Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Levante
Villarreal 		21.1%
56.5%		22.4%
+354
-143

1.06
1.88		2.94
o3-105
u3-114

Atlético Madrid
Valencia 		63.6%
14.7%		21.7%
+271
-104

1.88
0.77		2.65
o2½-120
u2½+100

Athletic Club
Alavés 		45.8%
26.5%		27.6%
+166
+167

1.35
0.96		2.31
o2½+102
u2½-119

Barcelona
Osasuna 		72.7%
10.5%		16.7%
-117
+347

2.37
0.78		3.15
o3-116
u3+100

Games for May 1, 2026
Games for May 3, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Valladolid
Betis		25.6%
48.9%		25.5%
+1650
-600
+1625
-550
1
5		-0.18903-0.19207-0.71515
Sevilla
Osasuna		59.5%
17.7%		22.8%
+265
+132
+255
+130
0
1		-0.87393-0.88150-1.73206
Real Sociedad
Alavés		60.4%
17.2%		22.4%
+248
+137
+245
+145
0
1		-0.89732-0.92166-1.76014
Real Madrid
Getafe		64.0%
14.3%		21.6%
-158
+525
-160
+530
1
0		-0.52531-0.52211-0.44571
Las Palmas
Athletic Club		13.8%
65.2%		21.0%
+825
-265
+825
-295
0
1		-0.35491-0.33986-0.42826
Villarreal
Celta Vigo		55.5%
21.3%		23.2%
+197
+140
+176
+155
0
3		-0.90917-0.97947-1.54839
Espanyol
Valencia		21.4%
53.9%		24.7%
+335
+102
+325
+100
1
1		-1.23213-1.23155-1.39731
Athletic Club
Real Madrid		11.8%
69.3%		18.8%
+700
-230
+700
-195
0
1		-0.39516-0.41505-0.36619
Alavés
Sevilla		9.4%
72.9%		17.6%
+336
+110
+325
+110
1
1		-1.15913-1.14247-1.73557
Real Sociedad
Villarreal		33.0%
40.5%		26.5%
+425
-150
+375
-140
2
2		-1.44481-1.41001-1.32750
Osasuna
Valladolid		38.5%
32.9%		28.6%
-130
+425
-120
+410
3
2		-0.60197-0.62910-0.95433
Atlético Madrid
Las Palmas		80.2%
5.7%		14.0%
-160
+495
-160
+475
0
1		-1.81628-1.77904-2.85911
Celta Vigo
Barcelona		6.8%
80.0%		13.2%
+960
-400
+900
-390
3
4		-0.25773-0.27139-0.22367
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano		49.0%
25.4%		25.7%
+230
+145
+235
+130
1
1		-1.17564-1.19690-1.36039
Getafe
Espanyol		39.9%
29.8%		30.3%
+220
+190
+215
+180
0
1		-1.09880-1.07362-1.21234
Valladolid
Atlético Madrid		6.6%
78.2%		15.2%
+2600
-900
+2750
-925
2
4		-0.13938-0.14455-0.24594
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.21261 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.22520 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.31093
-0.09832
-0.08573

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.