Nacional at Sporting CP

Updated

Nacional

7.5%15.6%76.9%
WinDrawSporting CP Win
0.58Projected Goals 2.34
1Final Score 2

Sporting CP

Last 5 Games

Nacional
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Rio Ave-105
L 1-2 at Gil Vicente FC+400
T 3-3 vs Santa Clara+180
L 1-2 at Vitoria+330
W 1-3 vs Tondela+135
Sporting CP
Money Line
T 1-1 at Gil Vicente FC-210
W 0-4 vs Rio Ave-1000
W 4-1 at Vitoria-230
T 1-1 at Benfica+160
W 2-1 at Santa Clara-260

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+1300-+1600+1400-+1500+1600-
Sporting CP-700--800-667--667-667-
Draw+725-+750+900-+850+850-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+1310----+2400+2400-
Sporting CP-635-----1075-1075-
Draw+755----+950+950-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 30.0%
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nacional: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 0.0%
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nacional ML moved from +1700 to +1600
Sporting CP ML moved from -625 to -667

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 40.0%
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nacional: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 0.0%
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nacional ML
Sporting CP ML moved from -1075 to -1100

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-118-o3½-102o3½-105-o3½-105o3½-102-
Underu3¼-102-u3½-118u3½-115-u3½-115u3½-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-112 to o3½+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.9%
 
No60.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.38%
Exactly 222.97%
Exactly 416.35%
Exactly 64.66%
Exactly 80.71%
 
Exactly 115.72%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 59.56%
Exactly 71.94%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 055.89%
Exactly 132.52%
Exactly 29.46%
Exactly 31.83%
Exactly 40.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Sporting CP
Exactly 09.62%
Exactly 122.53%
Exactly 226.37%
Exactly 320.58%
Exactly 412.04%
Exactly 55.64%
Exactly 62.20%
Exactly 70.74%
Exactly 80.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.84%
Exactly 223.66%
Exactly 43.61%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 134.97%
Exactly 310.67%
Exactly 50.98%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 076.39%
Exactly 120.58%
Exactly 22.77%
Exactly 30.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sporting CP
Exactly 033.83%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 219.87%
Exactly 37.18%
Exactly 41.95%
Exactly 50.42%

Alternate Props

Spread

Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals1.66%
Wins by 3+ goals0.26%
Sporting CP
Wins by 2+ goals53.48%
Wins by 3+ goals30.81%
Wins by 4+ goals14.82%
Wins by 5+ goals6.03%
Wins by 6+ goals2.09%
Wins by 7+ goals0.60%
Wins by 8+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Nacional
Sporting CP
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal5.80%
Wins by 2 goals1.39%
Wins by 3 goals0.24%
Sporting CP
Wins by 1 goal23.35%
Wins by 2 goals22.68%
Wins by 3 goals15.99%
Wins by 4 goals8.79%
Wins by 5 goals3.94%
Wins by 6 goals1.49%
Wins by 7 goals0.48%
Wins by 8 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.62%5.38%
1.578.90%21.10%
2.555.93%44.07%
3.533.55%66.45%
4.517.19%82.81%
5.57.63%92.37%
6.52.98%97.02%
7.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.544.11%55.89%
1.511.60%88.40%
2.52.14%97.86%

Total Goals Sporting CP Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.38%9.62%
1.567.85%32.15%
2.541.48%58.52%
3.520.90%79.10%
4.58.86%91.14%
5.53.22%96.78%
6.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.16%25.84%
1.539.19%60.81%
2.515.53%84.47%
3.54.86%95.14%
4.51.25%98.75%

Score Props

Correct Score

Nacional
Sporting CP
Score012345
0
5.38%
12.59%
14.74%
11.50%
6.73%
3.15%
1
3.13%
7.33%
8.57%
6.69%
3.92%
1.83%
2
0.91%
2.13%
2.49%
1.95%
1.14%
0.53%
3
0.18%
0.41%
0.48%
0.38%
0.22%
0.10%
Nacional
1-03.13%
2-00.91%
2-12.13%
3-00.18%
3-10.41%
3-20.48%
Draw
0-05.38%
1-17.33%
2-22.49%
3-30.38%
Sporting CP
0-112.59%
0-214.74%
1-28.57%
0-311.50%
1-36.69%
2-31.95%
0-46.73%
1-43.92%
2-41.14%
3-40.22%
0-53.15%
1-51.83%
2-50.53%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Nacional
Sporting CP
Score012345
0
25.84%
28.01%
15.18%
5.48%
1.49%
0.32%
1
6.96%
7.54%
4.09%
1.48%
0.40%
0.09%
2
0.94%
1.02%
0.55%
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
Nacional
1-06.96%
2-00.94%
2-11.02%
Draw
0-025.84%
1-17.54%
2-20.55%
Sporting CP
0-128.01%
0-215.18%
1-24.09%
0-35.48%
1-31.48%
2-30.20%
0-41.49%
1-40.40%
0-50.32%
Famalicão at Gil Vicente FC
Benfica at Tondela