Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 20, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sevilla
Alavés 		66.4%
12.9%		20.7%
+266
+120
+285
+115
1.94
0.72		2.66
o2¼-102
u2¼-116
o2½+128
u2½-145
Games for Sep 19, 2024
Games for Sep 21, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Athletic Club
Leganés		44.2%
26.6%		29.1%
+114
+322
+115
+325
2
0		-0.79244-0.79334-0.81568
Getafe
Betis		33.5%
37.9%		28.6%
+428
-112
+410
-112
1
2		-0.66783-0.67909-0.97085
Osasuna
Rayo Vallecano		42.3%
30.4%		27.3%
+315
+110
+305
+110
1
3		-0.77115-0.78169-1.19109
Valencia
Atlético Madrid		10.7%
70.7%		18.6%
+950
-280
+1000
-278
0
3		-0.33315-0.32397-0.34698
Athletic Club
Las Palmas		57.3%
18.6%		24.1%
+105
+298
+105
+287
3
2		-0.74636-0.75739-0.55760
Valladolid
Celta Vigo		28.4%
43.9%		27.7%
+445
-150
+425
-150
1
3		-0.53785-0.55417-0.82376
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad		49.0%
25.6%		25.4%
-125
+380
-125
+375
2
0		-0.61787-0.62001-0.71282
Getafe
Sevilla		14.4%
62.8%		22.7%
+283
+125
+275
+125
0
1		-0.83868-0.84917-0.46453
Alavés
Espanyol		30.4%
40.1%		29.4%
+170
+201
+165
+197
2
3		-1.12476-1.13485-0.91267
Leganés
Betis		24.7%
48.8%		26.5%
+533
-148
+530
-148
0
2		-0.54454-0.54166-0.71699
Betis
Real Madrid		9.5%
75.1%		15.4%
+1250
-360
+1150
-434
0
2		-0.26294-0.25066-0.28638
Real Sociedad
Getafe		48.0%
25.0%		26.9%
+186
+215
+181
+210
0
0		-1.06514-1.06459-1.31264
Celta Vigo
Osasuna		29.7%
43.2%		27.1%
+201
+153
+190
+155
2
3		-0.95829-0.97979-0.83836
Las Palmas
Alavés		23.0%
50.4%		26.7%
+458
-125
+420
-135
0
2		-0.60411-0.59716-0.68609
Villarreal
Valencia		45.8%
28.6%		25.6%
+192
+165
+182
+170
1
1		-1.22710-1.20431-1.36176
Atlético Madrid
Athletic Club		62.5%
14.7%		22.7%
+173
+180
+165
+180
1
0		-1.02602-1.01957-0.46922
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.79244 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.79334 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.81568
-0.02324
-0.02234

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.