Vitória at Moreirense

Updated

Vitoria

43.7%28.1%28.1%
Vitória WinDrawMoreirense Win
1.29Projected Goals 0.98
1Final Score 0

Moreirense

Last 5 Games

Vitoria
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Sporting CP+400
W 1-0 at Maritimo+165
W 1-2 vs Famalicao+160
L 0-3 at Benfica+750
L 0-1 at Belenenses+105
Moreirense
Money Line
L 1-2 at Pacos+235
L 2-0 vs Sporting CP+700
L 1-0 vs Maritimo+135
L 1-0 vs Porto+950
L 0-5 at Famalicao+265

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitória+141+135+130+121+129+121+135+140.9
Moreirense+186+229+215+215+223+215+229+235.2
Draw+239+239+215+225+219+225+239+248.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitória+150----+115+115+140.9
Moreirense+185----+240+240+235.2
Draw+230----+240+240+248.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vitória: 10.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vitória: 0.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Vitória ML moved from +133 to +121
Moreirense ML moved from +225 to +215

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vitória: 0.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vitória: 0.0%
Moreirense: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Vitória ML moved from +140 to +115
No Steam Moves On Moreirense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+105o2½+104o2½+102o2½+100-o2½+100o2½+104o2½+109
Underu2½-125u2½-119u2½-122u2½-120-u2½-120u2½-119u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+109
Under-----u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-115 to o2½+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.2%
 
No54.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.34%
Exactly 226.62%
Exactly 411.42%
Exactly 61.96%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.46%
Exactly 320.13%
Exactly 55.18%
Exactly 70.64%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitoria
Exactly 027.47%
Exactly 135.49%
Exactly 222.93%
Exactly 39.88%
Exactly 43.19%
Exactly 50.82%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 037.65%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 217.96%
Exactly 35.85%
Exactly 41.43%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.97%
Exactly 219.30%
Exactly 41.78%
 
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 36.76%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitoria
Exactly 054.98%
Exactly 132.89%
Exactly 29.84%
Exactly 31.96%
Exactly 40.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 063.62%
Exactly 128.77%
Exactly 26.51%
Exactly 30.98%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Vitoria
Wins by 2+ goals19.92%
Wins by 3+ goals7.03%
Wins by 4+ goals1.98%
Wins by 5+ goals0.44%
Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals10.11%
Wins by 3+ goals2.75%
Wins by 4+ goals0.57%

Exact Winning Margin

Vitoria
Moreirense
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Vitoria
Wins by 1 goal23.77%
Wins by 2 goals12.89%
Wins by 3 goals5.05%
Wins by 4 goals1.54%
Wins by 5 goals0.38%
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal17.97%
Wins by 2 goals7.37%
Wins by 3 goals2.18%
Wins by 4 goals0.49%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.66%10.34%
1.566.19%33.81%
2.539.57%60.43%
3.519.44%80.56%
4.58.02%91.98%
5.52.83%97.17%

Total Goals Vitoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.53%27.47%
1.537.04%62.96%
2.514.11%85.89%
3.54.23%95.77%
4.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.35%37.65%
1.525.57%74.43%
2.57.61%92.39%
3.51.76%98.24%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.03%34.97%
1.528.28%71.72%
2.58.98%91.02%
3.52.22%97.78%

Score Props

Correct Score

Vitória
Moreirense
Score01234
0
10.34%
10.10%
4.93%
1.61%
0.39%
1
13.36%
13.05%
6.38%
2.08%
0.51%
2
8.63%
8.43%
4.12%
1.34%
0.33%
3
3.72%
3.63%
1.77%
0.58%
0.14%
4
1.20%
1.17%
0.57%
0.19%
0.05%
5
0.31%
0.30%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
Vitoria
1-013.36%
2-08.63%
2-18.43%
3-03.72%
3-13.63%
3-21.77%
4-01.20%
4-11.17%
4-20.57%
4-30.19%
5-00.31%
5-10.30%
5-20.15%
Draw
0-010.34%
1-113.05%
2-24.12%
3-30.58%
Moreirense
0-110.10%
0-24.93%
1-26.38%
0-31.61%
1-32.08%
2-31.34%
0-40.39%
1-40.51%
2-40.33%
3-40.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Vitória
Moreirense
Score0123
0
34.97%
15.82%
3.58%
0.54%
1
20.92%
9.46%
2.14%
0.32%
2
6.26%
2.83%
0.64%
0.10%
3
1.25%
0.56%
0.13%
0.02%
4
0.19%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Vitoria
1-020.92%
2-06.26%
2-12.83%
3-01.25%
3-10.56%
3-20.13%
4-00.19%
Draw
0-034.97%
1-19.46%
2-20.64%
Moreirense
0-115.82%
0-23.58%
1-22.14%
0-30.54%
1-30.32%