Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Levante
Villarreal 		21.1%
56.5%		22.4%
+345
-135

1.06
1.88		2.94
o3-104
u3-115

Atlético Madrid
Valencia 		63.6%
14.7%		21.7%
+270
+103

1.88
0.77		2.65
o2½-118
u2½+100

Athletic Club
Alavés 		45.8%
26.5%		27.6%
+162
+169

1.35
0.96		2.31
o2½+102
u2½-118

Barcelona
Osasuna 		72.7%
10.5%		16.7%
-117
+347

2.37
0.78		3.15
o3-116
u3+100

Games for May 1, 2026
Games for May 3, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Villarreal
Barcelona		15.9%
64.1%		19.9%
+330
-140
+300
-125
3
2		-1.49134-1.41614-1.83759
Espanyol
Osasuna		25.9%
47.2%		26.8%
+340
-105
+355
-115
0
2		-0.69391-0.66219-0.75012
Real Madrid
Sevilla		39.7%
31.7%		28.6%
+120
+220
+120
+224
2
0		-0.82162-0.81446-0.92337
Rayo Vallecano
Celta Vigo		25.9%
47.7%		26.4%
+342
-110
+335
-115
2
1		-1.50991-1.49437-1.35143
Athletic Club
Valencia		32.1%
39.9%		28.0%
+224
+155
+220
+155
1
0		-1.20915-1.20587-1.13582
Alavés
Valladolid		30.4%
40.4%		29.2%
-155
+500
-155
+475
1
0		-0.53088-0.54177-1.19083
Betis
Atlético Madrid		8.7%
75.4%		15.9%
+520
-185
+500
-180
1
4		-0.46424-0.47797-0.28247
Athletic Club
Getafe		33.9%
35.1%		30.9%
+194
+230
+185
+230
2
0		-1.10582-1.08512-1.08075
Barcelona
Espanyol		76.8%
8.0%		15.1%
-280
+700
-290
+670
2
0		-0.33906-0.34255-0.26341
Atlético Madrid
Osasuna		68.9%
11.7%		19.4%
+115
+275
+115
+280
0
2		-1.34316-1.36145-2.14635
Betis
Rayo Vallecano		43.7%
29.9%		26.4%
+130
+228
+140
+210
2
2		-1.25488-1.21362-1.33260
Valencia
Alavés		46.6%
26.8%		26.7%
+280
+134
+285
+125
0
1		-0.88489-0.85320-1.31864
Leganés
Villarreal		13.1%
66.9%		20.0%
+880
-325
+885
-335
0
3		-0.30113-0.30016-0.40158
Las Palmas
Sevilla		6.3%
79.7%		14.0%
+450
-143
+450
-145
0
1		-0.55340-0.56068-0.22701
Celta Vigo
Real Sociedad		15.5%
63.8%		20.7%
+233
+131
+220
+128
1
0		-1.23419-1.20738-1.86137
Osasuna
Betis		31.9%
41.7%		26.4%
+455
-155
+455
-160
1
1		-1.46085-1.43083-1.33306
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.21261 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.22520 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.31093
-0.09832
-0.08573

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.