Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Real Sociedad
Valladolid 		59.1%
18.1%		22.8%
+128
+287
+110
+299
1.80
0.89		2.69
o2-102
u2-117
o2+100
u2-115
Las Palmas
Osasuna 		17.2%
60.2%		22.6%
+335
-103
+337
-110
0.86
1.81		2.67
o2¼-108
u2¼-110
o2½+125
u2½-140
Espanyol
Real Madrid 		7.1%
78.4%		14.5%
+1500
-600
+1475
-625
0.60
2.48		3.08
o3¼-110
u3½-122
o3½+105
u3½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Celta Vigo
Las Palmas		48.2%
25.1%		26.7%
+170
+200
+165
+190
1
2		-1.11957-1.11152-1.38127
Cadiz
Atlético Madrid		5.9%
79.2%		14.9%
+910
-295
+950
-315
2
3		-0.32551-0.31949-0.23316
Valencia
Betis		37.6%
35.4%		27.0%
+300
+117
+285
+115
0
3		-0.78226-0.79297-1.03761
Osasuna
Alavés		39.9%
31.7%		28.4%
+225
+154
+220
+160
2
0		-1.20751-1.19313-0.91824
Granada
Almería		41.6%
31.2%		27.2%
+290
-105
+290
-110
3
3		-1.35642-1.36156-1.30225
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad		21.6%
54.2%		24.3%
+266
+128
+247
+130
0
3		-0.85800-0.87254-0.61288
Villarreal
Getafe		48.2%
25.4%		26.4%
+182
+178
+175
+175
0
0		-1.17869-1.18228-1.33219
Sevilla
Barcelona		21.4%
54.2%		24.4%
+753
-275
+750
-293
0
1		-0.33287-0.33927-0.61304
Atlético Madrid
Osasuna		68.9%
11.7%		19.4%
+100
+335
-103
+310
2
0		-0.70388-0.71480-0.37285
Alavés
Celta Vigo		27.2%
45.3%		27.4%
+580
-158
+505
-160
1
1		-1.36708-1.37397-1.29386
Betis
Granada		28.0%
46.9%		25.1%
+163
+184
+161
+185
1
1		-1.26030-1.25152-1.38139
Rayo Vallecano
Cadiz		31.8%
38.6%		29.6%
+202
+171
+195
+162
0
0		-1.15607-1.17154-1.21608
Real Sociedad
Valencia		45.8%
28.3%		25.9%
+226
+158
+220
+145
1
0		-1.20058-1.21053-0.77986
Getafe
Athletic Club		28.5%
42.0%		29.4%
+685
-192
+700
-205
2
2		-1.44868-1.44185-1.22288
Las Palmas
Real Madrid		4.5%
84.4%		11.0%
+1588
-555
+1500
-575
0
2		-0.19221-0.19894-0.16909
Almería
Sevilla		11.5%
69.6%		18.9%
+432
-140
+425
-152
1
5		-0.55408-0.54829-0.36182
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.80793 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.81029 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-2.04616
-1.23823
-1.23587

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.