Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Real Sociedad
Valladolid 		59.1%
18.1%		22.8%
+112
+322
+110
+299
1.80
0.89		2.69
o2-104
u2-115
o2+100
u2-115
Las Palmas
Osasuna 		17.2%
60.2%		22.6%
+335
-105
+337
-110
0.86
1.81		2.67
o2¼-108
u2¼-110
o2½+125
u2½-140
Espanyol
Real Madrid 		7.1%
78.4%		14.5%
+1500
-600
+1475
-625
0.60
2.48		3.08
o3¼-110
u3½-125
o3½+105
u3½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Real Madrid
Barcelona		28.2%
45.7%		26.1%
+178
+157
+171
+160
2
1		-1.04282-1.03167-1.26510
Cadiz
Valencia		18.9%
56.9%		24.1%
+490
-147
+475
-140
0
2		-0.55326-0.57343-0.56326
Athletic Club
Barcelona		9.7%
73.7%		16.5%
+333
-113
+330
-118
0
1		-0.66027-0.65352-0.30491
Alavés
Villarreal		12.7%
68.5%		18.8%
+308
+108
+300
+105
1
1		-1.25393-1.29638-1.66961
Atlético Madrid
Celta Vigo		70.8%
10.5%		18.7%
+123
+248
+118
+250
3
0		-0.81932-0.81303-0.34487
Real Madrid
Sevilla		39.7%
31.7%		28.6%
-134
+385
-135
+375
1
1		-1.43532-1.44872-1.25320
Betis
Getafe		30.5%
41.5%		28.0%
+236
+146
+220
+145
1
1		-1.16873-1.17151-1.27386
Granada
Osasuna		38.3%
34.3%		27.4%
+447
-143
+405
-145
0
2		-0.55314-0.56664-1.07137
Barcelona
Granada		67.8%
13.5%		18.7%
-229
+612
-250
+610
2
2		-1.69255-1.69500-1.67649
Getafe
Celta Vigo		36.2%
33.6%		30.1%
+340
+105
+335
+100
2
2		-1.21611-1.19369-1.20015
Betis
Alavés		41.4%
31.3%		27.3%
+208
+157
+190
+165
1
1		-1.19991-1.20811-1.29942
Real Sociedad
Atlético Madrid		17.6%
59.1%		23.3%
+332
+102
+340
+103
1
2		-0.72354-0.73068-0.52523
Las Palmas
Villarreal		8.2%
76.8%		14.9%
+458
-152
+456
-155
2
1		-1.73949-1.74669-2.49617
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla		8.7%
74.9%		16.4%
+356
-117
+335
-115
2
2		-1.34657-1.32463-1.80734
Osasuna
Real Madrid		9.2%
74.9%		15.8%
+1088
-366
+957
-345
0
4		-0.27222-0.29740-0.28866
Almería
Athletic Club		24.3%
49.6%		26.1%
+1000
-324
+900
-315
0
3		-0.29049-0.28851-0.70136
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.80793 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.81029 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-2.04616
-1.23823
-1.23587

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.