Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated 48 sec ago

Upcoming Games for November 6, 2025

There are no games on the schedule today.

Games for Nov 1, 2025

Games for Nov 7, 2025

Games In Progress

Time	Teams	Orig. Win %	Orig. Draw %	Closing ML	Orig. Total Goals	Closing O/U	Period	Current Score
10/27/2025 08:15 PM	Porto Moreirense	73.1% 9.7%	17.2%	-380 +1000 -400 +1050	2.93	o2¾+100 u2¾-117	2nd H 90:00	2 1

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
10/26/2025 06:00 PM	Sporting CP Tondela	72.0% 10.0%	18.0%	-450 +1000 -425 +1025	3 0	-0.26747-0.26004	-0.32866
10/26/2025 03:30 PM	Vitoria Famalicao	47.9% 26.7%	25.4%	+375 -130 +375 -125	0 2	-0.61554-0.63828	-1.32189
10/05/2025 08:15 PM	Benfica Porto	21.8% 54.4%	23.8%	+290 -105 +290 +100	0 0	-1.27389-1.27307	-1.43469
10/05/2025 06:15 PM	Braga Sporting CP	30.5% 43.3%	26.2%	+525 -208 +500 -200	1 1	-1.56003-1.57552	-1.33899
10/05/2025 04:30 PM	Tondela Rio Ave	21.1% 51.8%	27.1%	+176 +155 +185 +150	0 3	-0.99201-0.96451	-0.65836
10/04/2025 07:30 PM	Santa Clara Vitoria	19.8% 55.3%	24.9%	+166 +205 +165 +210	1 2	-1.16607-1.18097	-0.59283
10/04/2025 02:30 PM	Moreirense Nacional	41.2% 29.0%	29.9%	+240 +129 +260 +120	2 3	-0.88056-0.83704	-1.23950
09/28/2025 07:30 PM	Rio Ave Famalicao	35.7% 35.6%	28.7%	+395 -152 +375 -140	0 0	-1.43046-1.41001	-1.24834
09/28/2025 05:00 PM	Nacional Braga	8.0% 76.9%	15.0%	+675 -238 +730 -250	1 0	-2.10161-2.16491	-2.52361
09/27/2025 02:30 PM	Tondela Santa Clara	24.5% 47.2%	28.3%	+425 -122 +470 -145	2 1	-1.70035-1.79210	-1.40846
09/26/2025 07:15 PM	Gil Vicente FC Benfica	8.8% 75.3%	15.9%	+950 -343 +1025 -345	1 2	-0.31409-0.30271	-0.28378
09/23/2025 07:15 PM	Rio Ave Benfica	12.4% 68.0%	19.5%	+1600 -769 +2500 -1000	1 1	-2.22544-2.32616	-1.63286
09/22/2025 07:15 PM	Moreirense Sporting CP	11.3% 69.9%	18.8%	+1100 -500 +1300 -550	0 3	-0.24014-0.21671	-0.35838
09/20/2025 07:30 PM	Braga Vitoria	48.5% 26.2%	25.3%	-108 +305 -110 +325	1 1	-1.29288-1.28616	-1.37334
09/19/2025 07:15 PM	Porto Rio Ave	71.3% 10.4%	18.3%	-270 +675 -325 +800	3 0	-0.35486-0.31825	-0.33864
09/14/2025 07:30 PM	Gil Vicente FC Braga	9.3% 74.8%	15.9%	+415 -132 +500 -165	1 0	-1.69065-1.84288	-2.37645

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 01/26/21

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Sporting CP (12-0-3, 39 pts)	21.5	4.6	7.9	72.4	29.6%	67.2%	31.7%	0.0%
2	Porto (11-2-2, 35 pts)	23.1	5.0	5.9	75.2	56.8%	85.1%	14.7%	0.0%
3	Benfica (10-2-3, 33 pts)	20.6	5.9	7.5	69.3	11.5%	38.1%	58.9%	0.0%
4	Braga (10-5-0, 30 pts)	19.9	9.5	4.6	64.3	2.0%	9.3%	74.6%	0.0%
5	Pacos (8-3-4, 28 pts)	14.0	10.6	9.4	51.3	0.0%	0.0%	4.1%	0.0%
6	Vitoria (8-4-2, 26 pts)	16.1	10.3	7.6	55.9	0.1%	0.3%	15.5%	0.0%
7	Moreirense (4-5-6, 18 pts)	10.5	12.4	11.1	42.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%	2.2%
8	Santa Clara (5-7-3, 18 pts)	11.0	14.5	8.4	41.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	3.0%
9	Maritimo (5-8-2, 17 pts)	10.7	16.0	7.2	39.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	6.2%
10	Belenenses (3-6-6, 15 pts)	8.4	14.4	11.2	36.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	16.0%
12	Portimonense (4-8-3, 15 pts)	9.0	17.0	8.0	34.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	25.1%
13	Tondela (4-8-3, 15 pts)	9.3	16.6	8.1	36.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	20.6%
14	Nacional (3-7-5, 14 pts)	7.9	16.0	10.1	33.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	31.6%
15	Famalicao (3-7-5, 14 pts)	10.0	13.4	10.6	40.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	4.8%
16	Gil Vicente FC (3-8-4, 13 pts)	9.0	15.9	9.2	36.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	18.1%
17	SC Farense (3-8-3, 12 pts)	8.3	17.6	8.2	32.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	37.0%
18	Boavista (1-6-8, 11 pts)	6.8	13.7	13.6	33.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	32.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).