Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 16, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Levante
Alavés 		45.8%
27.7%		26.5%
+260
+126

1.44
1.05		2.49
o2-108
u2-111

Real Sociedad
Valencia 		45.8%
28.3%		25.9%
+205
+177

1.48
1.11		2.59
o1¾-117
u1¾+102

Games for Aug 15, 2025
Games for Aug 17, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Valladolid
Osasuna		26.1%
47.3%		26.6%
+475
-145
+490
-160
0
1		-0.55642-0.53577-0.74883
Osasuna
Real Sociedad		17.4%
61.1%		21.5%
+522
-157
+515
-150
2
0		-1.85867-1.84187-1.75054
Atlético Madrid
Betis		69.1%
12.0%		18.9%
+122
+262
+120
+235
0
1		-1.31137-1.25924-2.12085
Valencia
Getafe		34.4%
35.7%		29.8%
+383
+108
+369
+105
1
1		-1.09682-1.09790-1.20915
Celta Vigo
Leganés		35.5%
34.0%		30.5%
+120
+270
+130
+245
0
3		-1.33579-1.27018-1.07931
Barcelona
Real Madrid		36.8%
35.4%		27.8%
+235
+102
+250
+100
4
0		-1.24012-1.27909-0.99956
Alavés
Rayo Vallecano		33.3%
37.5%		29.2%
+357
+100
+330
+100
0
1		-0.72398-0.73262-0.98072
Villarreal
Valladolid		59.3%
18.3%		22.4%
+100
+295
-105
+292
2
1		-0.71631-0.70593-0.52214
Sevilla
Espanyol		65.1%
13.6%		21.4%
+150
+211
+146
+200
2
0		-0.94056-0.94660-0.42995
Las Palmas
Valencia		13.7%
66.2%		20.1%
+385
-111
+375
-110
3
2		-1.60083-1.59480-1.98683
Sevilla
Barcelona		21.4%
54.2%		24.4%
+975
-350
+865
-350
1
5		-0.28546-0.29827-0.61304
Getafe
Villarreal		19.3%
57.0%		23.7%
+395
-120
+365
-115
1
1		-1.29572-1.29810-1.43944
Leganés
Atlético Madrid		6.6%
77.0%		16.4%
+810
-233
+800
-250
1
3		-0.39084-0.38537-0.26113
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo		70.5%
11.4%		18.0%
-180
+540
-175
+468
2
1		-0.45820-0.48700-0.34910
Betis
Osasuna		33.4%
39.8%		26.9%
+228
+145
+215
+145
2
1		-1.21023-1.18016-1.09805
Espanyol
Athletic Club		21.3%
53.0%		25.7%
+800
-210
+750
-220
1
4		-0.40515-0.40462-0.63394
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.