Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Getafe
Atlético Madrid 		9.6%
70.8%		19.5%
+685
-175
+655
-175
0.57
1.97		2.54
o2-125
u2+106
o2-115
u2+105
Elche
Real Madrid 		6.1%
80.8%		13.2%
+740
-297
+1050
-320
0.58
2.61		3.19
o3¼-113
u3¼-105
o3½+115
u3½-130
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano		62.8%
16.0%		21.2%
+260
+144
+260
+140
2
2		-1.10806-1.11468-1.55159
Getafe
Osasuna		33.7%
36.5%		29.8%
+277
+137
+275
+140
2
1		-1.35290-1.35538-1.08631
Athletic Club
Sevilla		16.3%
60.8%		22.9%
+205
+165
+190
+180
1
0		-1.14769-1.09940-1.81100
Betis
Leganés		40.0%
31.4%		28.6%
+105
+305
+105
+300
3
2		-0.75052-0.75788-0.91522
Real Madrid
Villarreal		49.7%
25.4%		24.8%
+120
+222
+125
+205
2
1		-0.81973-0.85264-0.69870
Celta Vigo
Valladolid		35.3%
35.2%		29.4%
-132
+390
-135
+420
1
0		-0.59618-0.57723-1.04001
Alavés
Las Palmas		41.7%
29.4%		28.9%
+180
+187
+166
+195
2
2		-1.14131-1.14577-1.23974
Sevilla
Real Sociedad		39.3%
32.5%		28.2%
+228
+148
+235
+140
1
0		-1.22319-1.25110-0.93298
Las Palmas
Betis		16.7%
61.9%		21.4%
+910
-295
+900
-300
0
1		-0.32247-0.32563-0.47965
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid		6.2%
80.8%		12.9%
+1000
-345
+1000
-375
1
2		-0.28163-0.28238-0.21285
Atlético Madrid
Getafe		64.3%
13.0%		22.6%
-114
+415
-118
+405
1
2		-1.67302-1.66532-2.03638
Valladolid
Valencia		21.5%
54.0%		24.5%
+775
-237
+825
-260
1
2		-0.37758-0.36980-0.61630
Villarreal
Alavés		60.7%
17.4%		21.9%
+152
+212
+155
+200
0
1		-1.16726-1.14069-1.74979
Leganés
Celta Vigo		27.4%
43.9%		28.7%
+545
-175
+555
-185
1
2		-0.48669-0.48263-0.82280
Valencia
Osasuna		38.0%
34.3%		27.7%
+275
+120
+260
+120
3
3		-1.25966-1.21790-1.28197
Real Sociedad
Barcelona		16.1%
63.2%		20.6%
+1100
-393
+1100
-385
0
4		-0.26047-0.27379-0.45834
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.27414 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.28710 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.51759
-0.24345
-0.23049

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.