Braga at Porto

Updated

Braga

20.5%22.6%56.9%
Braga WinDrawPorto Win
1.02Projected Goals 1.85
1Final Score 2

Porto

Last 5 Games

Braga
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Rio Ave-195
W 3-0 at Nacional-145
L 2-0 vs Vitoria+125
T 0-0 at Gil Vicente FC-120
W 1-3 vs Moreirense-150
Porto
Money Line
W 3-0 at Vitoria-110
W 1-2 vs SC Farense-750
L 0-2 at Sporting CP+300
W 0-2 vs Rio Ave-400
W 2-0 at Santa Clara-135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga+420-+500+460-+460+500-
Porto-155--225-217--217-217-
Draw+275-+360+370-+370+370-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga+400----+550+550-
Porto-150-----215-215-
Draw+300----+365+365-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 30.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 0.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from +550 to +500
Porto ML moved from -233 to -240

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 30.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 0.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from +480 to +460
Porto ML moved from -185 to -215

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-112-o3¼-102o3¼+104-o3¼+104o3¼+104-
Underu2¾-108-u3¼-118u3¼-124-u3¼-124u3¼-118-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.9%
 
No46.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.65%
Exactly 223.33%
Exactly 416.05%
Exactly 64.42%
Exactly 80.65%
 
Exactly 116.24%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 59.22%
Exactly 71.81%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 036.07%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.75%
Exactly 36.37%
Exactly 41.63%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 015.67%
Exactly 129.04%
Exactly 226.92%
Exactly 316.63%
Exactly 47.71%
Exactly 52.86%
Exactly 60.88%
Exactly 70.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.44%
Exactly 223.40%
Exactly 43.45%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.17%
Exactly 310.38%
Exactly 50.92%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 062.37%
Exactly 129.45%
Exactly 26.95%
Exactly 31.09%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 042.39%
Exactly 136.38%
Exactly 215.61%
Exactly 34.47%
Exactly 40.96%
Exactly 50.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Braga
Wins by 2+ goals7.24%
Wins by 3+ goals1.96%
Wins by 4+ goals0.40%
Porto
Wins by 2+ goals32.80%
Wins by 3+ goals15.33%
Wins by 4+ goals5.90%
Wins by 5+ goals1.89%
Wins by 6+ goals0.49%

Exact Winning Margin

Braga
Porto
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Braga
Wins by 1 goal13.22%
Wins by 2 goals5.28%
Wins by 3 goals1.56%
Wins by 4 goals0.35%
Porto
Wins by 1 goal24.03%
Wins by 2 goals17.47%
Wins by 3 goals9.43%
Wins by 4 goals4.01%
Wins by 5 goals1.40%
Wins by 6 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.35%5.65%
1.578.11%21.89%
2.554.79%45.21%
3.532.45%67.55%
4.516.39%83.61%
5.57.17%92.83%
6.52.75%97.25%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.93%36.07%
1.527.15%72.85%
2.58.40%91.60%
3.52.02%97.98%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.33%15.67%
1.555.30%44.70%
2.528.38%71.62%
3.511.75%88.25%
4.54.04%95.96%
5.51.18%98.82%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.56%26.44%
1.538.39%61.61%
2.515.00%85.00%
3.54.62%95.38%
4.51.17%98.83%

Score Props

Correct Score

Braga
Porto
Score012345
0
5.65%
10.47%
9.71%
6.00%
2.78%
1.03%
1
5.76%
10.68%
9.90%
6.12%
2.83%
1.05%
2
2.94%
5.45%
5.05%
3.12%
1.45%
0.54%
3
1.00%
1.85%
1.72%
1.06%
0.49%
0.18%
4
0.25%
0.47%
0.44%
0.27%
0.13%
0.05%
Braga
1-05.76%
2-02.94%
2-15.45%
3-01.00%
3-11.85%
3-21.72%
4-00.25%
4-10.47%
4-20.44%
4-30.27%
Draw
0-05.65%
1-110.68%
2-25.05%
3-31.06%
4-40.13%
Porto
0-110.47%
0-29.71%
1-29.90%
0-36.00%
1-36.12%
2-33.12%
0-42.78%
1-42.83%
2-41.45%
3-40.49%
0-51.03%
1-51.05%
2-50.54%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Braga
Porto
Score012345
0
26.44%
22.69%
9.74%
2.79%
0.60%
0.10%
1
12.48%
10.71%
4.60%
1.32%
0.28%
0.05%
2
2.95%
2.53%
1.09%
0.31%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.46%
0.40%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Braga
1-012.48%
2-02.95%
2-12.53%
3-00.46%
3-10.40%
3-20.17%
Draw
0-026.44%
1-110.71%
2-21.09%
Porto
0-122.69%
0-29.74%
1-24.60%
0-32.79%
1-31.32%
2-30.31%
0-40.60%
1-40.28%
0-50.10%