Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Real Sociedad
Valladolid 		59.1%
18.1%		22.8%
+130
+290
+130
+295
1.80
0.89		2.69
o2-102
u2-118
o2+100
u2-115
Las Palmas
Osasuna 		17.2%
60.2%		22.6%
+335
-103
+330
-110
0.86
1.81		2.67
o2¼-110
u2¼-105
o2½+125
u2½-140
Espanyol
Real Madrid 		7.1%
78.4%		14.5%
+1500
-600
+1475
-625
0.60
2.48		3.08
o3¼-110
u3½-122
o3½+105
u3½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid		29.4%
41.8%		28.8%
+163
+188
+155
+180
1
3		-1.07999-1.08063-0.87208
Granada
Las Palmas		58.5%
18.5%		23.0%
+315
-101
+285
-105
0
1		-0.69824-0.70899-1.68745
Cadiz
Betis		22.7%
52.1%		25.2%
+405
-121
+390
-125
1
1		-1.31405-1.30331-1.37845
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano		63.0%
16.2%		20.8%
+178
+160
+175
+150
1
1		-1.29266-1.30096-1.57128
Getafe
Real Sociedad		19.1%
56.7%		24.2%
+560
-140
+570
-150
3
4		-0.56755-0.56179-0.56733
Valencia
Almería		41.3%
31.3%		27.4%
+146
+205
+140
+195
2
2		-1.26440-1.27236-1.29634
Celta Vigo
Barcelona		6.8%
80.0%		13.2%
+900
-325
+800
-320
2
3		-0.29021-0.32377-0.22367
Sevilla
Osasuna		59.5%
17.7%		22.8%
+210
+156
+190
+150
0
0		-1.19935-1.22984-1.47955
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid		19.3%
58.0%		22.7%
+435
-140
+420
-137
1
2		-0.55542-0.58173-0.54530
Las Palmas
Sevilla		6.3%
79.7%		14.0%
+525
-152
+510
-170
0
1		-0.50683-0.49939-0.22701
Almería
Villarreal		15.5%
64.2%		20.3%
+557
-200
+525
-200
1
2		-0.42222-0.43178-0.44254
Osasuna
Getafe		29.5%
41.9%		28.6%
+215
+173
+212
+165
2
3		-1.03019-1.01297-0.87091
Betis
Barcelona		7.7%
78.9%		13.4%
+850
-255
+825
-310
0
5		-0.32245-0.31847-0.23733
Atlético Madrid
Valencia		63.6%
14.7%		21.7%
+120
+290
+120
+245
0
3		-1.36348-1.28913-1.91725
Cadiz
Athletic Club		18.9%
56.0%		25.1%
+600
-172
+500
-165
0
3		-0.48140-0.51849-0.58037
Alavés
Rayo Vallecano		33.3%
37.5%		29.2%
+361
+100
+325
+108
0
2		-0.71290-0.76053-0.98072
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.80793 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.81029 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-2.04616
-1.23823
-1.23587

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.