Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 27, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Levante
Espanyol 		44.3%
28.7%		27.0%
+273
+118
+270
+115
1.38
1.06		2.44
o2½-105
u2½-115
o2½+105
u2½-120
Games for Apr 26, 2026
Games for May 2, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal		11.7%
70.6%		17.7%
+430
-133
+380
-140
0
4		-0.57909-0.58913-0.34845
Atlético Madrid
Betis		69.1%
12.0%		18.9%
+114
+245
+115
+235
2
0		-0.79514-0.80979-0.36957
Alavés
Rayo Vallecano		33.3%
37.5%		29.2%
+290
+125
+285
+120
0
1		-0.84672-0.83496-0.98072
Celta Vigo
Osasuna		29.7%
43.2%		27.1%
+228
+140
+225
+145
3
2		-1.22132-1.21143-1.21433
Barcelona
Real Madrid		36.8%
35.4%		27.8%
+260
-109
+260
-110
1
2		-0.67873-0.67507-1.03877
Villarreal
Valencia		45.8%
28.6%		25.6%
+106
+280
+105
+269
2
0		-0.75643-0.75754-0.78198
Getafe
Athletic Club		28.5%
42.0%		29.4%
+602
-156
+550
-155
1
0		-1.98406-1.90683-1.25449
Elche
Espanyol		28.1%
43.0%		28.8%
+340
+100
+305
+105
0
1		-0.72751-0.76398-0.84320
Sevilla
Real Sociedad		39.3%
32.5%		28.2%
+297
-102
+300
+100
1
2		-0.71734-0.73633-1.12467
Valencia
Alavés		46.6%
26.8%		26.7%
+268
+118
+260
+125
0
0		-1.22254-1.18633-1.32159
Real Madrid
Getafe		64.0%
14.3%		21.6%
-218
+660
-235
+675
1
0		-0.41148-0.39911-0.44571
Rayo Vallecano
Levante		19.9%
57.2%		22.9%
+180
+167
+175
+175
3
0		-1.06198-1.03705-1.61400
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo		55.3%
21.0%		23.7%
+302
+100
+292
+100
1
1		-1.28667-1.29280-1.44096
Athletic Club
Elche		48.8%
24.3%		26.9%
-102
+325
+110
+316
0
0		-1.25963-1.21335-1.31483
Osasuna
Atlético Madrid		8.5%
75.0%		16.4%
+950
-300
+845
-290
0
1		-0.32278-0.34641-0.28712
Betis
Villarreal		18.1%
61.2%		20.8%
+247
+113
+260
+105
2
2		-1.31576-1.30280-1.57219
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.67270 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.70134 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.44613
0.22657
0.25521

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.