Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Levante
Villarreal 		21.1%
56.5%		22.4%
+345
-135

1.06
1.88		2.94
o3-104
u3-115

Atlético Madrid
Valencia 		63.6%
14.7%		21.7%
+270
+103

1.88
0.77		2.65
o2½-118
u2½+100

Athletic Club
Alavés 		45.8%
26.5%		27.6%
+162
+169

1.35
0.96		2.31
o2½+102
u2½-118

Barcelona
Osasuna 		72.7%
10.5%		16.7%
-130
+338

2.37
0.78		3.15
o3-122
u3+105

Games for May 1, 2026
Games for May 3, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Alavés
Athletic Club		20.4%
54.5%		25.1%
+565
-163
+550
-170
1
0		-1.92937-1.92073-1.58968
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad		49.0%
25.6%		25.4%
-168
+500
-165
+490
2
1		-0.49653-0.49977-0.71282
Elche
Sevilla		8.5%
74.8%		16.7%
+400
-111
+375
-120
2
2		-1.25208-1.27268-1.79126
Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano		79.4%
7.0%		13.5%
-225
+605
-255
+575
1
1		-1.71308-1.73670-2.00093
Osasuna
Espanyol		38.5%
32.7%		28.8%
+217
+155
+210
+152
0
1		-0.97096-0.96538-1.11890
Athletic Club
Betis		37.1%
35.1%		27.8%
+138
+235
+141
+220
2
1		-0.89779-0.91879-0.99023
Villarreal
Celta Vigo		55.5%
21.3%		23.2%
+128
+220
+130
+225
1
1		-1.29510-1.29080-1.45887
Atlético Madrid
Alavés		73.9%
8.6%		17.5%
-136
+460
-134
+450
1
1		-1.30693-1.29218-1.74206
Getafe
Valencia		28.8%
42.7%		28.4%
+265
+137
+270
+140
0
3		-0.89389-0.90674-0.85003
Levante
Elche		48.9%
25.4%		25.7%
+265
+117
+270
+120
0
2		-0.80923-0.82604-1.37145
Betis
Celta Vigo		35.9%
36.5%		27.6%
+220
+135
+210
+135
1
1		-1.25120-1.27143-1.28772
Getafe
Sevilla		14.4%
62.8%		22.7%
+315
+110
+295
+115
2
1		-1.45813-1.41886-1.93454
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Club		19.2%
57.0%		23.8%
+445
-133
+425
-135
0
1		-0.59528-0.60296-0.56250
Espanyol
Real Sociedad		13.2%
66.8%		19.9%
+360
-115
+350
-110
2
2		-1.31056-1.28403-1.61370
Valencia
Osasuna		38.0%
34.3%		27.7%
+260
+125
+250
+130
0
1		-0.84506-0.87508-1.07037
Barcelona
Levante		69.3%
12.8%		17.9%
-450
+1065
-450
+1025
3
2		-0.23649-0.24654-0.36674
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.21261 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.22520 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.31093
-0.09832
-0.08573

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.