Paços at Belenenses

Updated

Pacos

46.8%28.7%24.5%
Paços WinDrawBelenenses Win
1.29Projected Goals 0.85
2Final Score 0

Belenenses

Last 5 Games

Pacos
Money Line
L 1-2 at Braga+785
T 1-1 vs Portimonense+150
T 1-1 vs Boavista+160
T 0-0 at Famalicao+305
L 0-2 at Benfica+1400
Belenenses
Money Line
L 0-2 at Gil Vicente FC+560
W 0-1 vs Vitoria+280
L 1-4 at Moreirense+450
L 4-1 vs Sporting CP+1200
T 1-1 at Maritimo+445

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Paços+130+147+145+144+132+144+147+154.9
Belenenses+220+232+215+184+221+184+232+237.7
Draw+215+212+190+215+219+215+219+221.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Paços+140----+140+140+154.9
Belenenses+210----+210+210+237.7
Draw+220----+220+220+221.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Paços: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Belenenses: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Paços: 30.0%
Belenenses: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Paços: 0.0%
Belenenses: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Paços ML moved from +138 to +132
Belenenses ML moved from +246 to +236

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Paços: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Belenenses: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Paços: 30.0%
Belenenses: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Paços: 0.0%
Belenenses: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Paços ML
No Steam Moves On Belenenses ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+100o2-123o2¼+108o2-129-o2-129o2-123o2-119
Underu2¼-120u2+108u2¼-128u2+109-u2+109u2¼-128u2+119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-119
Under-----u2+119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.4%
 
No58.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.81%
Exactly 226.95%
Exactly 410.25%
Exactly 61.56%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 125.23%
Exactly 319.19%
Exactly 54.38%
Exactly 70.48%
Exact Goals Scored - Pacos
Exactly 027.53%
Exactly 135.51%
Exactly 222.90%
Exactly 39.85%
Exactly 43.17%
Exactly 50.82%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Belenenses
Exactly 042.90%
Exactly 136.31%
Exactly 215.36%
Exactly 34.33%
Exactly 40.92%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.19%
Exactly 218.19%
Exactly 41.48%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.00%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Pacos
Exactly 055.04%
Exactly 132.87%
Exactly 29.81%
Exactly 31.95%
Exactly 40.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Belenenses
Exactly 067.58%
Exactly 126.48%
Exactly 25.19%
Exactly 30.68%

Alternate Props

Spread

Pacos
Wins by 2+ goals21.61%
Wins by 3+ goals7.69%
Wins by 4+ goals2.18%
Wins by 5+ goals0.49%
Belenenses
Wins by 2+ goals7.90%
Wins by 3+ goals1.90%
Wins by 4+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Pacos
Belenenses
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Pacos
Wins by 1 goal25.21%
Wins by 2 goals13.92%
Wins by 3 goals5.51%
Wins by 4 goals1.69%
Wins by 5 goals0.42%
Belenenses
Wins by 1 goal16.54%
Wins by 2 goals5.99%
Wins by 3 goals1.55%
Wins by 4 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.19%11.81%
1.562.96%37.04%
2.536.01%63.99%
3.516.82%83.18%
4.56.58%93.42%
5.52.20%97.80%

Total Goals Pacos Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.47%27.53%
1.536.95%63.05%
2.514.05%85.95%
3.54.21%95.79%
4.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Belenenses Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.10%42.90%
1.520.79%79.21%
2.55.43%94.57%
3.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.81%37.19%
1.526.02%73.98%
2.57.83%92.17%
3.51.83%98.17%

Score Props

Correct Score

Paços
Belenenses
Score01234
0
11.81%
10.00%
4.23%
1.19%
0.25%
1
15.23%
12.89%
5.46%
1.54%
0.33%
2
9.82%
8.31%
3.52%
0.99%
0.21%
3
4.22%
3.57%
1.51%
0.43%
0.09%
4
1.36%
1.15%
0.49%
0.14%
0.03%
5
0.35%
0.30%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Pacos
1-015.23%
2-09.82%
2-18.31%
3-04.22%
3-13.57%
3-21.51%
4-01.36%
4-11.15%
4-20.49%
4-30.14%
5-00.35%
5-10.30%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-011.81%
1-112.89%
2-23.52%
3-30.43%
Belenenses
0-110.00%
0-24.23%
1-25.46%
0-31.19%
1-31.54%
2-30.99%
0-40.25%
1-40.33%
2-40.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Paços
Belenenses
Score0123
0
37.19%
14.57%
2.86%
0.37%
1
22.21%
8.70%
1.71%
0.22%
2
6.63%
2.60%
0.51%
0.07%
3
1.32%
0.52%
0.10%
0.01%
4
0.20%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Pacos
1-022.21%
2-06.63%
2-12.60%
3-01.32%
3-10.52%
3-20.10%
4-00.20%
Draw
0-037.19%
1-18.70%
2-20.51%
Belenenses
0-114.57%
0-22.86%
1-21.71%
0-30.37%
1-30.22%