Braga at Nacional

Updated

Braga

71.0%17.9%11.1%
Braga WinDrawWin
2.22Projected Goals 0.75
3Final Score 0

Nacional

Last 5 Games

Braga
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Vitoria+125
T 0-0 at Gil Vicente FC-120
W 1-3 vs Moreirense-150
W 1-0 at Boavista-200
L 1-0 vs Porto+230
Nacional
Money Line
W 0-2 vs SC Farense+105
L 6-1 vs Sporting CP+1000
L 2-1 vs Rio Ave+425
L 0-3 at Famalicao+315
L 3-1 vs Benfica+675

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga-135--135-140--140-135-
Nacional+440-+350+365-+365+365-
Draw+220-+265+295-+295+295-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga-120-----145-145-
Nacional+345----+410+410-
Draw+255----+280+280-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 40.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from -133 to -140
Nacional ML moved from +300 to +290

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 30.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from -120 to -140
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-110-o3+102o3+105-o3+105o3+105-
Underu2¼-110-u3-122u3-125-u3-125u3-122-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-115 to o2¾-107
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.9%
 
No53.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.15%
Exactly 222.65%
Exactly 416.61%
Exactly 64.87%
Exactly 80.77%
 
Exactly 115.28%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.85%
Exactly 72.06%
Exactly 90.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 010.86%
Exactly 124.11%
Exactly 226.76%
Exactly 319.80%
Exactly 410.99%
Exactly 54.88%
Exactly 61.80%
Exactly 70.57%
Exactly 80.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 047.40%
Exactly 135.39%
Exactly 213.21%
Exactly 33.29%
Exactly 40.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.33%
Exactly 223.88%
Exactly 43.75%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.78%
Exactly 310.93%
Exactly 51.03%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 035.78%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.90%
Exactly 36.47%
Exactly 41.66%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 070.78%
Exactly 124.46%
Exactly 24.23%
Exactly 30.49%

Alternate Props

Spread

Braga
Wins by 2+ goals47.01%
Wins by 3+ goals25.69%
Wins by 4+ goals11.71%
Wins by 5+ goals4.51%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals2.96%
Wins by 3+ goals0.57%

Exact Winning Margin

Braga
Nacional
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Braga
Wins by 1 goal23.91%
Wins by 2 goals21.32%
Wins by 3 goals13.98%
Wins by 4 goals7.19%
Wins by 5 goals3.03%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal8.03%
Wins by 2 goals2.39%
Wins by 3 goals0.50%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.85%5.15%
1.579.58%20.42%
2.556.92%43.08%
3.534.52%65.48%
4.517.91%82.09%
5.58.06%91.94%
6.53.18%96.82%
7.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.14%10.86%
1.565.02%34.98%
2.538.26%61.74%
3.518.45%81.55%
4.57.46%92.54%
5.52.59%97.41%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.60%47.40%
1.517.21%82.79%
2.54.00%96.00%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.67%25.33%
1.539.89%60.11%
2.516.01%83.99%
3.55.08%94.92%
4.51.32%98.68%

Score Props

Correct Score

Braga
Nacional
Score0123
0
5.15%
3.84%
1.43%
0.36%
1
11.43%
8.53%
3.18%
0.79%
2
12.69%
9.47%
3.53%
0.88%
3
9.39%
7.01%
2.62%
0.65%
4
5.21%
3.89%
1.45%
0.36%
5
2.31%
1.73%
0.64%
0.16%
Braga
1-011.43%
2-012.69%
2-19.47%
3-09.39%
3-17.01%
3-22.62%
4-05.21%
4-13.89%
4-21.45%
4-30.36%
5-02.31%
5-11.73%
5-20.64%
5-30.16%
Draw
0-05.15%
1-18.53%
2-23.53%
3-30.65%
Nacional
0-13.84%
0-21.43%
1-23.18%
0-30.36%
1-30.79%
2-30.88%

Correct Score - First Half

Braga
Nacional
Score0123
0
25.33%
8.75%
1.51%
0.17%
1
26.03%
9.00%
1.55%
0.18%
2
13.37%
4.62%
0.80%
0.09%
3
4.58%
1.58%
0.27%
0.03%
4
1.18%
0.41%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.24%
0.08%
0.01%
0.00%
Braga
1-026.03%
2-013.37%
2-14.62%
3-04.58%
3-11.58%
3-20.27%
4-01.18%
4-10.41%
5-00.24%
Draw
0-025.33%
1-19.00%
2-20.80%
Nacional
0-18.75%
0-21.51%
1-21.55%
0-30.17%
1-30.18%