Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 16, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Levante
Alavés 		45.8%
27.7%		26.5%
+260
+124

1.44
1.05		2.49
o2-109
u2-110

Real Sociedad
Valencia 		45.8%
28.3%		25.9%
+200
+178

1.48
1.11		2.59
o1¾-117
u1¾-102

Games for Aug 15, 2025
Games for Aug 17, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Real Sociedad
Leganés		58.8%
17.6%		23.6%
-125
+510
-105
+427
3
0		-0.61926-0.68826-0.53072
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia		19.2%
57.8%		23.0%
+285
+125
+270
+125
1
0		-1.37964-1.35004-1.65078
Barcelona
Betis		73.0%
10.8%		16.2%
-193
+505
-185
+475
2
2		-1.63317-1.58270-1.81825
Valladolid
Las Palmas		43.2%
28.2%		28.5%
+485
-152
+505
-150
1
2		-0.53561-0.54576-1.26408
Real Madrid
Athletic Club		61.8%
16.2%		21.9%
+128
+235
+120
+230
1
2		-1.23970-1.24026-1.81948
Osasuna
Sevilla		13.0%
67.3%		19.7%
+304
+100
+305
+100
1
1		-1.27927-1.27447-1.62547
Betis
Real Sociedad		17.9%
61.0%		21.1%
+497
-145
+450
-145
0
2		-0.55019-0.56405-0.49454
Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano		48.2%
25.2%		26.5%
+152
+235
+145
+235
2
1		-0.94202-0.93006-0.72880
Getafe
Real Madrid		10.5%
71.0%		18.5%
+1000
-290
+1025
-300
0
2		-0.32164-0.32584-0.34277
Atlético Madrid
Valladolid		73.1%
9.0%		17.9%
-218
+675
-230
+680
5
0		-0.40901-0.40971-0.31396
Celta Vigo
Espanyol		35.3%
35.0%		29.7%
+120
+278
+120
+260
1
3		-1.35162-1.32017-1.04996
Leganés
Alavés		31.5%
37.7%		30.9%
+480
-122
+470
-125
1
1		-1.19703-1.20574-1.17587
Las Palmas
Barcelona		3.8%
86.5%		9.6%
+1850
-675
+1950
-750
2
1		-2.99753-3.05676-3.26283
Real Sociedad
Athletic Club		45.2%
28.1%		26.7%
+270
+138
+260
+140
0
1		-0.89610-0.90835-1.27090
Real Madrid
Leganés		72.4%
9.6%		17.9%
-300
+940
-260
+840
3
0		-0.32365-0.35362-0.32238
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla		8.7%
74.9%		16.4%
+305
+108
+310
+105
0
1		-0.75394-0.75649-0.28960
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.