Nacional at Santa Clara

Updated

Nacional

28.3%27.4%44.2%
Nacional WinDrawSanta Clara Win
0.88Projected Goals 1.39
1Final Score 5

Santa Clara

Last 5 Games

Nacional
Money Line
L 5-1 vs Portimonense+190
L 0-2 at Gil Vicente FC+310
L 2-1 vs Maritimo+200
L 1-2 at Pacos+450
L 2-1 vs Braga+525
Santa Clara
Money Line
L 1-2 at Porto+1100
T 1-1 vs Tondela-120
W 0-2 vs Portimonense+150
L 1-2 at Sporting CP+800
W 0-3 vs Pacos+185

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+270+431+400+345+420+345+431-
Santa Clara+105-139-140-130-131-130-130-
Draw+210+256+245+235+233+235+256-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+375----+410+410-
Santa Clara-125-----135-135-
Draw+245----+260+260-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Santa Clara: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 0.0%
Santa Clara: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 0.0%
Santa Clara: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nacional ML moved from +345 to +335
Santa Clara ML moved from -133 to -139

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Santa Clara: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 0.0%
Santa Clara: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 0.0%
Santa Clara: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nacional ML
Santa Clara ML moved from -125 to -135

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+120o2¼-106o2½+120o2¼-106-o2¼-106o2½+120-
Underu2½-145u2¼-115u2½-145u2¼-114-u2¼-114u2½-145-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.1%
 
No55.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.30%
Exactly 226.61%
Exactly 411.46%
Exactly 61.97%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.41%
Exactly 320.16%
Exactly 55.21%
Exactly 70.64%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 041.18%
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 216.21%
Exactly 34.79%
Exactly 41.06%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Santa Clara
Exactly 025.01%
Exactly 134.66%
Exactly 224.02%
Exactly 311.09%
Exactly 43.84%
Exactly 51.07%
Exactly 60.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.91%
Exactly 219.33%
Exactly 41.78%
 
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 36.78%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 066.31%
Exactly 127.24%
Exactly 25.59%
Exactly 30.77%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Santa Clara
Exactly 052.64%
Exactly 133.78%
Exactly 210.84%
Exactly 32.32%
Exactly 40.37%

Alternate Props

Spread

Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals7.98%
Wins by 3+ goals1.99%
Wins by 4+ goals0.38%
Santa Clara
Wins by 2+ goals23.42%
Wins by 3+ goals8.80%
Wins by 4+ goals2.64%
Wins by 5+ goals0.63%
Wins by 6+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Nacional
Santa Clara
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal16.03%
Wins by 2 goals5.99%
Wins by 3 goals1.61%
Wins by 4 goals0.33%
Santa Clara
Wins by 1 goal25.04%
Wins by 2 goals14.62%
Wins by 3 goals6.16%
Wins by 4 goals2.01%
Wins by 5 goals0.53%
Wins by 6 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.70%10.30%
1.566.29%33.71%
2.539.68%60.32%
3.519.52%80.48%
4.58.06%91.94%
5.52.85%97.15%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.82%41.18%
1.522.28%77.72%
2.56.08%93.92%
3.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals Santa Clara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.99%25.01%
1.540.33%59.67%
2.516.31%83.69%
3.55.21%94.79%
4.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.09%34.91%
1.528.35%71.65%
2.59.02%90.98%
3.52.24%97.76%

Score Props

Correct Score

Nacional
Santa Clara
Score012345
0
10.30%
14.27%
9.89%
4.57%
1.58%
0.44%
1
9.14%
12.66%
8.77%
4.05%
1.40%
0.39%
2
4.05%
5.62%
3.89%
1.80%
0.62%
0.17%
3
1.20%
1.66%
1.15%
0.53%
0.18%
0.05%
4
0.27%
0.37%
0.26%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Nacional
1-09.14%
2-04.05%
2-15.62%
3-01.20%
3-11.66%
3-21.15%
4-00.27%
4-10.37%
4-20.26%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-010.30%
1-112.66%
2-23.89%
3-30.53%
Santa Clara
0-114.27%
0-29.89%
1-28.77%
0-34.57%
1-34.05%
2-31.80%
0-41.58%
1-41.40%
2-40.62%
3-40.18%
0-50.44%
1-50.39%
2-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Nacional
Santa Clara
Score01234
0
34.91%
22.40%
7.19%
1.54%
0.25%
1
14.34%
9.20%
2.95%
0.63%
0.10%
2
2.95%
1.89%
0.61%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.40%
0.26%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Nacional
1-014.34%
2-02.95%
2-11.89%
3-00.40%
3-10.26%
Draw
0-034.91%
1-19.20%
2-20.61%
Santa Clara
0-122.40%
0-27.19%
1-22.95%
0-31.54%
1-30.63%
2-30.13%
0-40.25%
1-40.10%