SC Farense at Nacional

Updated

SC Farense

30.0%29.6%40.4%
SC Farense WinDrawNacional Win
0.96Projected Goals 1.16
0Final Score 2

Nacional

Last 5 Games

SC Farense
Money Line
L 5-0 vs Sporting CP+1200
L 0-1 at Rio Ave+280
L 2-1 vs Moreirense+190
L 3-1 vs Portimonense+180
L 0-2 at Gil Vicente FC+360
Nacional
Money Line
L 6-1 vs Sporting CP+1000
L 2-1 vs Rio Ave+425
L 0-3 at Famalicao+315
L 3-1 vs Benfica+675
T 2-2 at Moreirense+225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
SC Farense+200-+250+220-+220+250-
Nacional+140-+105+108-+100+105-
Draw+215-+235+250-+250+250-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
SC Farense+220----+260+260-
Nacional+125----+105+105-
Draw+240----+250+250-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
SC Farense: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

SC Farense: 30.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

SC Farense: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

SC Farense ML moved from +220 to +210
Nacional ML moved from +108 to +100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
SC Farense: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

SC Farense: 30.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

SC Farense: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On SC Farense ML
Nacional ML moved from +125 to +105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-108-o2½-118o2½-110-o2½-110o2½-110-
Underu2½-112-u2½-102u2½-110-u2½-110u2½-102-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.3%
 
No57.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.05%
Exactly 226.98%
Exactly 410.07%
Exactly 61.50%
Exactly 80.12%
 
Exactly 125.50%
Exactly 319.03%
Exactly 54.26%
Exactly 70.45%
Exact Goals Scored - SC Farense
Exactly 038.44%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.57%
Exactly 35.60%
Exactly 41.34%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 031.36%
Exactly 136.37%
Exactly 221.09%
Exactly 38.15%
Exactly 42.36%
Exactly 50.55%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.54%
Exactly 218.02%
Exactly 41.44%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 35.88%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - SC Farense
Exactly 064.23%
Exactly 128.44%
Exactly 26.29%
Exactly 30.93%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 058.45%
Exactly 131.39%
Exactly 28.43%
Exactly 31.51%
Exactly 40.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

SC Farense
Wins by 2+ goals10.74%
Wins by 3+ goals2.89%
Wins by 4+ goals0.59%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals17.07%
Wins by 3+ goals5.52%
Wins by 4+ goals1.42%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

SC Farense
Nacional
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
SC Farense
Wins by 1 goal19.21%
Wins by 2 goals7.85%
Wins by 3 goals2.30%
Wins by 4 goals0.51%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal23.30%
Wins by 2 goals11.55%
Wins by 3 goals4.10%
Wins by 4 goals1.13%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.95%12.05%
1.562.45%37.55%
2.535.47%64.53%
3.516.44%83.56%
4.56.37%93.63%
5.52.11%97.89%

Total Goals SC Farense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.56%38.44%
1.524.81%75.19%
2.57.24%92.76%
3.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.64%31.36%
1.532.28%67.72%
2.511.19%88.81%
3.53.04%96.96%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.46%37.54%
1.525.68%74.32%
2.57.66%92.34%
3.51.78%98.22%

Score Props

Correct Score

SC Farense
Nacional
Score012345
0
12.05%
13.98%
8.11%
3.13%
0.91%
0.21%
1
11.52%
13.36%
7.75%
3.00%
0.87%
0.20%
2
5.51%
6.39%
3.71%
1.43%
0.42%
0.10%
3
1.76%
2.04%
1.18%
0.46%
0.13%
0.03%
4
0.42%
0.49%
0.28%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
SC Farense
1-011.52%
2-05.51%
2-16.39%
3-01.76%
3-12.04%
3-21.18%
4-00.42%
4-10.49%
4-20.28%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-012.05%
1-113.36%
2-23.71%
3-30.46%
Nacional
0-113.98%
0-28.11%
1-27.75%
0-33.13%
1-33.00%
2-31.43%
0-40.91%
1-40.87%
2-40.42%
3-40.13%
0-50.21%
1-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

SC Farense
Nacional
Score01234
0
37.54%
20.16%
5.41%
0.97%
0.13%
1
16.62%
8.92%
2.40%
0.43%
0.06%
2
3.68%
1.98%
0.53%
0.09%
0.01%
3
0.54%
0.29%
0.08%
0.01%
0.00%
SC Farense
1-016.62%
2-03.68%
2-11.98%
3-00.54%
3-10.29%
Draw
0-037.54%
1-18.92%
2-20.53%
Nacional
0-120.16%
0-25.41%
1-22.40%
0-30.97%
1-30.43%
0-40.13%