Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Levante
Villarreal 		21.1%
56.5%		22.4%
+354
-143

1.06
1.88		2.94
o3-105
u3-114

Atlético Madrid
Valencia 		63.6%
14.7%		21.7%
+271
-104

1.88
0.77		2.65
o2½-120
u2½+100

Athletic Club
Alavés 		45.8%
26.5%		27.6%
+166
+167

1.35
0.96		2.31
o2½+102
u2½-119

Barcelona
Osasuna 		72.7%
10.5%		16.7%
-117
+347

2.37
0.78		3.15
o3-116
u3+100

Games for May 1, 2026
Games for May 3, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Club		19.2%
57.0%		23.8%
+440
-118
+435
-120
1
3		-0.63849-0.64542-0.56250
Villarreal
Betis		52.1%
24.3%		23.5%
+245
+120
+230
+115
2
1		-1.26805-1.24258-0.65143
Real Madrid
Alavés		74.0%
9.3%		16.7%
-140
+415
-140
+395
1
0		-0.56613-0.57375-0.30078
Barcelona
Leganés		76.2%
7.9%		15.9%
-380
+1000
-400
+965
1
0		-0.26715-0.26866-0.27163
Espanyol
Celta Vigo		28.2%
43.8%		27.9%
+490
-153
+540
-157
2
0		-1.80199-1.88282-1.26556
Las Palmas
Getafe		15.7%
60.6%		23.7%
+475
-140
+425
-140
3
1		-1.77638-1.70849-1.85304
Sevilla
Valencia		53.3%
21.9%		24.9%
+250
+135
+250
+138
0
1		-0.88271-0.89016-1.52060
Osasuna
Leganés		38.7%
31.7%		29.6%
+197
+179
+200
+168
1
1		-1.11535-1.12624-1.21834
Athletic Club
Villarreal		21.8%
54.2%		24.0%
+220
+137
+213
+135
0
0		-1.24136-1.25155-1.42820
Getafe
Valladolid		40.0%
30.0%		30.1%
+100
+378
+100
+350
4
0		-0.71947-0.74202-0.91732
Atlético Madrid
Sevilla		41.3%
28.9%		29.8%
+125
+266
+130
+257
2
1		-0.83142-0.85524-0.88399
Real Sociedad
Las Palmas		70.4%
11.4%		18.3%
+140
+224
+135
+260
3
1		-0.90612-0.86536-0.35162
Betis
Barcelona		7.7%
78.9%		13.4%
+675
-270
+700
-285
1
1		-1.78135-1.78767-2.00954
Valencia
Real Madrid		11.7%
70.3%		18.0%
+970
-345
+1000
-380
2
1		-2.39371-2.43840-2.14140
Las Palmas
Celta Vigo		19.1%
56.9%		24.0%
+515
-170
+500
-175
1
1		-1.45577-1.45685-1.42724
Sevilla
Betis		59.5%
18.2%		22.3%
+425
-130
+410
-130
1
2		-0.60572-0.61648-1.70243
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.21261 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.22520 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.31093
-0.09832
-0.08573

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.