Sporting CP at Nacional

Updated

Sporting CP

71.2%18.5%10.2%
Sporting CP WinDrawWin
2.11Projected Goals 0.65
6Final Score 1

Nacional

Last 5 Games

Sporting CP
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Rio Ave-800
W 0-3 vs Portimonense-1350
T 2-2 at Porto+195
W 0-3 vs Vitoria-375
W 1-0 at Famalicao-350
Nacional
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Rio Ave+425
L 0-3 at Famalicao+315
L 3-1 vs Benfica+675
T 2-2 at Moreirense+225
L 0-2 at Sporting CP+1200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sporting CP-345--435-476--476-435-
Nacional+775-+1000+1000-+1000+1000-
Draw+475-+500+520-+520+520-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sporting CP-375-----420-420-
Nacional+950----+1000+1000-
Draw+500----+550+550-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sporting CP: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sporting CP: 0.0%
Nacional: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sporting CP: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sporting CP ML moved from -435 to -460
Nacional ML moved from +1100 to +1000

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sporting CP: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sporting CP: 0.0%
Nacional: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sporting CP: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sporting CP ML moved from -375 to -420
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110-o3¼-105o3¼-105-o3¼-105o3¼-105-
Underu3-110-u3¼-115u3¼-115-u3¼-115u3¼-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.1%
 
No57.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.31%
Exactly 224.09%
Exactly 415.32%
Exactly 63.90%
Exactly 80.53%
 
Exactly 117.44%
Exactly 322.18%
Exactly 58.47%
Exactly 71.54%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Sporting CP
Exactly 012.12%
Exactly 125.58%
Exactly 226.99%
Exactly 318.98%
Exactly 410.01%
Exactly 54.22%
Exactly 61.49%
Exactly 70.45%
Exactly 80.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 052.05%
Exactly 133.99%
Exactly 211.10%
Exactly 32.42%
Exactly 40.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.82%
Exactly 222.77%
Exactly 43.10%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.59%
Exactly 39.71%
Exactly 50.79%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sporting CP
Exactly 037.65%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 217.96%
Exactly 35.85%
Exactly 41.43%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 073.91%
Exactly 122.35%
Exactly 23.38%
Exactly 30.34%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sporting CP
Wins by 2+ goals46.36%
Wins by 3+ goals24.64%
Wins by 4+ goals10.85%
Wins by 5+ goals4.03%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals2.51%
Wins by 3+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Sporting CP
Nacional
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Sporting CP
Wins by 1 goal24.85%
Wins by 2 goals21.72%
Wins by 3 goals13.79%
Wins by 4 goals6.82%
Wins by 5 goals2.76%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal7.69%
Wins by 2 goals2.07%
Wins by 3 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.69%6.31%
1.576.25%23.75%
2.552.17%47.83%
3.529.98%70.02%
4.514.66%85.34%
5.56.19%93.81%
6.52.29%97.71%

Total Goals Sporting CP Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.88%12.12%
1.562.29%37.71%
2.535.30%64.70%
3.516.32%83.68%
4.56.31%93.69%
5.52.09%97.91%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.547.95%52.05%
1.513.97%86.03%
2.52.87%97.13%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.18%27.82%
1.536.58%63.42%
2.513.81%86.19%
3.54.11%95.89%
4.51.00%99.00%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sporting CP
Nacional
Score0123
0
6.31%
4.12%
1.35%
0.29%
1
13.31%
8.69%
2.84%
0.62%
2
14.05%
9.17%
2.99%
0.65%
3
9.88%
6.45%
2.11%
0.46%
4
5.21%
3.40%
1.11%
0.24%
5
2.20%
1.44%
0.47%
0.10%
Sporting CP
1-013.31%
2-014.05%
2-19.17%
3-09.88%
3-16.45%
3-22.11%
4-05.21%
4-13.40%
4-21.11%
4-30.24%
5-02.20%
5-11.44%
5-20.47%
5-30.10%
Draw
0-06.31%
1-18.69%
2-22.99%
3-30.46%
Nacional
0-14.12%
0-21.35%
1-22.84%
0-30.29%
1-30.62%
2-30.65%

Correct Score - First Half

Sporting CP
Nacional
Score0123
0
27.82%
8.41%
1.27%
0.13%
1
27.18%
8.22%
1.24%
0.13%
2
13.28%
4.01%
0.61%
0.06%
3
4.32%
1.31%
0.20%
0.02%
4
1.06%
0.32%
0.05%
0.00%
5
0.21%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Sporting CP
1-027.18%
2-013.28%
2-14.01%
3-04.32%
3-11.31%
3-20.20%
4-01.06%
4-10.32%
5-00.21%
Draw
0-027.82%
1-18.22%
2-20.61%
Nacional
0-18.41%
0-21.27%
1-21.24%
0-30.13%
1-30.13%