Portimonense at Porto

Updated

Portimonense

4.4%11.5%84.1%
WinDrawPorto Win
0.48Projected Goals 2.72
0Final Score 7

Porto

Last 5 Games

Portimonense
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Famalicao+200
L 0-2 at Belenenses+125
L 2-1 vs Braga+340
L 2-1 vs Benfica+550
T 1-1 at Santa Clara+315
Porto
Money Line
W 1-0 at Vitoria-285
W 0-3 vs Santa Clara-525
W 1-0 at Boavista-265
W 0-4 vs Tondela-950
W 4-2 at Pacos-340

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Portimonense+1500+3049+2200+2000+2078+2000+3049+2148.3
Porto-600-1000-1000-900-1085-900-900-601.2
Draw+600+1009+850+850+915+850+1009+919.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Portimonense+1725----+2000+2000+2148.3
Porto-670-----800-800-601.2
Draw+675----+775+775+919.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Portimonense: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Portimonense: 20.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Portimonense: 30.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Portimonense ML moved from +2300 to +2200
Porto ML moved from -990 to -1000

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Portimonense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Portimonense: 0.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Portimonense: 0.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Portimonense ML moved from +2500 to +2000
Porto ML moved from -855 to -950

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-118o3½-115o3½-115o3½-121-o3½-121o3½-115o3½-109
Underu3-102u3½+100u3½-105u3½+101-u3½+101u3½+101u3½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½-109
Under-----u3½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-109 to o3½+102
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes35.8%
 
No64.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.07%
Exactly 220.86%
Exactly 417.81%
Exactly 66.08%
Exactly 81.11%
Exactly 100.13%
 
Exactly 113.04%
Exactly 322.26%
Exactly 511.40%
Exactly 72.78%
Exactly 90.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Portimonense
Exactly 061.64%
Exactly 129.82%
Exactly 27.22%
Exactly 31.16%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 06.61%
Exactly 117.95%
Exactly 224.39%
Exactly 322.09%
Exactly 415.00%
Exactly 58.15%
Exactly 63.69%
Exactly 71.43%
Exactly 80.49%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.72%
Exactly 224.95%
Exactly 44.57%
Exactly 60.33%
 
Exactly 133.67%
Exactly 312.33%
Exactly 51.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Portimonense
Exactly 079.93%
Exactly 117.91%
Exactly 22.01%
Exactly 30.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 028.42%
Exactly 135.75%
Exactly 222.49%
Exactly 39.43%
Exactly 42.97%
Exactly 50.75%
Exactly 60.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Portimonense
Wins by 2+ goals0.83%
Porto
Wins by 2+ goals63.94%
Wins by 3+ goals41.14%
Wins by 4+ goals22.41%
Wins by 5+ goals10.45%
Wins by 6+ goals4.21%
Wins by 7+ goals1.47%
Wins by 8+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Portimonense
Porto
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Portimonense
Wins by 1 goal3.58%
Wins by 2 goals0.72%
Porto
Wins by 1 goal20.12%
Wins by 2 goals22.80%
Wins by 3 goals18.72%
Wins by 4 goals11.96%
Wins by 5 goals6.24%
Wins by 6 goals2.74%
Wins by 7 goals1.04%
Wins by 8 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.93%4.07%
1.582.89%17.11%
2.562.03%37.97%
3.539.77%60.23%
4.521.96%78.04%
5.510.55%89.45%
6.54.47%95.53%
7.51.69%98.31%

Total Goals Portimonense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.538.36%61.64%
1.58.53%91.47%
2.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.39%6.61%
1.575.44%24.56%
2.551.06%48.94%
3.528.97%71.03%
4.513.97%86.03%
5.55.81%94.19%
6.52.12%97.88%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.28%22.72%
1.543.61%56.39%
2.518.67%81.33%
3.56.34%93.66%
4.51.77%98.23%

Score Props

Correct Score

Portimonense
Porto
Score012345
0
4.07%
11.06%
15.03%
13.61%
9.25%
5.03%
1
1.97%
5.35%
7.27%
6.59%
4.47%
2.43%
2
0.48%
1.30%
1.76%
1.59%
1.08%
0.59%
Portimonense
1-01.97%
2-00.48%
2-11.30%
Draw
0-04.07%
1-15.35%
2-21.76%
3-30.26%
Porto
0-111.06%
0-215.03%
1-27.27%
0-313.61%
1-36.59%
2-31.59%
0-49.25%
1-44.47%
2-41.08%
3-40.17%
0-55.03%
1-52.43%
2-50.59%

Correct Score - First Half

Portimonense
Porto
Score0123456
0
22.72%
28.58%
17.98%
7.54%
2.37%
0.60%
0.13%
1
5.09%
6.40%
4.03%
1.69%
0.53%
0.13%
0.03%
2
0.57%
0.72%
0.45%
0.19%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Portimonense
1-05.09%
2-00.57%
2-10.72%
Draw
0-022.72%
1-16.40%
2-20.45%
Porto
0-128.58%
0-217.98%
1-24.03%
0-37.54%
1-31.69%
2-30.19%
0-42.37%
1-40.53%
0-50.60%
1-50.13%
0-60.13%