Nacional at Vitória

Updated

Nacional

14.8%22.5%62.7%
WinDrawVitória Win
0.74Projected Goals 1.79
2Final Score 2

Vitoria

Last 5 Games

Nacional
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Benfica
W 0-1 vs Moreirense+220
L 1-2 at Gil Vicente FC+300
T 0-0 vs Boavista-105
W 0-2 vs Santa Clara+210
Vitoria
Money Line
T 2-2 at Rio Ave-110
L 0-1 at Benfica+925
W 0-4 vs Gil Vicente FC-140
L 0-1 at Santa Clara+185
W 0-1 vs Moreirense-120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+550-+750+680-+680+750-
Vitória-195--280-256--256-256-
Draw+295-+370+345-+345+370-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+600----+600+600-
Vitória-210-----230-230-
Draw+335----+375+375-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 30.0%
Vitória: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 0.0%
Vitória: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nacional ML moved from +690 to +680
Vitória ML moved from -265 to -280

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 20.0%
Vitória: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 0.0%
Vitória: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nacional ML moved from +775 to +600
Vitória ML moved from -210 to -265

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-102-o2½-118o2½-120-o2½-120o2½-118-
Underu2½-118-u2½-102u2½+100-u2½+100u2½+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.4%
 
No56.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.97%
Exactly 225.49%
Exactly 413.60%
Exactly 62.90%
Exactly 80.33%
 
Exactly 120.15%
Exactly 321.50%
Exactly 56.88%
Exactly 71.05%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 047.92%
Exactly 135.25%
Exactly 212.96%
Exactly 33.18%
Exactly 40.58%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitoria
Exactly 016.62%
Exactly 129.83%
Exactly 226.76%
Exactly 316.01%
Exactly 47.18%
Exactly 52.58%
Exactly 60.77%
Exactly 70.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.99%
Exactly 221.26%
Exactly 42.43%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.31%
Exactly 38.30%
Exactly 50.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 071.14%
Exactly 124.23%
Exactly 24.13%
Exactly 30.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitoria
Exactly 043.57%
Exactly 136.20%
Exactly 215.04%
Exactly 34.16%
Exactly 40.86%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals4.06%
Wins by 3+ goals0.80%
Vitoria
Wins by 2+ goals36.57%
Wins by 3+ goals17.08%
Wins by 4+ goals6.52%
Wins by 5+ goals2.07%
Wins by 6+ goals0.53%

Exact Winning Margin

Nacional
Vitoria
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal10.67%
Wins by 2 goals3.26%
Wins by 3 goals0.70%
Vitoria
Wins by 1 goal26.05%
Wins by 2 goals19.49%
Wins by 3 goals10.56%
Wins by 4 goals4.46%
Wins by 5 goals1.53%
Wins by 6 goals0.44%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.03%7.97%
1.571.88%28.12%
2.546.38%53.62%
3.524.88%75.12%
4.511.29%88.71%
5.54.40%95.60%
6.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.08%47.92%
1.516.82%83.18%
2.53.86%96.14%

Total Goals Vitoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.38%16.62%
1.553.55%46.45%
2.526.79%73.21%
3.510.78%89.22%
4.53.60%96.40%
5.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.01%30.99%
1.532.70%67.30%
2.511.44%88.56%
3.53.13%96.87%

Score Props

Correct Score

Nacional
Vitoria
Score012345
0
7.97%
14.30%
12.83%
7.67%
3.44%
1.23%
1
5.86%
10.51%
9.43%
5.64%
2.53%
0.91%
2
2.16%
3.87%
3.47%
2.08%
0.93%
0.33%
3
0.53%
0.95%
0.85%
0.51%
0.23%
0.08%
Nacional
1-05.86%
2-02.16%
2-13.87%
3-00.53%
3-10.95%
3-20.85%
Draw
0-07.97%
1-110.51%
2-23.47%
3-30.51%
Vitoria
0-114.30%
0-212.83%
1-29.43%
0-37.67%
1-35.64%
2-32.08%
0-43.44%
1-42.53%
2-40.93%
3-40.23%
0-51.23%
1-50.91%
2-50.33%

Correct Score - First Half

Nacional
Vitoria
Score012345
0
30.99%
25.75%
10.70%
2.96%
0.62%
0.10%
1
10.56%
8.77%
3.64%
1.01%
0.21%
0.03%
2
1.80%
1.49%
0.62%
0.17%
0.04%
0.01%
3
0.20%
0.17%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Nacional
1-010.56%
2-01.80%
2-11.49%
3-00.20%
3-10.17%
Draw
0-030.99%
1-18.77%
2-20.62%
Vitoria
0-125.75%
0-210.70%
1-23.64%
0-32.96%
1-31.01%
2-30.17%
0-40.62%
1-40.21%
0-50.10%