Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Las Palmas
Osasuna 		17.2%
60.2%		22.6%
+335
-103
+330
-110
0.86
1.81		2.67
o2¼-108
u2¼-110
o2½+125
u2½-140
Espanyol
Real Madrid 		7.1%
78.4%		14.5%
+1500
-600
+1600
-670
0.60
2.48		3.08
o3¼-110
u3½-122
o3½+105
u3½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Real Sociedad
Valladolid 		59.1%
18.1%		22.8%
+120
+298
+115
+295
2.69
o2-102
u2-115
o2+100
u2-115
1st H
36:00		0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Barcelona
Osasuna		72.7%
10.5%		16.7%
-207
+585
-190
+575
2
1		-0.42883-0.44107-0.31837
Rayo Vallecano
Betis		23.1%
52.8%		24.1%
+306
+105
+290
+105
0
1		-0.74995-0.75547-0.63809
Valencia
Alavés		46.6%
26.8%		26.7%
+158
+231
+160
+210
0
1		-1.21973-1.17987-1.31864
Getafe
Real Madrid		10.5%
71.0%		18.5%
+950
-280
+925
-291
1
2		-0.33315-0.34025-0.34277
Granada
Real Sociedad		21.8%
54.7%		23.5%
+745
-230
+680
-225
3
5		-0.39319-0.41441-0.60278
Celta Vigo
Almería		32.4%
39.5%		28.1%
+155
+193
+150
+195
3
2		-0.96756-0.96192-1.12655
Villarreal
Cadiz		62.3%
16.0%		21.7%
+122
+227
+118
+235
1
3		-1.21976-1.24636-1.83008
Atlético Madrid
Rayo Vallecano		75.8%
7.9%		16.3%
+100
+315
+100
+310
7
0		-0.72764-0.73045-0.27676
Alavés
Getafe		22.7%
49.8%		27.5%
+275
+156
+265
+155
0
1		-0.96729-0.97864-0.69669
Betis
Athletic Club		27.9%
46.0%		26.1%
+323
-103
+320
-103
2
4		-0.71158-0.71321-0.77579
Osasuna
Valencia		27.2%
46.9%		25.9%
+440
-128
+425
-130
2
1		-1.72138-1.70435-1.30210
Barcelona
Villarreal		55.5%
21.6%		22.9%
+106
+256
+115
+241
4
3		-0.75726-0.79731-0.58857
Almería
Cadiz		38.0%
32.1%		29.8%
+267
+115
+242
+125
1
1		-1.25499-1.25425-1.20992
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo		70.5%
11.4%		18.0%
-125
+355
-120
+350
1
0		-0.61904-0.62995-0.34910
Real Sociedad
Las Palmas		70.4%
11.4%		18.3%
-105
+370
+100
+333
0
0		-1.23429-1.22734-1.69947
Rayo Vallecano
Granada		19.1%
58.2%		22.8%
+172
+191
+165
+190
2
0		-1.03392-1.00586-1.65763
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.80793 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.81029 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-2.04616
-1.23823
-1.23587

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.