Nacional at Tondela

Updated

Nacional

32.2%31.1%36.7%
Nacional WinDrawTondela Win
0.92Projected Goals 1.04
1Final Score 2

Tondela

Last 5 Games

Nacional
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Porto+1200
L 1-5 at Santa Clara+410
L 5-1 vs Portimonense+190
L 0-2 at Gil Vicente FC+310
L 2-1 vs Maritimo+200
Tondela
Money Line
W 3-2 at Moreirense+200
L 2-0 vs Porto+825
W 2-1 at Vitoria+440
T 1-1 at Santa Clara+400
L 1-0 vs Sporting CP+825

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+270+244+230+220+238+220+244-
Tondela-104+116+110+120+111+120+120-
Draw+215+235+240+220+244+220+244-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+260----+260+260-
Tondela+105----+110+110-
Draw+250----+235+235-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 30.0%
Tondela: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 0.0%
Tondela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nacional ML moved from +251 to +244
Tondela ML moved from +125 to +116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 30.0%
Tondela: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 10.0%
Tondela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nacional ML
No Steam Moves On Tondela ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+115o2½-101o2½+105o2½+100-o2½+100o2½+105-
Underu2½-140u2½-120u2½-125u2½-120-u2½-120u2½-120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-112 to o2½+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.9%
 
No61.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 014.09%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 48.66%
Exactly 61.11%
 
Exactly 127.62%
Exactly 317.67%
Exactly 53.39%
Exactly 70.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 040.01%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 216.79%
Exactly 35.13%
Exactly 41.17%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Tondela
Exactly 035.23%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 219.17%
Exactly 36.67%
Exactly 41.74%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 040.37%
Exactly 216.61%
Exactly 41.14%
 
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 35.02%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 065.43%
Exactly 127.75%
Exactly 25.89%
Exactly 30.83%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Tondela
Exactly 061.69%
Exactly 129.80%
Exactly 27.20%
Exactly 31.16%
Exactly 40.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals10.89%
Wins by 3+ goals2.85%
Wins by 4+ goals0.57%
Tondela
Wins by 2+ goals14.76%
Wins by 3+ goals4.34%
Wins by 4+ goals0.97%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Nacional
Tondela
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal20.15%
Wins by 2 goals8.04%
Wins by 3 goals2.28%
Wins by 4 goals0.49%
Tondela
Wins by 1 goal22.94%
Wins by 2 goals10.42%
Wins by 3 goals3.37%
Wins by 4 goals0.83%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.91%14.09%
1.558.29%41.71%
2.531.23%68.77%
3.513.56%86.44%
4.54.91%95.09%
5.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.99%40.01%
1.523.34%76.66%
2.56.55%93.45%
3.51.43%98.57%

Total Goals Tondela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.77%35.23%
1.528.02%71.98%
2.58.84%91.16%
3.52.18%97.82%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.63%40.37%
1.523.01%76.99%
2.56.40%93.60%
3.51.38%98.62%

Score Props

Correct Score

Nacional
Tondela
Score01234
0
14.09%
14.70%
7.67%
2.67%
0.70%
1
12.91%
13.47%
7.03%
2.44%
0.64%
2
5.91%
6.17%
3.22%
1.12%
0.29%
3
1.81%
1.88%
0.98%
0.34%
0.09%
4
0.41%
0.43%
0.23%
0.08%
0.02%
Nacional
1-012.91%
2-05.91%
2-16.17%
3-01.81%
3-11.88%
3-20.98%
4-00.41%
4-10.43%
4-20.23%
Draw
0-014.09%
1-113.47%
2-23.22%
3-30.34%
Tondela
0-114.70%
0-27.67%
1-27.03%
0-32.67%
1-32.44%
2-31.12%
0-40.70%
1-40.64%
2-40.29%

Correct Score - First Half

Nacional
Tondela
Score0123
0
40.37%
19.50%
4.71%
0.76%
1
17.12%
8.27%
2.00%
0.32%
2
3.63%
1.75%
0.42%
0.07%
3
0.51%
0.25%
0.06%
0.01%
Nacional
1-017.12%
2-03.63%
2-11.75%
3-00.51%
3-10.25%
Draw
0-040.37%
1-18.27%
2-20.42%
Tondela
0-119.50%
0-24.71%
1-22.00%
0-30.76%
1-30.32%