Tondela at Porto

Updated

Tondela

4.7%11.6%83.8%
WinDrawPorto Win
0.51Projected Goals 2.74
0Final Score 4

Porto

Last 5 Games

Tondela
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Belenenses-120
L 1-2 at Famalicao+415
L 1-0 vs Braga+400
L 3-1 vs Benfica+810
W 2-1 at Portimonense+240
Porto
Money Line
W 4-2 at Pacos-340
T 1-1 vs Gil Vicente FC-310
W 1-0 at Moreirense-325
T 2-2 vs Sporting CP+105
W 1-2 vs Maritimo-600

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tondela+1400+2841+1800+1500+1750+1500+2841+2119.3
Porto-600-874-850-909-787-909-787-582.8
Draw+600+893+750+740+812+740+893+886.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tondela+2100----+2300+2300+2119.3
Porto-800-----950-950-582.8
Draw+750----+850+850+886.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tondela: 20.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tondela: 20.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tondela ML moved from +2763 to +2548
Porto ML moved from -846 to -874

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tondela: 20.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tondela: 10.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Tondela ML
Porto ML moved from -850 to -950

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼+105o3½-106o3½-110o3½-112-o3½-112o3½-106o3½+100
Underu3¼-125u3½-109u3½-110u3½-108-u3½-108u3½-108u3½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½+100
Under-----u3½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-117 to o3½-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes37.5%
 
No62.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.88%
Exactly 220.49%
Exactly 418.02%
Exactly 66.34%
Exactly 81.19%
Exactly 100.14%
 
Exactly 112.62%
Exactly 322.19%
Exactly 511.70%
Exactly 72.94%
Exactly 90.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Tondela
Exactly 059.93%
Exactly 130.68%
Exactly 27.85%
Exactly 31.34%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 06.48%
Exactly 117.74%
Exactly 224.26%
Exactly 322.13%
Exactly 415.14%
Exactly 58.28%
Exactly 63.78%
Exactly 71.48%
Exactly 80.50%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.23%
Exactly 225.13%
Exactly 44.74%
Exactly 60.36%
 
Exactly 133.43%
Exactly 312.60%
Exactly 51.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Tondela
Exactly 078.90%
Exactly 118.70%
Exactly 22.22%
Exactly 30.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 028.17%
Exactly 135.69%
Exactly 222.61%
Exactly 39.55%
Exactly 43.02%
Exactly 50.77%
Exactly 60.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Tondela
Wins by 2+ goals0.92%
Porto
Wins by 2+ goals63.68%
Wins by 3+ goals41.04%
Wins by 4+ goals22.43%
Wins by 5+ goals10.50%
Wins by 6+ goals4.25%
Wins by 7+ goals1.49%
Wins by 8+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Tondela
Porto
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Tondela
Wins by 1 goal3.75%
Wins by 2 goals0.79%
Porto
Wins by 1 goal20.03%
Wins by 2 goals22.64%
Wins by 3 goals18.61%
Wins by 4 goals11.93%
Wins by 5 goals6.25%
Wins by 6 goals2.76%
Wins by 7 goals1.05%
Wins by 8 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.12%3.88%
1.583.50%16.50%
2.563.00%37.00%
3.540.82%59.18%
4.522.80%77.20%
5.511.10%88.90%
6.54.76%95.24%
7.51.82%98.18%

Total Goals Tondela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.540.07%59.93%
1.59.39%90.61%
2.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.52%6.48%
1.575.78%24.22%
2.551.52%48.48%
3.529.39%70.61%
4.514.25%85.75%
5.55.97%94.03%
6.52.19%97.81%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.77%22.23%
1.544.35%55.65%
2.519.21%80.79%
3.56.61%93.39%
4.51.88%98.12%

Score Props

Correct Score

Tondela
Porto
Score012345
0
3.88%
10.63%
14.54%
13.26%
9.07%
4.96%
1
1.99%
5.44%
7.44%
6.79%
4.64%
2.54%
2
0.51%
1.39%
1.91%
1.74%
1.19%
0.65%
Tondela
1-01.99%
2-00.51%
2-11.39%
Draw
0-03.88%
1-15.44%
2-21.91%
3-30.30%
Porto
0-110.63%
0-214.54%
1-27.44%
0-313.26%
1-36.79%
2-31.74%
0-49.07%
1-44.64%
2-41.19%
3-40.20%
0-54.96%
1-52.54%
2-50.65%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Tondela
Porto
Score0123456
0
22.23%
28.16%
17.84%
7.53%
2.39%
0.60%
0.13%
1
5.27%
6.67%
4.23%
1.79%
0.57%
0.14%
0.03%
2
0.62%
0.79%
0.50%
0.21%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Tondela
1-05.27%
2-00.62%
2-10.79%
Draw
0-022.23%
1-16.67%
2-20.50%
Porto
0-128.16%
0-217.84%
1-24.23%
0-37.53%
1-31.79%
2-30.21%
0-42.39%
1-40.57%
0-50.60%
1-50.14%
0-60.13%