Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Real Sociedad
Valladolid 		59.1%
18.1%		22.8%
+112
+320
+120
+299
1.80
0.89		2.69
o2-109
u2-110
o2-108
u2-105
Las Palmas
Osasuna 		17.2%
60.2%		22.6%
+348
-110
+337
-110
0.86
1.81		2.67
o2¼-108
u2¼-110
o2½+125
u2½-140
Espanyol
Real Madrid 		7.1%
78.4%		14.5%
+1500
-600
+1475
-625
0.60
2.48		3.08
o3¼-110
u3¼+100
o3½+105
u3½-120
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Real Sociedad
Almería		55.6%
20.7%		23.7%
-120
+360
-125
+350
3
1		-0.62202-0.63471-0.58742
Celta Vigo
Athletic Club		24.6%
49.3%		26.1%
+408
-145
+425
-150
3
4		-0.55206-0.55050-0.70696
Cadiz
Getafe		21.0%
51.4%		27.6%
+400
+102
+375
+103
0
1		-0.70583-0.72842-0.66571
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid		6.2%
80.8%		12.9%
+1275
-370
+1200
-475
0
0		-1.97884-1.97206-2.04547
Athletic Club
Villarreal		21.8%
54.2%		24.0%
+135
+290
+110
+270
3
2		-0.78939-0.74678-1.52303
Granada
Valencia		32.7%
40.3%		27.0%
+460
-155
+435
-167
0
1		-0.52206-0.51584-0.90887
Almería
Alavés		36.3%
34.3%		29.3%
+435
-130
+425
-125
0
1		-0.58236-0.60396-1.06924
Barcelona
Real Sociedad		54.6%
21.8%		23.5%
+125
+245
+125
+233
1
0		-0.82679-0.84905-0.60451
Sevilla
Celta Vigo		62.1%
15.9%		22.0%
+205
+160
+205
+135
1
1		-1.25096-1.27022-1.51308
Atlético Madrid
Las Palmas		80.2%
5.7%		14.0%
-145
+470
-140
+450
1
2		-1.76908-1.73955-2.85911
Villarreal
Granada		45.6%
28.8%		25.5%
+137
+202
+130
+200
3
2		-0.88958-0.88075-0.78417
Alavés
Atlético Madrid		6.3%
78.9%		14.8%
+830
-225
+775
-265
1
2		-0.37122-0.36976-0.23739
Valencia
Athletic Club		32.1%
39.9%		28.0%
+520
-153
+480
-160
2
2		-1.40222-1.40421-1.27322
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano		62.8%
16.0%		21.2%
+144
+241
+135
+235
2
2		-1.16774-1.18807-1.55159
Osasuna
Betis		31.9%
41.7%		26.4%
+315
+111
+313
+100
1
2		-0.75143-0.72875-0.87527
Sevilla
Cadiz		67.3%
12.0%		20.7%
+132
+290
+115
+275
2
2		-1.21743-1.23881-1.57344
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.80793 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.81029 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-2.04616
-1.23823
-1.23587

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.