Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Betis
Alavés		41.4%
31.3%		27.3%
+200
+170
+203
+161
1
2		-1.02856-1.00166-1.16050
Celta Vigo
Real Sociedad		15.5%
63.8%		20.7%
+272
+116
+265
+112
1
3		-0.80432-0.79465-0.45012
Real Madrid
Villarreal		49.7%
25.4%		24.8%
-117
+300
-115
+286
2
0		-0.64686-0.66577-0.69870
Athletic Club
Sevilla		16.3%
60.8%		22.9%
+208
+165
+200
+165
1
2		-1.00824-1.00931-0.49821
Espanyol
Valencia		21.4%
53.9%		24.7%
+221
+145
+221
+145
2
3		-0.93064-0.92685-0.61778
Osasuna
Rayo Vallecano		42.3%
30.4%		27.3%
+265
+128
+290
+120
3
1		-1.32727-1.38902-0.85932
Elche
Levante		19.2%
57.7%		23.0%
+233
+128
+228
+125
2
3		-0.85918-0.85767-0.54929
Sevilla
Elche		68.7%
11.6%		19.7%
+226
+147
+225
+140
2
2		-1.16504-1.18836-1.62653
Barcelona
Real Sociedad		54.6%
21.8%		23.5%
-152
+410
-155
+400
1
2		-1.65047-1.63671-1.52262
Rayo Vallecano
Celta Vigo		25.9%
47.7%		26.4%
+385
-112
+350
-110
0
3		-0.65258-0.68599-0.73961
Alavés
Atlético Madrid		6.3%
78.9%		14.8%
+910
-285
+820
-275
0
1		-0.32832-0.35133-0.23739
Valencia
Getafe		34.4%
35.7%		29.8%
+262
+154
+257
+170
1
0		-1.32081-1.28790-1.06572
Villarreal
Betis		52.1%
24.3%		23.5%
+174
+160
+165
+170
0
2		-0.98940-1.02935-1.41387
Levante
Real Madrid		11.2%
71.7%		17.1%
+1575
-650
+1550
-645
0
2		-0.17700-0.17528-0.33279
Celta Vigo
Sevilla		11.6%
69.5%		18.9%
+189
+180
+185
+175
1
0		-1.09605-1.07878-2.15305
Espanyol
Levante		22.1%
53.3%		24.6%
+141
+220
+136
+215
1
1		-1.21534-1.23722-1.40409
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.91644 
Sportsbooks22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.89816 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-0.80531
0.11113
0.09284

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.