Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 16, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Levante
Alavés 		45.8%
27.7%		26.5%
+267
+120
+270
+118
1.44
1.05		2.49
o2+100
u2-120
o2+105
u2-120
Real Sociedad
Valencia 		45.8%
28.3%		25.9%
+209
+173
+210
+175
1.48
1.11		2.59
o1¾-122
u1¾+103
o2+125
u2-142
Games for Aug 15, 2025
Games for Aug 17, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Real Madrid
Las Palmas		80.7%
6.1%		13.2%
-305
+850
-315
+900
1
1		-1.76638-1.78886-2.02609
Espanyol
Atlético Madrid		6.6%
78.0%		15.4%
+1300
-385
+1300
-397
0
0		-1.80199-1.81388-1.87028
Alavés
Real Sociedad		12.6%
68.1%		19.3%
+575
-163
+577
-175
2
1		-1.93683-1.95411-2.07171
Valencia
Athletic Club		32.1%
39.9%		28.0%
+440
-137
+455
-140
0
1		-0.57755-0.56874-0.91917
Leganés
Valladolid		30.4%
39.1%		30.5%
+310
+120
+283
+120
0
0		-1.14112-1.14646-1.18872
Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano		79.4%
7.0%		13.5%
-145
+425
-150
+456
2
1		-0.53929-0.54025-0.23008
Celta Vigo
Villarreal		15.7%
64.0%		20.3%
+412
-150
+375
-135
3
4		-0.53832-0.58281-0.44613
Betis
Alavés		41.4%
31.3%		27.3%
+240
+145
+230
+140
0
0		-1.14482-1.17283-1.29942
Valladolid
Real Madrid		7.1%
78.5%		14.3%
+2100
-625
+1900
-835
0
3		-0.16112-0.16030-0.24151
Rayo Vallecano
Getafe		21.5%
52.3%		26.2%
+230
+170
+225
+165
0
0		-1.05268-1.07093-1.33758
Real Sociedad
Espanyol		59.0%
18.0%		23.0%
+120
+290
+115
+290
1
0		-0.81164-0.81164-0.52821
Athletic Club
Barcelona		9.7%
73.7%		16.5%
+475
-167
+440
-170
1
2		-0.50441-0.50994-0.30491
Villarreal
Sevilla		25.5%
48.9%		25.6%
+225
+120
+220
+120
2
1		-1.20925-1.20554-1.36787
Valencia
Celta Vigo		41.0%
31.7%		27.3%
+277
+115
+260
+110
1
3		-0.78966-0.79308-1.15021
Atlético Madrid
Villarreal		51.4%
23.1%		25.5%
+110
+258
+103
+260
2
2		-1.30759-1.33815-1.36610
Espanyol
Valladolid		31.3%
39.0%		29.6%
+287
+135
+270
+130
0
1		-0.88049-0.87601-0.94115
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.