NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 25, 2021

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago Blackhawks (0-0-0)
Columbus Blue Jackets (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
33.6%
66.4%
+121
-134
+123
-130
+1½-220
-1½+190
+1½-210
-1½+192
2.05
3.31
5.36
o6-110
u6+101
o6+100
u6-110
Dallas Stars (0-0-0)
Florida Panthers (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
51.7%
48.3%
+120
-133
+119
-129
+1½-205
-1½+185
+1½-210
-1½+191
2.94
2.76
5.70
o5½-113
u5½+102
o5½-110
u5½+100
New Jersey Devils (0-0-0)
Buffalo Sabres (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
36.7%
63.3%
-115
+105
-113
+106
-1½+226
+1½-255
-1½+225
-1½+240
2.38
3.52
5.90
o5½+112
u5½-120
o5½+110
u5½-120
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
PostponedVegas Golden Knights (0-0-0)
San Jose Sharks (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
64.3%
35.7%
-210
+180



3.59
2.41
6.00
o6-110
u6-110

Games for Feb 24, 2021

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Goals
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Columbus Blue Jackets (0-0-0)
Boston Bruins (0-0-0)
32.8%
67.2%
+165
-181
+170
-175
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
5.28
o6-118
u6+102
o6-115
u6+100
3rd P
03:30
5
1
Colorado Avalanche (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Flyers (0-0-0)
67.7%
32.3%
-202
+179
-190
+188
-1½+117
+1½-133
-1½+127
+1½-140
6.00
o6½+105
u6½-120
o6½+100
u6½-120
3rd P
08:56
3
0
Edmonton Oilers (0-0-0)
Montreal Canadiens (0-0-0)
54.4%
45.6%
-255
+235
-257
+230
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½+101
+1½-115
6.16
o6½-106
u6½-108
o6½+100
u6½-105
2nd P
END-
0
1
Anaheim Ducks (0-0-0)
Dallas Stars (0-0-0)
32.8%
67.2%
+370
-430
+376
-440
+1½+145
-1½-165
+1½+145
-1½-160
5.14
o6½-112
u6½-103
o6½-115
u6½+100
2nd P
05:13
3
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Vancouver Canucks
Columbus Blue Jackets
45.9%
54.1%
-201
+178
-197
+178
-1½+117
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
3
4
-1.04957-1.04520-0.61408
Anaheim Ducks
Florida Panthers
29.7%
70.3%
+305
-353
+330
-365
+1½+122
-1½-140
+1½+125
-1½-137
5
4
-1.42454-1.47596-1.21392
New Jersey Devils
Boston Bruins
30.6%
69.4%
+158
-175
+154
-165
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-166
-1½+150
0
3
-0.47567-0.48999-0.36540
San Jose Sharks
Buffalo Sabres
56.6%
43.4%
+240
-265
+235
-265
+1½-105
-1½-115
+1½-104
-1½-105
0
3
-0.34011-0.34441-0.83552
Detroit Red Wings
Toronto Maple Leafs
24.8%
75.2%
+179
-202
+182
-200
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-128
-1½+120
4
2
-1.05297-1.05780-1.39469
Washington Capitals
New York Rangers
47.8%
52.2%
+222
-252
+210
-229
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-125
-1½+108
1
2
-0.36032-0.38079-0.64995
Calgary Flames
Vegas Golden Knights
33.4%
66.6%
-104
-108
+104
-111
+1½-252
+1½-270
+1½-240
-1½+216
3
1
-0.70235-0.72909-1.09790
Boston Bruins
St. Louis Blues
52.3%
47.7%
-170
+153
-160
+150
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+155
+1½-170
4
3
-0.48721-0.50078-0.64875
New York Islanders
Nashville Predators
62.8%
37.2%
-114
+105
-114
+104
-1½+215
+1½-250
-1½+225
-1½+240
1
3
-0.73814-0.73560-0.98959
Dallas Stars
Chicago Blackhawks
55.0%
45.0%
-264
+232
-262
+240
-1½-104
+1½-112
-1½-102
+1½-115
3
1
-0.34733-0.34101-0.59824
Arizona Coyotes
Minnesota Wild
45.0%
55.0%
+117
-131
+120
-130
+1½-220
-1½+195
+1½-215
-1½+195
6
0
-0.80227-0.80802-0.79811
Philadelphia Flyers
Winnipeg Jets
38.5%
61.5%
+189
-213
+187
-200
+1½-140
-1½+122
+1½-145
-1½+130
2
0
-1.08743-1.06930-0.95381
Seattle Kraken
Columbus Blue Jackets
49.1%
50.9%
-170
+151
-160
+150
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+155
+1½-170
7
4
-0.49027-0.50078-0.71198
Los Angeles Kings
Detroit Red Wings
51.3%
48.7%
-171
+152
-160
+150
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
3
5
-0.95168-0.93156-0.72017
Colorado Avalanche
Toronto Maple Leafs
53.8%
46.2%
+113
-127
+114
-115
+1½-220
-1½+190
+1½-216
-1½+210
5
3
-0.78467-0.76297-0.61923
Edmonton Oilers
Montreal Canadiens
54.4%
45.6%
-243
+215
-240
+218
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-112
2
1
-0.37025-0.36846-0.60916
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.65520 
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.62416 
DRatings11-0 (1.000)0-0.49223
0.16297
0.13193

