Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Real Sociedad
Valladolid 		59.1%
18.1%		22.8%
+112
+320
+120
+299
1.80
0.89		2.69
o2-109
u2-110
o2-108
u2-105
Las Palmas
Osasuna 		17.2%
60.2%		22.6%
+348
-110
+337
-110
0.86
1.81		2.67
o2¼-108
u2¼-110
o2½+125
u2½-140
Espanyol
Real Madrid 		7.1%
78.4%		14.5%
+1500
-600
+1400
-625
0.60
2.48		3.08
o3¼-110
u3¼+100
o3½+105
u3½-120
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Alavés
Almería		27.5%
44.9%		27.5%
+173
+187
+175
+179
3
0		-1.03598-1.05527-1.29026
Atlético Madrid
Granada		63.6%
14.8%		21.6%
-155
+430
-164
+450
1
0		-0.52916-0.51748-0.45190
Barcelona
Betis		73.0%
10.8%		16.2%
-119
+310
-120
+305
4
2		-0.64476-0.64466-0.31492
Almería
Real Madrid		8.2%
76.8%		15.1%
+2250
-810
+2000
-800
2
3		-0.15052-0.15870-0.26460
Getafe
Osasuna		33.7%
36.5%		29.8%
+263
+142
+258
+140
2
3		-0.91108-0.91549-1.00832
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo		55.3%
21.0%		23.7%
+236
+155
+230
+195
1
0		-1.23588-1.17474-0.59229
Athletic Club
Valencia		32.1%
39.9%		28.0%
+125
+253
+122
+250
0
1		-1.29609-1.29569-0.91917
Cadiz
Alavés		29.5%
40.8%		29.7%
+585
-160
+540
-145
0
1		-0.52025-0.55387-0.89749
Valencia
Cadiz		48.3%
24.8%		26.9%
+175
+213
+170
+208
4
1		-1.04149-1.02123-0.72805
Granada
Betis		37.8%
35.3%		26.8%
+428
-140
+410
-138
0
1		-0.56771-0.58672-1.04112
Real Sociedad
Athletic Club		45.2%
28.1%		26.7%
+315
+113
+305
+110
1
2		-0.78364-0.77692-1.27090
Villarreal
Las Palmas		70.7%
11.4%		17.8%
+167
+168
+170
+175
0
3		-1.01866-1.04358-2.16910
Alavés
Sevilla		9.4%
72.9%		17.6%
+315
+107
+335
+102
3
2		-1.44545-1.49335-2.36032
Celta Vigo
Villarreal		15.7%
64.0%		20.3%
+209
+140
+192
+140
2
3		-0.90113-0.92329-0.44613
Las Palmas
Athletic Club		13.8%
65.2%		21.0%
+828
-271
+800
-272
0
1		-0.34415-0.34534-0.42826
Almería
Barcelona		6.7%
80.2%		13.1%
+1800
-680
+1450
-665
2
3		-0.17094-0.18706-0.22073
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.80793 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.81029 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-2.04616
-1.23823
-1.23587

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.