Rio Ave at Nacional

Updated

Rio Ave

40.4%30.0%29.5%
Rio Ave WinDrawNacional Win
1.17Projected Goals 0.86
2Final Score 1

Nacional

Last 5 Games

Rio Ave
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Porto+700
L 0-1 at Santa Clara+220
L 2-0 vs Sporting CP+410
T 0-0 at Portimonense+220
T 1-1 vs Pacos+125
Nacional
Money Line
L 0-3 at Famalicao+315
L 3-1 vs Benfica+675
T 2-2 at Moreirense+225
L 0-2 at Sporting CP+1200
W 0-1 vs Vitoria+270

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Rio Ave-149-167-170-167-168-172-167-
Nacional+420+425+400+390+435+400+435-
Draw+270+327+300+300+306+310+327-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Rio Ave-165-----170-170-
Nacional+450----+425+425-
Draw+300----+330+330-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Rio Ave: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Rio Ave: 0.0%
Nacional: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Rio Ave: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Rio Ave ML moved from -163 to -171
Nacional ML moved from +450 to +435

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Rio Ave: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Rio Ave: 0.0%
Nacional: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Rio Ave: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Rio Ave ML moved from -160 to -170
Nacional ML moved from +435 to +400

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-102o2¾-102o2½-140o2¾-114-o2¾-114o2¾-102-
Underu2½-118u2¾-120u2½+115u2¾-106-u2¾-106u2¾-106-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-112 to o2¾-102
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.8%
 
No60.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 013.08%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 49.33%
Exactly 61.29%
 
Exactly 126.61%
Exactly 318.35%
Exactly 53.80%
Exactly 70.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Rio Ave
Exactly 030.87%
Exactly 136.28%
Exactly 221.32%
Exactly 38.36%
Exactly 42.46%
Exactly 50.58%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 042.37%
Exactly 136.38%
Exactly 215.62%
Exactly 34.47%
Exactly 40.96%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 038.99%
Exactly 217.29%
Exactly 41.28%
 
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 35.43%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Rio Ave
Exactly 058.03%
Exactly 131.58%
Exactly 28.59%
Exactly 31.56%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 067.20%
Exactly 126.71%
Exactly 25.31%
Exactly 30.70%

Alternate Props

Spread

Rio Ave
Wins by 2+ goals18.62%
Wins by 3+ goals6.13%
Wins by 4+ goals1.60%
Wins by 5+ goals0.33%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals8.83%
Wins by 3+ goals2.17%
Wins by 4+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Rio Ave
Nacional
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Rio Ave
Wins by 1 goal24.55%
Wins by 2 goals12.49%
Wins by 3 goals4.53%
Wins by 4 goals1.27%
Wins by 5 goals0.29%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal17.94%
Wins by 2 goals6.66%
Wins by 3 goals1.76%
Wins by 4 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.92%13.08%
1.560.31%39.69%
2.533.26%66.74%
3.514.91%85.09%
4.55.58%94.42%
5.51.78%98.22%

Total Goals Rio Ave Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.13%30.87%
1.532.85%67.15%
2.511.52%88.48%
3.53.17%96.83%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.63%42.37%
1.521.24%78.76%
2.55.62%94.38%
3.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.01%38.99%
1.524.28%75.72%
2.56.99%93.01%
3.51.56%98.44%

Score Props

Correct Score

Rio Ave
Nacional
Score01234
0
13.08%
11.23%
4.82%
1.38%
0.30%
1
15.37%
13.20%
5.67%
1.62%
0.35%
2
9.04%
7.76%
3.33%
0.95%
0.20%
3
3.54%
3.04%
1.31%
0.37%
0.08%
4
1.04%
0.89%
0.38%
0.11%
0.02%
5
0.24%
0.21%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Rio Ave
1-015.37%
2-09.04%
2-17.76%
3-03.54%
3-13.04%
3-21.31%
4-01.04%
4-10.89%
4-20.38%
4-30.11%
5-00.24%
5-10.21%
Draw
0-013.08%
1-113.20%
2-23.33%
3-30.37%
Nacional
0-111.23%
0-24.82%
1-25.67%
0-31.38%
1-31.62%
2-30.95%
0-40.30%
1-40.35%
2-40.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Rio Ave
Nacional
Score0123
0
38.99%
15.50%
3.08%
0.41%
1
21.22%
8.44%
1.68%
0.22%
2
5.77%
2.30%
0.46%
0.06%
3
1.05%
0.42%
0.08%
0.01%
4
0.14%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Rio Ave
1-021.22%
2-05.77%
2-12.30%
3-01.05%
3-10.42%
4-00.14%
Draw
0-038.99%
1-18.44%
2-20.46%
Nacional
0-115.50%
0-23.08%
1-21.68%
0-30.41%
1-30.22%