwolle (7-14-5, 26 pts)7.014.05.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Fortuna Sittard (6-12-8, 26 pts)6.012.08.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17ADO Den Haag (4-15-7, 19 pts)4.015.07.019.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18RKC Waalwijk (4-19-3, 15 pts)4.019.03.015.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.