Paços at Braga

Updated

Pacos

22.7%19.4%58.0%
Paços WinDrawBraga Win
0.83Projected Goals 2.12
1Final Score 1

Braga

Last 5 Games

Pacos
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Belenenses+120
T 1-1 at Rio Ave+250
L 2-0 vs SC Farense+150
L 0-2 at Boavista+210
L 5-0 vs Benfica+575
Braga
Money Line
L 0-1 at Maritimo-160
L 1-0 vs Sporting CP+175
W 1-2 vs Boavista-215
T 0-0 at Rio Ave-130
T 1-1 vs Belenenses-250

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Paços+487+579+625+575+569+575+625-
Braga-182-200-210-205-206-205-200-
Draw+290+324+305+330+321+330+330-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Paços+660----+640+640-
Braga-215-----205-205-
Draw+320----+310+310-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Paços: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Paços: 30.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Paços: 10.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Paços ML moved from +600 to +575
Braga ML moved from -196 to -205

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Paços: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Paços: 30.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Paços: 20.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Paços ML moved from +640 to +625
No Steam Moves On Braga ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118o2½-112o2½-115o2½-113-o2½-113o2½-112-
Underu2¼-102u2½-109u2½-105u2½-107-u2½-107u2½-105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-125 to o2½-122
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.6%
 
No50.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.23%
Exactly 222.77%
Exactly 416.52%
Exactly 64.79%
Exactly 80.74%
 
Exactly 115.44%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.75%
Exactly 72.02%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Pacos
Exactly 043.64%
Exactly 136.19%
Exactly 215.00%
Exactly 34.15%
Exactly 40.86%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 011.99%
Exactly 125.44%
Exactly 226.97%
Exactly 319.07%
Exactly 410.11%
Exactly 54.29%
Exactly 61.52%
Exactly 70.46%
Exactly 80.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.51%
Exactly 223.80%
Exactly 43.70%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.85%
Exactly 310.84%
Exactly 51.01%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Pacos
Exactly 068.12%
Exactly 126.15%
Exactly 25.02%
Exactly 30.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 037.46%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.06%
Exactly 35.91%
Exactly 41.45%
Exactly 50.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Pacos
Wins by 2+ goals4.02%
Wins by 3+ goals0.91%
Wins by 4+ goals0.16%
Braga
Wins by 2+ goals42.92%
Wins by 3+ goals22.54%
Wins by 4+ goals9.85%
Wins by 5+ goals3.64%
Wins by 6+ goals1.14%
Wins by 7+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Pacos
Braga
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Pacos
Wins by 1 goal9.45%
Wins by 2 goals3.11%
Wins by 3 goals0.75%
Wins by 4 goals0.14%
Braga
Wins by 1 goal24.18%
Wins by 2 goals20.38%
Wins by 3 goals12.69%
Wins by 4 goals6.21%
Wins by 5 goals2.49%
Wins by 6 goals0.85%
Wins by 7 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.77%5.23%
1.579.33%20.67%
2.556.55%43.45%
3.534.16%65.84%
4.517.64%82.36%
5.57.90%92.10%
6.53.11%96.89%
7.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals Pacos Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.36%43.64%
1.520.18%79.82%
2.55.17%94.83%
3.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.01%11.99%
1.562.57%37.43%
2.535.60%64.40%
3.516.53%83.47%
4.56.42%93.58%
5.52.13%97.87%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.49%25.51%
1.539.63%60.37%
2.515.83%84.17%
3.55.00%95.00%
4.51.30%98.70%

Score Props

Correct Score

Paços
Braga
Score012345
0
5.23%
11.10%
11.77%
8.32%
4.41%
1.87%
1
4.34%
9.20%
9.76%
6.90%
3.66%
1.55%
2
1.80%
3.82%
4.05%
2.86%
1.52%
0.64%
3
0.50%
1.05%
1.12%
0.79%
0.42%
0.18%
4
0.10%
0.22%
0.23%
0.16%
0.09%
0.04%
Pacos
1-04.34%
2-01.80%
2-13.82%
3-00.50%
3-11.05%
3-21.12%
4-00.10%
4-10.22%
4-20.23%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-05.23%
1-19.20%
2-24.05%
3-30.79%
Braga
0-111.10%
0-211.77%
1-29.76%
0-38.32%
1-36.90%
2-32.86%
0-44.41%
1-43.66%
2-41.52%
3-40.42%
0-51.87%
1-51.55%
2-50.64%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Paços
Braga
Score012345
0
25.51%
25.05%
12.30%
4.03%
0.99%
0.19%
1
9.80%
9.62%
4.72%
1.55%
0.38%
0.07%
2
1.88%
1.85%
0.91%
0.30%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.24%
0.24%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Pacos
1-09.80%
2-01.88%
2-11.85%
3-00.24%
3-10.24%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-025.51%
1-19.62%
2-20.91%
Braga
0-125.05%
0-212.30%
1-24.72%
0-34.03%
1-31.55%
2-30.30%
0-40.99%
1-40.38%
0-50.19%