Porto at Moreirense

Updated

Porto

73.1%17.2%9.7%
Porto WinDrawWin
2.25Projected Goals 0.68
2Final Score 1

Moreirense

Last 5 Games

Porto
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Vitoria-500
W 4-2 at Famalicao-225
W 0-1 vs Boavista-600
W 2-0 at Pacos-360
W 1-2 vs Santa Clara-700
Moreirense
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Boavista+140
L 0-1 at Portimonense+210
W 0-2 vs Tondela+120
W 2-1 at Gil Vicente FC+380
L 1-0 vs Vitoria+240

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto-275--275-285--275-275-
Moreirense+675-+650+700-+700+700-
Draw+370-+390+440-+420+420-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto-260-----275-275-
Moreirense+695----+700+700-
Draw+395----+425+425-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 20.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from -265 to -275
Moreirense ML moved from +625 to +600

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 20.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from -255 to -275
Moreirense ML moved from +650 to +625

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-115-o3-105o3+103-o3+103o3+103-
Underu2¾-105-u3-115u3-123-u3-123u3-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.2%
 
No55.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.31%
Exactly 222.89%
Exactly 416.43%
Exactly 64.72%
Exactly 80.73%
 
Exactly 115.60%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.64%
Exactly 71.98%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 010.51%
Exactly 123.68%
Exactly 226.67%
Exactly 320.03%
Exactly 411.28%
Exactly 55.08%
Exactly 61.91%
Exactly 70.61%
Exactly 80.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 050.55%
Exactly 134.49%
Exactly 211.76%
Exactly 32.67%
Exactly 40.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.70%
Exactly 223.72%
Exactly 43.65%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 134.92%
Exactly 310.74%
Exactly 50.99%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 035.24%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.17%
Exactly 36.66%
Exactly 41.74%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 072.92%
Exactly 123.03%
Exactly 23.64%
Exactly 30.38%

Alternate Props

Spread

Porto
Wins by 2+ goals49.18%
Wins by 3+ goals27.31%
Wins by 4+ goals12.65%
Wins by 5+ goals4.96%
Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals2.43%
Wins by 3+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Porto
Moreirense
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Porto
Wins by 1 goal23.85%
Wins by 2 goals21.86%
Wins by 3 goals14.66%
Wins by 4 goals7.69%
Wins by 5 goals3.30%
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal7.22%
Wins by 2 goals1.99%
Wins by 3 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.69%5.31%
1.579.09%20.91%
2.556.20%43.80%
3.533.81%66.19%
4.517.39%82.61%
5.57.75%92.25%
6.53.03%96.97%
7.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.49%10.51%
1.565.81%34.19%
2.539.13%60.87%
3.519.11%80.89%
4.57.83%92.17%
5.52.75%97.25%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.549.45%50.55%
1.514.96%85.04%
2.53.20%96.80%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.30%25.70%
1.539.39%60.61%
2.515.66%84.34%
3.54.92%95.08%
4.51.27%98.73%

Score Props

Correct Score

Porto
Moreirense
Score0123
0
5.31%
3.63%
1.24%
0.28%
1
11.97%
8.17%
2.79%
0.63%
2
13.48%
9.20%
3.14%
0.71%
3
10.12%
6.91%
2.36%
0.54%
4
5.70%
3.89%
1.33%
0.30%
5
2.57%
1.75%
0.60%
0.14%
Porto
1-011.97%
2-013.48%
2-19.20%
3-010.12%
3-16.91%
3-22.36%
4-05.70%
4-13.89%
4-21.33%
4-30.30%
5-02.57%
5-11.75%
5-20.60%
5-30.14%
Draw
0-05.31%
1-18.17%
2-23.14%
3-30.54%
Moreirense
0-13.63%
0-21.24%
1-22.79%
0-30.28%
1-30.63%
2-30.71%

Correct Score - First Half

Porto
Moreirense
Score0123
0
25.70%
8.12%
1.28%
0.13%
1
26.80%
8.46%
1.34%
0.14%
2
13.98%
4.41%
0.70%
0.07%
3
4.86%
1.53%
0.24%
0.03%
4
1.27%
0.40%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.26%
0.08%
0.01%
0.00%
Porto
1-026.80%
2-013.98%
2-14.41%
3-04.86%
3-11.53%
3-20.24%
4-01.27%
4-10.40%
5-00.26%
Draw
0-025.70%
1-18.46%
2-20.70%
Moreirense
0-18.12%
0-21.28%
1-21.34%
0-30.13%
1-30.14%