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/21/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st Rd.Win 2nd Rd.Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Colorado Avalanche (0-0-0, 0 pts)46.326.77.099.684.2%54.5%35.3%21.0%11.8%
2Tampa Bay Lightning (0-0-0, 0 pts)46.325.96.899.485.9%55.6%33.2%20.8%12.3%
3Vegas Golden Knights (0-0-0, 0 pts)45.527.37.398.286.4%54.0%34.9%19.9%10.9%
4Toronto Maple Leafs (0-0-0, 0 pts)45.328.27.598.178.2%39.8%21.4%12.5%6.9%
5Florida Panthers (0-0-0, 0 pts)43.428.97.794.472.4%32.8%16.1%8.8%4.7%
6Carolina Hurricanes (0-0-0, 0 pts)43.428.07.694.473.7%43.6%24.5%13.0%6.9%
7Boston Bruins (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.529.67.992.966.5%31.8%15.4%8.2%3.9%
8Pittsburgh Penguins (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.429.68.092.864.3%33.5%17.2%9.1%4.5%
9New York Islanders (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.229.88.092.361.3%29.8%15.6%7.9%3.7%
10Edmonton Oilers (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.029.17.891.977.2%38.0%19.6%9.0%4.4%
11Washington Capitals (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.629.67.991.061.6%30.0%14.8%7.4%3.4%
12Minnesota Wild (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.330.68.090.760.1%31.6%15.9%7.6%3.6%
13New York Rangers (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.230.78.090.552.6%24.1%11.7%5.1%2.4%
14St. Louis Blues (0-0-0, 0 pts)40.532.08.589.548.7%24.1%10.5%4.4%1.9%
15Dallas Stars (0-0-0, 0 pts)40.431.48.289.152.3%27.3%12.7%5.7%2.6%
16Montreal Canadiens (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.832.58.788.243.6%17.0%6.8%3.1%1.4%
17Calgary Flames (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.531.28.387.358.2%28.0%12.9%5.1%2.2%
18Chicago Blackhawks (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.032.48.686.640.8%20.5%8.7%3.8%1.7%
19Winnipeg Jets (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.032.58.586.540.2%21.3%9.7%3.9%1.6%
20Nashville Predators (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.031.78.386.445.0%21.5%9.7%4.1%1.7%
21Philadelphia Flyers (0-0-0, 0 pts)38.132.99.085.333.9%19.6%8.3%3.3%1.4%
22Seattle Kraken (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.632.88.683.846.5%16.6%6.6%2.5%0.9%
23Arizona Coyotes (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.233.89.083.428.7%13.3%5.0%2.0%0.9%
24Vancouver Canucks (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.033.28.882.841.3%16.3%6.8%2.6%1.0%
25Columbus Blue Jackets (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.533.59.082.026.4%9.9%3.8%1.5%0.6%
26New Jersey Devils (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.433.69.081.826.2%10.8%4.0%1.4%0.5%
27Los Angeles Kings (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.134.69.281.530.0%10.6%4.0%1.2%0.4%
28Detroit Red Wings (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.835.79.581.117.6%8.6%2.9%1.1%0.4%
29Ottawa Senators (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.934.19.180.824.3%9.3%3.2%1.3%0.5%
30San Jose Sharks (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.034.28.880.733.8%13.7%4.7%1.7%0.6%
31Anaheim Ducks (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.035.69.479.326.6%8.7%3.0%0.9%0.3%
32Buffalo Sabres (0-0-0, 0 pts)33.836.59.777.311.5%3.9%1.1%0.3%0.1%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.