Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Getafe
Atlético Madrid 		9.6%
70.8%		19.5%
+685
-170
+670
-180
0.57
1.97		2.54
o2-115
u2+106
o2-115
u2+105
Elche
Real Madrid 		6.1%
80.8%		13.2%
+740
-297
+1050
-320
0.58
2.61		3.19
o3¼-113
u3¼-102
o3½+115
u3½-130
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Athletic Club
Espanyol		44.4%
27.5%		28.1%
-125
+418
-130
+435
1
1		-1.29678-1.30019-1.26773
Valencia
Villarreal		21.9%
54.9%		23.2%
+418
-144
+410
-145
1
1		-1.41325-1.41399-1.46128
Celta Vigo
Atlético Madrid		7.6%
76.6%		15.8%
+790
-248
+775
-263
1
1		-1.63414-1.63122-1.84674
Real Madrid
Osasuna		68.3%
12.8%		18.8%
-215
+585
-225
+560
1
1		-1.62136-1.64424-1.66993
Alavés
Leganés		30.5%
38.7%		30.8%
+130
+283
+130
+285
3
3		-1.12741-1.10331-1.17772
Barcelona
Sevilla		45.3%
27.8%		26.9%
-220
+565
-230
+625
4
1		-0.40444-0.38607-0.79275
Espanyol
Real Sociedad		13.2%
66.8%		19.9%
+505
-150
+575
-160
1
2		-0.54576-0.52232-0.40294
Leganés
Valencia		20.8%
53.7%		25.5%
+462
-128
+440
-128
0
2		-0.60611-0.62144-0.62206
Getafe
Alavés		41.3%
28.8%		29.8%
+307
+133
+300
+130
1
0		-1.43763-1.42134-0.88365
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid		33.7%
36.3%		30.0%
+273
-102
+300
-105
1
1		-1.37251-1.36004-1.20547
Villarreal
Las Palmas		70.7%
11.4%		17.8%
-157
+450
-170
+460
2
1		-0.52319-0.51061-0.34655
Betis
Celta Vigo		35.9%
36.5%		27.6%
+272
+115
+265
+110
2
3		-0.79314-0.78946-1.00736
Valladolid
Rayo Vallecano		34.5%
36.1%		29.3%
+750
-235
+770
-240
0
1		-0.38596-0.39285-1.01774
Athletic Club
Betis		37.1%
35.1%		27.8%
+138
+220
+140
+218
2
2		-1.22902-1.20587-1.28049
Real Sociedad
Osasuna		52.4%
23.3%		24.3%
+152
+220
+155
+215
1
2		-1.19660-1.18945-1.45766
Celta Vigo
Valencia		24.7%
50.0%		25.2%
+267
+125
+263
+125
1
2		-0.84669-0.85257-0.69241
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.27414 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.28710 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.51759
-0.24345
-0.23049

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.