Tondela at Porto

Updated

Tondela

4.7%11.6%83.8%
WinDrawPorto Win
0.51Projected Goals 2.74
0Final Score 4

Porto

Last 5 Games

Tondela
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Belenenses-120
L 1-2 at Famalicao+415
L 1-0 vs Braga+400
L 3-1 vs Benfica+810
W 2-1 at Portimonense+240
Porto
Money Line
W 4-2 at Pacos-340
T 1-1 vs Gil Vicente FC-310
W 1-0 at Moreirense-325
T 2-2 vs Sporting CP+105
W 1-2 vs Maritimo-600

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tondela+1400+2841+1800+1500+1750+1500+2841+2119.3
Porto-600-874-850-909-787-909-787-582.8
Draw+600+893+750+740+812+740+893+886.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tondela+2100----+2300+2300+2119.3
Porto-800-----950-950-582.8
Draw+750----+850+850+886.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tondela: 20.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tondela: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tondela: 20.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tondela ML moved from +2763 to +2548
Porto ML moved from -846 to -874

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tondela: 20.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tondela: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tondela: 10.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Tondela ML
Porto ML moved from -850 to -950

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼+105o3½-106o3½-110o3½-112-o3½-112o3½-106o3½+100
Underu3¼-125u3½-109u3½-110u3½-108-u3½-108u3½-108u3½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½+100
Under-----u3½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-117 to o3½-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes37.5%
 
No62.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.88%
Exactly 220.49%
Exactly 418.02%
Exactly 66.34%
Exactly 81.19%
Exactly 100.14%
 
Exactly 112.62%
Exactly 322.19%
Exactly 511.70%
Exactly 72.94%
Exactly 90.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Tondela
Exactly 059.93%
Exactly 130.68%
Exactly 27.85%
Exactly 31.34%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 06.48%
Exactly 117.74%
Exactly 224.26%
Exactly 322.13%
Exactly 415.14%
Exactly 58.28%
Exactly 63.78%
Exactly 71.48%
Exactly 80.50%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.23%
Exactly 225.13%
Exactly 44.74%
Exactly 60.36%
 
Exactly 133.43%
Exactly 312.60%
Exactly 51.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Tondela
Exactly 078.90%
Exactly 118.70%
Exactly 22.22%
Exactly 30.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 028.17%
Exactly 135.69%
Exactly 222.61%
Exactly 39.55%
Exactly 43.02%
Exactly 50.77%
Exactly 60.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Tondela
Wins by 2+ goals0.92%
Porto
Wins by 2+ goals63.68%
Wins by 3+ goals41.04%
Wins by 4+ goals22.43%
Wins by 5+ goals10.50%
Wins by 6+ goals4.25%
Wins by 7+ goals1.49%
Wins by 8+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Tondela
Porto
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Tondela
Wins by 1 goal3.75%
Wins by 2 goals0.79%
Porto
Wins by 1 goal20.03%
Wins by 2 goals22.64%
Wins by 3 goals18.61%
Wins by 4 goals11.93%
Wins by 5 goals6.25%
Wins by 6 goals2.76%
Wins by 7 goals1.05%
Wins by 8 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.12%3.88%
1.583.50%16.50%
2.563.00%37.00%
3.540.82%59.18%
4.522.80%77.20%
5.511.10%88.90%
6.54.76%95.24%
7.51.82%98.18%

Total Goals Tondela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.540.07%59.93%
1.59.39%90.61%
2.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.52%6.48%
1.575.78%24.22%
2.551.52%48.48%
3.529.39%70.61%
4.514.25%85.75%
5.55.97%94.03%
6.52.19%97.81%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.77%22.23%
1.544.35%55.65%
2.519.21%80.79%
3.56.61%93.39%
4.51.88%98.12%

Score Props

Correct Score

Tondela
Porto
Score012345
0
3.88%
10.63%
14.54%
13.26%
9.07%
4.96%
1
1.99%
5.44%
7.44%
6.79%
4.64%
2.54%
2
0.51%
1.39%
1.91%
1.74%
1.19%
0.65%
Tondela
1-01.99%
2-00.51%
2-11.39%
Draw
0-03.88%
1-15.44%
2-21.91%
3-30.30%
Porto
0-110.63%
0-214.54%
1-27.44%
0-313.26%
1-36.79%
2-31.74%
0-49.07%
1-44.64%
2-41.19%
3-40.20%
0-54.96%
1-52.54%
2-50.65%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Tondela
Porto
Score0123456
0
22.23%
28.16%
17.84%
7.53%
2.39%
0.60%
0.13%
1
5.27%
6.67%
4.23%
1.79%
0.57%
0.14%
0.03%
2
0.62%
0.79%
0.50%
0.21%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Tondela
1-05.27%
2-00.62%
2-10.79%
Draw
0-022.23%
1-16.67%
2-20.50%
Porto
0-128.16%
0-217.84%
1-24.23%
0-37.53%
1-31.79%
2-30.21%
0-42.39%
1-40.57%
0-50.60%
1-50.14%
0-60.13%
Vitória at Marítimo
Gil Vicente FC at Braga