Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Levante
Villarreal 		21.1%
56.5%		22.4%
+345
-135

1.06
1.88		2.94
o3-104
u3-115

Atlético Madrid
Valencia 		63.6%
14.7%		21.7%
+270
+103

1.88
0.77		2.65
o2½-118
u2½+100

Athletic Club
Alavés 		45.8%
26.5%		27.6%
+162
+169

1.35
0.96		2.31
o2½+102
u2½-118

Barcelona
Osasuna 		72.7%
10.5%		16.7%
-134
+338

2.37
0.78		3.15
o3-125
u3+105

Games for May 1, 2026
Games for May 3, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Elche
Atlético Madrid		5.7%
80.3%		14.0%
+1100
-383
+1175
-390
1
1		-1.86821-1.81788-1.96426
Alavés
Betis		24.4%
50.4%		25.1%
+373
-116
+350
-113
0
1		-0.65687-0.67970-0.68524
Osasuna
Real Madrid		9.2%
74.9%		15.8%
+1260
-460
+1200
-475
0
1		-0.23094-0.23398-0.28866
Betis
Elche		44.4%
28.9%		26.7%
+133
+235
+130
+225
1
1		-1.21557-1.22758-1.32167
Atlético Madrid
Espanyol		72.8%
9.0%		18.2%
-163
+510
-155
+510
1
2		-1.84024-1.82984-2.40872
Sevilla
Athletic Club		52.4%
21.8%		25.8%
+600
-180
+555
-175
2
3		-0.47692-0.49331-1.52482
Getafe
Celta Vigo		36.2%
33.6%		30.1%
+540
-145
+543
-150
2
0		-1.89114-1.89752-1.01492
Real Sociedad
Valencia		45.8%
28.3%		25.9%
+230
+150
+225
+150
1
1		-1.13435-1.13884-1.35220
Levante
Alavés		45.8%
27.7%		26.5%
+315
+108
+315
+115
1
2		-0.76602-0.79372-1.28349
Barcelona
Athletic Club		67.0%
13.5%		19.6%
+110
+240
+105
+225
3
0		-0.76327-0.76535-0.40121
Sevilla
Villarreal		40.0%
32.4%		27.6%
+332
-127
+450
-130
2
4		-0.60939-0.53931-1.12664
Celta Vigo
Getafe		27.0%
44.7%		28.3%
-131
+387
-130
+360
2
1		-0.60219-0.61865-1.30844
Osasuna
Alavés		39.9%
31.7%		28.4%
+140
+241
+135
+230
1
1		-1.20681-1.20775-1.25913
Valladolid
Leganés		31.6%
37.4%		31.0%
+860
-290
+875
-300
0
3		-0.32164-0.32149-0.98476
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid		19.3%
58.0%		22.7%
+660
-272
+700
-285
0
2		-0.34210-0.33917-0.54530
Valencia
Betis		37.6%
35.4%		27.0%
+275
-105
+273
-105
1
1		-1.39566-1.37753-1.30985
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.21261 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.22520 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.31093
-0.09832
-0.08573

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.