Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Levante
Villarreal 		21.1%
56.5%		22.4%
+345
-135

1.06
1.88		2.94
o3-104
u3-115

Atlético Madrid
Valencia 		63.6%
14.7%		21.7%
+270
+103

1.88
0.77		2.65
o2½-118
u2½+100

Athletic Club
Alavés 		45.8%
26.5%		27.6%
+162
+169

1.35
0.96		2.31
o2½+102
u2½-118

Barcelona
Osasuna 		72.7%
10.5%		16.7%
-117
+347

2.37
0.78		3.15
o3-116
u3+100

Games for May 1, 2026
Games for May 3, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Alavés
Athletic Club		20.4%
54.5%		25.1%
+392
+110
+390
+115
0
1		-0.76591-0.78294-0.60624
Real Madrid
Barcelona		28.2%
45.7%		26.1%
+278
-120
+250
-115
3
4		-0.63316-0.67002-0.78368
Real Sociedad
Atlético Madrid		17.6%
59.1%		23.3%
+405
-125
+370
-125
0
4		-0.61717-0.63660-0.52523
Sevilla
Celta Vigo		62.1%
15.9%		22.0%
+362
-115
+340
-115
2
3		-0.65291-0.65763-1.84017
Getafe
Valencia		28.8%
42.7%		28.4%
+370
+100
+350
+100
0
3		-0.72293-0.73205-0.85003
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad		21.6%
54.2%		24.3%
+220
+160
+225
+155
0
0		-1.12862-1.13128-1.41651
Betis
Espanyol		39.9%
32.4%		27.7%
+135
+248
+133
+240
2
1		-0.88727-0.88104-0.91799
Leganés
Sevilla		9.8%
71.0%		19.2%
+505
-155
+500
-145
2
2		-1.37456-1.34661-1.65188
Celta Vigo
Real Madrid		8.3%
76.6%		15.1%
+710
-260
+575
-255
2
3		-0.34335-0.37490-0.26606
Barcelona
Valladolid		76.8%
8.0%		15.1%
-300
+740
-320
+725
2
1		-0.32278-0.32052-0.26333
Valencia
Las Palmas		58.2%
18.6%		23.2%
+192
+162
+185
+155
3
2		-1.10570-1.09679-0.54178
Osasuna
Villarreal		17.5%
61.3%		21.1%
+660
-233
+640
-200
2
4		-0.38790-0.41555-0.48859
Atlético Madrid
Alavés		73.9%
8.6%		17.5%
+117
+287
+125
+270
0
0		-1.19439-1.17909-1.74206
Getafe
Rayo Vallecano		43.7%
27.6%		28.7%
+253
+142
+240
+140
0
1		-0.91864-0.91864-1.28721
Espanyol
Villarreal		13.3%
67.2%		19.5%
+665
-250
+580
-240
0
1		-0.37134-0.39990-0.39788
Rayo Vallecano
Atlético Madrid		5.8%
80.5%		13.7%
+600
-200
+600
-210
0
3		-0.43914-0.43348-0.21712
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.21261 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.22520 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.31093
-0.09832
-0.08573

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.