Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated 28 days ago

Upcoming Games for June 15, 2025

There are no games on the schedule today.

Games for Jun 14, 2025

Games for Jun 16, 2025

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
04/16/2023 05:00 PM	Gil Vicente FC Braga	9.3% 74.8%	15.9%	+845 -320 +790 -315	0 1	-0.30207-0.32755	-0.29077
04/15/2023 07:30 PM	Santa Clara Porto	6.4% 79.9%	13.7%	+2391 -725 +1750 -700	1 2	-0.14161-0.18257	-0.22394
04/15/2023 02:30 PM	Pacos Maritimo	42.7% 28.6%	28.7%	+256 +126 +250 +120	1 3	-0.84413-0.83986	-1.25316
04/14/2023 07:15 PM	Vitoria Famalicao	47.9% 26.7%	25.4%	+341 -102 +290 +105	1 2	-0.70629-0.76845	-1.32189
04/08/2023 05:00 PM	Famalicao Pacos	24.9% 50.1%	25.0%	+176 +189 +180 +180	3 1	-1.04569-1.07614	-1.39175
04/08/2023 05:00 PM	Rio Ave Portimonense	44.9% 25.5%	29.6%	+207 +162 +205 +155	2 2	-1.15204-1.16190	-1.21790
04/07/2023 07:30 PM	Vitoria Boavista	52.4% 21.5%	26.1%	+209 +161 +195 +160	1 2	-0.98428-1.00570	-1.53675
04/07/2023 05:00 PM	Porto Benfica	45.3% 28.4%	26.3%	+363 -120 +330 -115	2 1	-1.55822-1.50657	-0.79118
04/05/2023 07:15 PM	Sporting CP Gil Vicente FC	68.7% 11.8%	19.4%	-264 +824 -255 +725	0 0	-1.67884-1.59855	-1.63887
04/02/2023 07:30 PM	Portimonense Porto	4.4% 84.1%	11.5%	+1839 -636 +1650 -750	0 1	-0.17072-0.17453	-0.17319
04/02/2023 05:00 PM	Benfica Rio Ave	60.4% 16.9%	22.7%	-361 +1396 -375 +1100	1 0	-0.27107-0.28648	-0.50397
04/02/2023 02:30 PM	Boavista Maritimo	28.6% 41.5%	30.0%	+239 +137 +245 +120	2 4	-0.88814-0.83924	-0.88037
04/01/2023 07:30 PM	Santa Clara Sporting CP	10.1% 71.9%	17.9%	+2303 -785 +2250 -1000	0 3	-0.15333-0.14566	-0.32960
04/01/2023 05:00 PM	Pacos Vitoria	26.8% 45.9%	27.3%	+290 +113 +300 +100	0 0	-1.23729-1.24559	-1.29931
03/19/2023 08:30 PM	Famalicao Boavista	37.7% 33.9%	28.4%	+199 +175 +210 +155	2 1	-1.12196-1.17837	-0.97482
03/19/2023 06:00 PM	Porto Braga	47.8% 27.1%	25.1%	+130 +233 +120 +230	0 0	-1.28764-1.27418	-1.38174

Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 01/26/21

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Sporting CP (12-0-3, 39 pts)	21.5	4.6	7.9	72.4	29.6%	67.2%	31.7%	0.0%
2	Porto (11-2-2, 35 pts)	23.1	5.0	5.9	75.2	56.8%	85.1%	14.7%	0.0%
3	Benfica (10-2-3, 33 pts)	20.6	5.9	7.5	69.3	11.5%	38.1%	58.9%	0.0%
4	Braga (10-5-0, 30 pts)	19.9	9.5	4.6	64.3	2.0%	9.3%	74.6%	0.0%
5	Pacos (8-3-4, 28 pts)	14.0	10.6	9.4	51.3	0.0%	0.0%	4.1%	0.0%
6	Vitoria (8-4-2, 26 pts)	16.1	10.3	7.6	55.9	0.1%	0.3%	15.5%	0.0%
7	Moreirense (4-5-6, 18 pts)	10.5	12.4	11.1	42.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%	2.2%
8	Santa Clara (5-7-3, 18 pts)	11.0	14.5	8.4	41.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	3.0%
9	Maritimo (5-8-2, 17 pts)	10.7	16.0	7.2	39.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	6.2%
10	Belenenses (3-6-6, 15 pts)	8.4	14.4	11.2	36.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	16.0%
12	Portimonense (4-8-3, 15 pts)	9.0	17.0	8.0	34.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	25.1%
13	Tondela (4-8-3, 15 pts)	9.3	16.6	8.1	36.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	20.6%
14	Nacional (3-7-5, 14 pts)	7.9	16.0	10.1	33.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	31.6%
15	Famalicao (3-7-5, 14 pts)	10.0	13.4	10.6	40.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	4.8%
16	Gil Vicente FC (3-8-4, 13 pts)	9.0	15.9	9.2	36.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	18.1%
17	SC Farense (3-8-3, 12 pts)	8.3	17.6	8.2	32.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	37.0%
18	Boavista (1-6-8, 11 pts)	6.8	13.7	13.6	33.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	32.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).