Belenenses at Tondela

Updated

Belenenses

31.4%32.4%36.2%
Belenenses WinDrawTondela Win
0.87Projected Goals 0.97
1Final Score 1

Tondela

Last 5 Games

Belenenses
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Pacos+210
L 0-2 at Gil Vicente FC+560
W 0-1 vs Vitoria+280
L 1-4 at Moreirense+450
L 4-1 vs Sporting CP+1200
Tondela
Money Line
L 1-2 at Famalicao+415
L 1-0 vs Braga+400
L 3-1 vs Benfica+810
W 2-1 at Portimonense+240
T 2-2 at Santa Clara+400

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Belenenses+295+360+330+345+341+345+360+377.1
Tondela-105-109-115-115-119-115-109-107.2
Draw+235+244+245+265+248+265+265+266.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Belenenses+280----+360+360+377.1
Tondela+100-----120-120-107.2
Draw+245----+250+250+266.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Belenenses: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Belenenses: 50.0%
Tondela: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Belenenses: 0.0%
Tondela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Belenenses ML moved from +360 to +345
Tondela ML moved from -110 to -125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Belenenses: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Belenenses: 50.0%
Tondela: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Belenenses: 0.0%
Tondela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Belenenses ML moved from +375 to +360
Tondela ML moved from +100 to -125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2½+121o2¼-112o2¼-108-o2¼-108o2¼-108o2½+119
Underu2½-122u2½-136u2¼-108u2¼-112-u2¼-112u2½-136u2½-119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+119
Under-----u2½-119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes36.1%
 
No63.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 015.87%
Exactly 226.89%
Exactly 47.59%
Exactly 60.86%
 
Exactly 129.21%
Exactly 316.50%
Exactly 52.80%
Exactly 70.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Belenenses
Exactly 041.66%
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 215.97%
Exactly 34.66%
Exactly 41.02%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Tondela
Exactly 038.09%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.74%
Exactly 35.71%
Exactly 41.38%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 042.64%
Exactly 215.49%
Exactly 40.94%
 
Exactly 136.34%
Exactly 34.40%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Belenenses
Exactly 066.67%
Exactly 127.03%
Exactly 25.48%
Exactly 30.74%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Tondela
Exactly 063.96%
Exactly 128.58%
Exactly 26.39%
Exactly 30.95%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Belenenses
Wins by 2+ goals10.70%
Wins by 3+ goals2.71%
Wins by 4+ goals0.52%
Tondela
Wins by 2+ goals13.41%
Wins by 3+ goals3.70%
Wins by 4+ goals0.78%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Belenenses
Tondela
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Belenenses
Wins by 1 goal20.66%
Wins by 2 goals7.99%
Wins by 3 goals2.18%
Wins by 4 goals0.45%
Tondela
Wins by 1 goal22.77%
Wins by 2 goals9.71%
Wins by 3 goals2.92%
Wins by 4 goals0.67%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.13%15.87%
1.554.92%45.08%
2.528.03%71.97%
3.511.54%88.46%
4.53.94%96.06%
5.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Belenenses Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.34%41.66%
1.521.86%78.14%
2.55.89%94.11%
3.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals Tondela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.91%38.09%
1.525.14%74.86%
2.57.40%92.60%
3.51.69%98.31%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.36%42.64%
1.521.01%78.99%
2.55.52%94.48%
3.51.12%98.88%

Score Props

Correct Score

Belenenses
Tondela
Score01234
0
15.87%
15.32%
7.39%
2.38%
0.57%
1
13.90%
13.41%
6.47%
2.08%
0.50%
2
6.08%
5.87%
2.83%
0.91%
0.22%
3
1.78%
1.71%
0.83%
0.27%
0.06%
4
0.39%
0.38%
0.18%
0.06%
0.01%
Belenenses
1-013.90%
2-06.08%
2-15.87%
3-01.78%
3-11.71%
3-20.83%
4-00.39%
4-10.38%
4-20.18%
Draw
0-015.87%
1-113.41%
2-22.83%
3-30.27%
Tondela
0-115.32%
0-27.39%
1-26.47%
0-32.38%
1-32.08%
2-30.91%
0-40.57%
1-40.50%
2-40.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Belenenses
Tondela
Score0123
0
42.64%
19.06%
4.26%
0.63%
1
17.29%
7.73%
1.73%
0.26%
2
3.51%
1.57%
0.35%
0.05%
3
0.47%
0.21%
0.05%
0.01%
Belenenses
1-017.29%
2-03.51%
2-11.57%
3-00.47%
3-10.21%
Draw
0-042.64%
1-17.73%
2-20.35%
Tondela
0-119.06%
0-24.26%
1-21.73%
0-30.63%
1-30.26%