Moreirense at Nacional

Updated

Moreirense

41.2%29.9%29.0%
Moreirense WinDrawNacional Win
1.16Projected Goals 0.92
0Final Score 1

Nacional

Last 5 Games

Moreirense
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Sporting CP+900
L 2-3 at Rio Ave+160
W 2-3 vs Gil Vicente FC+130
L 0-1 at Vitoria+390
W 2-0 at Boavista+125
Nacional
Money Line
L 1-2 at Gil Vicente FC+300
T 0-0 vs Boavista-105
W 0-2 vs Santa Clara+210
T 0-0 at Famalicao+425
L 3-0 vs Braga+410

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+160-+150+151-+151+151-
Nacional+185-+200+195-+195+200-
Draw+210-+190+192-+192+192-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+170----+145+145-
Nacional+180----+220+220-
Draw+210----+205+205-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 20.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +150 to +140
Nacional ML moved from +220 to +200

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 10.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +165 to +145
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-102-o2-125o2¼+120-o2¼+120o2-125-
Underu2¼-118-u2+105u2¼-140-u2¼-140u2+105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.3%
 
No58.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.51%
Exactly 227.03%
Exactly 49.73%
Exactly 61.40%
Exactly 80.11%
 
Exactly 126.01%
Exactly 318.72%
Exactly 54.04%
Exactly 70.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 031.41%
Exactly 136.37%
Exactly 221.06%
Exactly 38.13%
Exactly 42.35%
Exactly 50.55%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 039.84%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 216.87%
Exactly 35.17%
Exactly 41.19%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 038.20%
Exactly 217.69%
Exactly 41.36%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 35.67%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 058.50%
Exactly 131.37%
Exactly 28.41%
Exactly 31.50%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 065.31%
Exactly 127.82%
Exactly 25.93%
Exactly 30.84%

Alternate Props

Spread

Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals17.45%
Wins by 3+ goals5.65%
Wins by 4+ goals1.45%
Wins by 5+ goals0.30%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals10.08%
Wins by 3+ goals2.63%
Wins by 4+ goals0.52%

Exact Winning Margin

Moreirense
Nacional
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal23.72%
Wins by 2 goals11.80%
Wins by 3 goals4.20%
Wins by 4 goals1.16%
Wins by 5 goals0.26%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal18.84%
Wins by 2 goals7.45%
Wins by 3 goals2.10%
Wins by 4 goals0.45%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.49%12.51%
1.561.48%38.52%
2.534.45%65.55%
3.515.73%84.27%
4.56.00%94.00%
5.51.96%98.04%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.59%31.41%
1.532.22%67.78%
2.511.16%88.84%
3.53.02%96.98%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.16%39.84%
1.523.49%76.51%
2.56.62%93.38%
3.51.45%98.55%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.80%38.20%
1.525.04%74.96%
2.57.35%92.65%
3.51.68%98.32%

Score Props

Correct Score

Moreirense
Nacional
Score01234
0
12.51%
11.52%
5.30%
1.63%
0.37%
1
14.49%
13.34%
6.14%
1.88%
0.43%
2
8.39%
7.72%
3.55%
1.09%
0.25%
3
3.24%
2.98%
1.37%
0.42%
0.10%
4
0.94%
0.86%
0.40%
0.12%
0.03%
5
0.22%
0.20%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Moreirense
1-014.49%
2-08.39%
2-17.72%
3-03.24%
3-12.98%
3-21.37%
4-00.94%
4-10.86%
4-20.40%
4-30.12%
5-00.22%
5-10.20%
Draw
0-012.51%
1-113.34%
2-23.55%
3-30.42%
Nacional
0-111.52%
0-25.30%
1-26.14%
0-31.63%
1-31.88%
2-31.09%
0-40.37%
1-40.43%
2-40.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Moreirense
Nacional
Score0123
0
38.20%
16.28%
3.47%
0.49%
1
20.48%
8.73%
1.86%
0.26%
2
5.49%
2.34%
0.50%
0.07%
3
0.98%
0.42%
0.09%
0.01%
4
0.13%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Moreirense
1-020.48%
2-05.49%
2-12.34%
3-00.98%
3-10.42%
4-00.13%
Draw
0-038.20%
1-18.73%
2-20.50%
Nacional
0-116.28%
0-23.47%
1-21.86%
0-30.49%
1-30.26%