Nacional at Moreirense

Updated

Nacional

26.6%27.3%46.1%
Nacional WinDrawMoreirense Win
0.82Projected Goals 1.41
2Final Score 2

Moreirense

Last 5 Games

Nacional
Money Line
L 0-2 at Sporting CP+1200
W 0-1 vs Vitoria+270
L 1-2 at Tondela+260
L 1-0 vs Porto+1200
L 1-5 at Santa Clara+410
Moreirense
Money Line
L 0-2 at Vitoria+360
T 1-1 vs Porto+1225
T 0-0 at Santa Clara+400
L 3-2 vs Tondela+150
W 2-1 at Gil Vicente FC+265

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+175+231+215+220+211+220+231-
Moreirense+160+123+125+127+129+127+129-
Draw+220+231+230+235+232+235+235-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+215----+225+225-
Moreirense+125----+130+130-
Draw+245----+225+225-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 0.0%
Moreirense: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 0.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nacional ML moved from +215 to +207
Moreirense ML moved from +120 to +108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 0.0%
Moreirense: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 0.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nacional ML moved from +245 to +225
Moreirense ML moved from +120 to +110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-110o2¼-114o2½+115o2¼-107-o2¼-107o2¼-107-
Underu2¼-110u2¼-108u2½-140u2¼-113-u2¼-113u2½-140-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.1%
 
No57.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.80%
Exactly 226.75%
Exactly 411.04%
Exactly 61.82%
Exactly 80.16%
 
Exactly 124.04%
Exactly 319.84%
Exactly 54.91%
Exactly 70.58%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 044.32%
Exactly 136.06%
Exactly 214.67%
Exactly 33.98%
Exactly 40.81%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 024.37%
Exactly 134.41%
Exactly 224.29%
Exactly 311.43%
Exactly 44.03%
Exactly 51.14%
Exactly 60.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.69%
Exactly 218.94%
Exactly 41.68%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 36.51%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 068.61%
Exactly 125.85%
Exactly 24.87%
Exactly 30.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 052.02%
Exactly 134.00%
Exactly 211.11%
Exactly 32.42%
Exactly 40.40%

Alternate Props

Spread

Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals6.71%
Wins by 3+ goals1.56%
Wins by 4+ goals0.27%
Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals25.18%
Wins by 3+ goals9.66%
Wins by 4+ goals2.96%
Wins by 5+ goals0.72%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Nacional
Moreirense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal14.90%
Wins by 2 goals5.16%
Wins by 3 goals1.28%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal25.86%
Wins by 2 goals15.53%
Wins by 3 goals6.70%
Wins by 4 goals2.24%
Wins by 5 goals0.60%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.20%10.80%
1.565.16%34.84%
2.538.41%61.59%
3.518.57%81.43%
4.57.53%92.47%
5.52.61%97.39%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.68%44.32%
1.519.61%80.39%
2.54.94%95.06%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.63%24.37%
1.541.22%58.78%
2.516.93%83.07%
3.55.51%94.49%
4.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.31%35.69%
1.527.54%72.46%
2.58.60%91.40%
3.52.09%97.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Nacional
Moreirense
Score012345
0
10.80%
15.25%
10.76%
5.07%
1.79%
0.50%
1
8.79%
12.41%
8.76%
4.12%
1.45%
0.41%
2
3.58%
5.05%
3.56%
1.68%
0.59%
0.17%
3
0.97%
1.37%
0.97%
0.45%
0.16%
0.05%
4
0.20%
0.28%
0.20%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Nacional
1-08.79%
2-03.58%
2-15.05%
3-00.97%
3-11.37%
3-20.97%
4-00.20%
4-10.28%
4-20.20%
Draw
0-010.80%
1-112.41%
2-23.56%
3-30.45%
Moreirense
0-115.25%
0-210.76%
1-28.76%
0-35.07%
1-34.12%
2-31.68%
0-41.79%
1-41.45%
2-40.59%
3-40.16%
0-50.50%
1-50.41%
2-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Nacional
Moreirense
Score01234
0
35.69%
23.33%
7.62%
1.66%
0.27%
1
13.44%
8.79%
2.87%
0.63%
0.10%
2
2.53%
1.66%
0.54%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.32%
0.21%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Nacional
1-013.44%
2-02.53%
2-11.66%
3-00.32%
3-10.21%
Draw
0-035.69%
1-18.79%
2-20.54%
Moreirense
0-123.33%
0-27.62%
1-22.87%
0-31.66%
1-30.63%
2-30.12%
0-40.27%
1-40.10%