Nacional at Sporting CP

Updated

Nacional

13.8%13.5%72.7%
WinDrawSporting CP Win
0.46Projected Goals 2.46
0Final Score 2

Sporting CP

Last 5 Games

Nacional
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Vitoria+270
L 1-2 at Tondela+260
L 1-0 vs Porto+1200
L 1-5 at Santa Clara+410
L 5-1 vs Portimonense+190
Sporting CP
Money Line
W 1-0 at Braga+165
T 2-2 vs Belenenses-250
W 1-0 at SC Farense-155
T 1-1 vs Famalicao-205
T 1-1 at Moreirense-230

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+860+1176+950+770+871+770+1176-
Sporting CP-370-399-345-312-325-312-312-
Draw+430+481+400+385+420+385+481-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+1225----+1200+1200-
Sporting CP-410-----400-400-
Draw+465----+475+475-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 20.0%
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 0.0%
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nacional ML moved from +940 to +871
Sporting CP ML moved from -375 to -399

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 20.0%
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 10.0%
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nacional ML moved from +1225 to +1100
Sporting CP ML moved from -380 to -400

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-119o2¾-108o2½-130o2¾-118-o2¾-118o2½-130-
Underu2¾-101u2¾-114u2½+110u2¾-102-u2¾-102u2¾-102-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes34.0%
 
No66.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.38%
Exactly 222.97%
Exactly 416.35%
Exactly 64.66%
Exactly 80.71%
 
Exactly 115.72%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 59.56%
Exactly 71.94%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 062.79%
Exactly 129.22%
Exactly 26.80%
Exactly 31.05%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Sporting CP
Exactly 08.57%
Exactly 121.05%
Exactly 225.86%
Exactly 321.19%
Exactly 413.02%
Exactly 56.40%
Exactly 62.62%
Exactly 70.92%
Exactly 80.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.84%
Exactly 223.66%
Exactly 43.61%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 134.97%
Exactly 310.67%
Exactly 50.98%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 080.62%
Exactly 117.37%
Exactly 21.87%
Exactly 30.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sporting CP
Exactly 032.05%
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 220.75%
Exactly 37.87%
Exactly 42.24%
Exactly 50.51%

Alternate Props

Spread

Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals0.96%
Sporting CP
Wins by 2+ goals58.80%
Wins by 3+ goals35.42%
Wins by 4+ goals17.85%
Wins by 5+ goals7.62%
Wins by 6+ goals2.77%
Wins by 7+ goals0.84%
Wins by 8+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Nacional
Sporting CP
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal4.23%
Wins by 2 goals0.84%
Sporting CP
Wins by 1 goal22.36%
Wins by 2 goals23.39%
Wins by 3 goals17.57%
Wins by 4 goals10.23%
Wins by 5 goals4.85%
Wins by 6 goals1.93%
Wins by 7 goals0.66%
Wins by 8 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.62%5.38%
1.578.90%21.10%
2.555.93%44.07%
3.533.55%66.45%
4.517.19%82.81%
5.57.63%92.37%
6.52.98%97.02%
7.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.537.21%62.79%
1.57.99%92.01%
2.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals Sporting CP Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.43%8.57%
1.570.38%29.62%
2.544.52%55.48%
3.523.34%76.66%
4.510.32%89.68%
5.53.92%96.08%
6.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.16%25.84%
1.539.19%60.81%
2.515.53%84.47%
3.54.86%95.14%
4.51.25%98.75%

Score Props

Correct Score

Nacional
Sporting CP
Score012345
0
5.38%
13.22%
16.24%
13.30%
8.17%
4.02%
1
2.50%
6.15%
7.56%
6.19%
3.80%
1.87%
2
0.58%
1.43%
1.76%
1.44%
0.88%
0.43%
Nacional
1-02.50%
2-00.58%
2-11.43%
Draw
0-05.38%
1-16.15%
2-21.76%
3-30.22%
Sporting CP
0-113.22%
0-216.24%
1-27.56%
0-313.30%
1-36.19%
2-31.44%
0-48.17%
1-43.80%
2-40.88%
3-40.14%
0-54.02%
1-51.87%
2-50.43%

Correct Score - First Half

Nacional
Sporting CP
Score012345
0
25.84%
29.40%
16.73%
6.34%
1.80%
0.41%
1
5.57%
6.33%
3.60%
1.37%
0.39%
0.09%
2
0.60%
0.68%
0.39%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
Nacional
1-05.57%
2-00.60%
2-10.68%
Draw
0-025.84%
1-16.33%
2-20.39%
Sporting CP
0-129.40%
0-216.73%
1-23.60%
0-36.34%
1-31.37%
2-30.15%
0-41.80%
1-40.39%
0-50.41%