Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 6, 2025

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TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Real Sociedad
Las Palmas 		70.4%
11.4%		18.3%
+138
+225
+125
+260
2.18
0.75		2.93
o2¼-115
u2¼-102
o2-130
u2+115
Atlético Madrid
Sevilla 		41.3%
28.9%		29.8%
+133
+240
+130
+231
1.16
0.92		2.08
o2¼-102
u2¼-115
o2-145
u2+125
Getafe
Valladolid 		40.0%
30.0%		30.1%
+105
+337
+100
+365
1.13
0.94		2.07
o1¾-125
u1¾+106
o2+115
u2-135
Athletic Club
Villarreal 		21.8%
54.2%		24.0%
+212
+137
+220
+130
0.99
1.70		2.69
o2½-110
u2½-105
o2½-115
u2½-105
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Games for Apr 7, 2025

Completed Games

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TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Betis
Barcelona		7.7%
78.9%		13.4%
+675
-270
+700
-285
1
1		-1.78135-1.78767-2.00954
Valencia
Real Madrid		11.7%
70.3%		18.0%
+970
-345
+1000
-380
2
1		-2.39371-2.43840-2.14140
Las Palmas
Celta Vigo		19.1%
56.9%		24.0%
+515
-170
+500
-175
1
1		-1.45577-1.45685-1.42724
Sevilla
Betis		59.5%
18.2%		22.3%
+425
-130
+410
-130
1
2		-0.60572-0.61648-1.70243
Osasuna
Athletic Club		27.0%
46.2%		26.8%
+625
-193
+675
-215
0
0		-1.50521-1.51077-1.31774
Villarreal
Getafe		48.2%
25.4%		26.4%
+142
+237
+135
+240
2
1		-0.91083-0.89578-0.72965
Leganés
Real Madrid		7.0%
77.8%		15.1%
+1750
-480
+1600
-525
2
3		-0.19586-0.19418-0.25068
Rayo Vallecano
Alavés		30.2%
41.2%		28.5%
+325
+115
+310
+115
2
0		-1.47482-1.44723-1.19663
Atlético Madrid
Espanyol		72.8%
9.0%		18.2%
-150
+495
-150
+480
1
1		-1.35592-1.32991-1.70545
Valladolid
Real Sociedad		13.3%
67.0%		19.7%
+960
-265
+890
-280
1
2		-0.35059-0.35054-0.40087
Osasuna
Barcelona		7.6%
78.5%		13.9%
+1450
-480
+1200
-515
0
3		-0.21015-0.22401-0.24184
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid		33.5%
37.1%		29.4%
+121
+215
+120
+215
4
2		-0.82759-0.83704-1.09383
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano		62.8%
16.0%		21.2%
+260
+144
+260
+140
2
2		-1.10806-1.11468-1.55159
Getafe
Osasuna		33.7%
36.5%		29.8%
+277
+137
+275
+140
2
1		-1.35290-1.35538-1.08631
Athletic Club
Sevilla		16.3%
60.8%		22.9%
+205
+165
+190
+180
1
0		-1.14769-1.09940-1.81100
Betis
Leganés		40.0%
31.4%		28.6%
+105
+305
+105
+300
3
2		-0.75052-0.75788-0.91522
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Season Prediction Results

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 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-1-1 (0.250)0-2.08753 
Sportsbooks20-1-1 (0.250)0-2.11304 
DRatings20-1-1 (0.250)0-2.07547
0.01206
0.03756

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.