Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Real Sociedad
Valladolid 		59.1%
18.1%		22.8%
+112
+320
+120
+299
1.80
0.89		2.69
o2-109
u2-110
o2-108
u2-105
Las Palmas
Osasuna 		17.2%
60.2%		22.6%
+348
-110
+337
-110
0.86
1.81		2.67
o2¼-108
u2¼-110
o2½+125
u2½-140
Espanyol
Real Madrid 		7.1%
78.4%		14.5%
+1500
-600
+1400
-625
0.60
2.48		3.08
o3¼-110
u3¼+100
o3½+105
u3½-120
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sevilla
Granada		53.2%
22.0%		24.7%
+156
+205
+158
+192
3
0		-0.97054-0.98948-0.63059
Getafe
Atlético Madrid		9.6%
70.8%		19.5%
+690
-205
+750
-210
3
3		-1.54201-1.53842-1.63399
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano		49.0%
25.4%		25.7%
+262
+127
+255
+125
1
0		-1.31067-1.31449-0.71402
Villarreal
Real Madrid		19.1%
58.7%		22.1%
+1075
-393
+1400
-460
1
4		-0.24859-0.20972-0.53237
Cadiz
Las Palmas		38.9%
30.8%		30.3%
+344
+101
+339
+100
1
1		-1.21936-1.20267-1.19260
Betis
Real Sociedad		17.9%
61.0%		21.1%
+525
-166
+540
-185
0
0		-1.45337-1.44970-1.55523
Barcelona
Valencia		67.8%
13.4%		18.8%
-182
+537
-170
+475
1
1		-1.52317-1.51195-1.67216
Getafe
Sevilla		14.4%
62.8%		22.7%
+415
-118
+400
-125
3
0		-1.65601-1.65795-1.93454
Atlético Madrid
Athletic Club		62.5%
14.7%		22.7%
+190
+161
+190
+148
0
2		-0.98120-0.94546-1.91501
Granada
Celta Vigo		41.3%
31.5%		27.1%
+445
-142
+431
-150
0
1		-0.56072-0.55147-1.15414
Rayo Vallecano
Osasuna		23.6%
51.3%		25.0%
+277
+125
+286
+120
0
1		-0.82817-0.81423-0.66699
Celta Vigo
Rayo Vallecano		38.9%
32.7%		28.4%
+180
+174
+178
+170
0
0		-1.21875-1.21574-1.25998
Osasuna
Cadiz		41.8%
29.6%		28.5%
+183
+200
+175
+185
1
1		-1.15154-1.14536-1.25456
Almería
Atlético Madrid		7.6%
76.7%		15.8%
+1400
-460
+1450
-600
1
2		-0.20972-0.20127-0.26587
Real Sociedad
Villarreal		33.0%
40.5%		26.5%
+120
+245
+120
+240
3
0		-0.81421-0.83034-1.10924
Real Madrid
Betis		68.4%
13.2%		18.4%
-125
+380
-140
+360
1
1		-1.41878-1.45462-1.69049
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.80793 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.81029 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-2.04616
-1.23823
-1.23587

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.