Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Real Sociedad
Valladolid 		59.1%
18.1%		22.8%
+112
+320
+120
+299
1.80
0.89		2.69
o2-105
u2-111
o2-108
u2-105
Las Palmas
Osasuna 		17.2%
60.2%		22.6%
+348
-110
+337
-110
0.86
1.81		2.67
o2¼-108
u2¼-110
o2½+125
u2½-140
Espanyol
Real Madrid 		7.1%
78.4%		14.5%
+1500
-600
+1400
-625
0.60
2.48		3.08
o3¼-110
u3¼+100
o3½+105
u3½-120
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Las Palmas
Alavés		23.0%
50.4%		26.7%
+340
+103
+330
+105
1
0		-1.51349-1.49571-1.47042
Valencia
Getafe		34.4%
35.7%		29.8%
+220
+170
+205
+165
0
1		-1.01487-1.02340-1.03016
Las Palmas
Betis		16.7%
61.9%		21.4%
+450
-140
+437
-145
0
1		-0.56692-0.56828-0.47965
Real Madrid
Cadiz		74.9%
8.6%		16.5%
-205
+620
-230
+650
3
0		-0.41647-0.40103-0.28954
Sevilla
Real Sociedad		39.3%
32.5%		28.2%
+485
-133
+500
-165
1
2		-0.55884-0.51849-1.12467
Osasuna
Villarreal		17.5%
61.3%		21.1%
+255
+120
+231
+125
1
3		-0.81015-0.84669-0.48859
Almería
Getafe		26.7%
45.0%		28.3%
+440
-130
+390
-120
1
2		-0.58402-0.63309-0.79926
Celta Vigo
Valencia		24.7%
50.0%		25.2%
+250
+128
+240
+125
0
0		-1.24202-1.23467-1.37785
Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano		79.4%
7.0%		13.5%
-148
+430
-160
+417
1
1		-1.45286-1.47168-2.00093
Granada
Alavés		46.9%
26.6%		26.5%
+440
-135
+420
-140
1
3		-0.58030-0.58742-1.32339
Villarreal
Atlético Madrid		17.4%
60.0%		22.7%
+775
-268
+760
-310
1
3		-0.32627-0.32483-0.51134
Betis
Sevilla		13.3%
67.4%		19.2%
+248
+122
+258
+110
1
1		-1.29642-1.29317-1.64865
Alavés
Barcelona		5.6%
82.2%		12.2%
+1150
-415
+1050
-410
1
2		-0.25036-0.26156-0.19620
Valencia
Real Madrid		11.7%
70.3%		18.0%
+880
-300
+850
-310
1
5		-0.31630-0.32186-0.35288
Las Palmas
Osasuna		17.2%
60.2%		22.6%
+365
-104
+345
+100
1
1		-1.23203-1.21702-1.48603
Getafe
Granada		28.8%
43.2%		28.0%
+225
+150
+210
+160
1
1		-1.17225-1.16075-1.27214
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.80793 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.81029 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-2.04616
-1.23823
-1.23587

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.