Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 20, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Alavés
Sevilla 		9.4%
72.9%		17.6%
+336
+110
+325
+110
0.64
2.18		2.82
o2-114
u2-105
o2-110
u2-105
Athletic Club
Real Madrid 		11.8%
69.3%		18.8%
+500
-166
+490
-170
0.74
2.14		2.88
o2¾+100
u2¾-108
o2½-125
u2½+110
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Games for Apr 22, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Real Sociedad
Villarreal 		33.0%
40.5%		26.5%
+425
-150
+375
-140
2.56
o2¾-109
u2¾-108
o2½-125
u2½+110
2nd H
70:00		2
3

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Barcelona
Celta Vigo		74.6%
9.4%		15.9%
-140
+360
-145
+345
2
2		-1.49134-1.50657-1.83596
Alavés
Atlético Madrid		6.3%
78.9%		14.8%
+755
-215
+850
-230
1
2		-0.40836-0.39263-0.23739
Betis
Valencia		28.1%
46.6%		25.3%
+222
+155
+210
+170
2
4		-0.96622-1.02357-0.76312
Valladolid
Getafe		23.7%
48.4%		27.8%
+600
-152
+550
-145
0
2		-0.53290-0.56777-0.72470
Barcelona
Real Sociedad		54.6%
21.8%		23.5%
-114
+312
-115
+320
0
1		-1.45043-1.46404-1.52262
Athletic Club
Valladolid		44.4%
27.7%		27.9%
-105
+350
-110
+370
1
1		-1.25190-1.24344-1.27622
Celta Vigo
Betis		29.2%
44.8%		26.0%
+268
+117
+280
+100
2
2		-1.23957-1.30048-1.34688
Sevilla
Leganés		64.4%
13.3%		22.3%
+170
+210
+180
+196
0
1		-1.15201-1.12421-2.01823
Alavés
Villarreal		12.7%
68.5%		18.8%
+520
-170
+525
-180
0
3		-0.49686-0.48472-0.37880
Osasuna
Real Madrid		9.2%
74.9%		15.8%
+1150
-360
+1075
-415
0
4		-0.26261-0.26199-0.28866
Getafe
Celta Vigo		36.2%
33.6%		30.1%
+333
+111
+305
+115
0
1		-0.77892-0.79452-1.08969
Betis
Athletic Club		27.9%
46.0%		26.1%
+343
-110
+335
-115
1
1		-1.31796-1.30203-1.34504
Real Sociedad
Sevilla		25.6%
48.2%		26.2%
+138
+240
+135
+235
2
0		-0.89353-0.89509-1.36184
Espanyol
Barcelona		5.9%
81.5%		12.6%
+1700
-650
+1900
-700
1
3		-0.16509-0.15822-0.20417
Las Palmas
Atlético Madrid		4.3%
83.8%		11.9%
+900
-305
+1050
-373
0
2		-0.31474-0.28020-0.17707
Valladolid
Osasuna		26.1%
47.3%		26.6%
+475
-145
+490
-160
0
1		-0.55642-0.53577-0.74883
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.20912 
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.20407 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.90672
-0.69760
-0.70265

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.