Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Levante
Villarreal 		21.1%
56.5%		22.4%
+354
-143

1.06
1.88		2.94
o3-105
u3-114

Atlético Madrid
Valencia 		63.6%
14.7%		21.7%
+271
-104

1.88
0.77		2.65
o2½-120
u2½+100

Athletic Club
Alavés 		45.8%
26.5%		27.6%
+166
+167

1.35
0.96		2.31
o2½+102
u2½-119

Barcelona
Osasuna 		72.7%
10.5%		16.7%
-122
+347

2.37
0.78		3.15
o3-116
u3+100

Games for May 1, 2026
Games for May 3, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Osasuna
Athletic Club		27.0%
46.2%		26.8%
+625
-193
+675
-215
0
0		-1.50521-1.51077-1.31774
Villarreal
Getafe		48.2%
25.4%		26.4%
+142
+237
+135
+240
2
1		-0.91083-0.89578-0.72965
Leganés
Real Madrid		7.0%
77.8%		15.1%
+1750
-480
+1600
-525
2
3		-0.19586-0.19418-0.25068
Rayo Vallecano
Alavés		30.2%
41.2%		28.5%
+325
+115
+310
+115
2
0		-1.47482-1.44723-1.19663
Atlético Madrid
Espanyol		72.8%
9.0%		18.2%
-150
+495
-150
+480
1
1		-1.35592-1.32991-1.70545
Valladolid
Real Sociedad		13.3%
67.0%		19.7%
+960
-265
+890
-280
1
2		-0.35059-0.35054-0.40087
Osasuna
Barcelona		7.6%
78.5%		13.9%
+1450
-480
+1200
-515
0
3		-0.21015-0.22401-0.24184
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid		33.5%
37.1%		29.4%
+121
+215
+120
+215
4
2		-0.82759-0.83704-1.09383
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano		62.8%
16.0%		21.2%
+260
+144
+260
+140
2
2		-1.10806-1.11468-1.55159
Getafe
Osasuna		33.7%
36.5%		29.8%
+277
+137
+275
+140
2
1		-1.35290-1.35538-1.08631
Athletic Club
Sevilla		16.3%
60.8%		22.9%
+205
+165
+190
+180
1
0		-1.14769-1.09940-1.81100
Betis
Leganés		40.0%
31.4%		28.6%
+105
+305
+105
+300
3
2		-0.75052-0.75788-0.91522
Real Madrid
Villarreal		49.7%
25.4%		24.8%
+120
+222
+125
+205
2
1		-0.81973-0.85264-0.69870
Celta Vigo
Valladolid		35.3%
35.2%		29.4%
-132
+390
-135
+420
1
0		-0.59618-0.57723-1.04001
Alavés
Las Palmas		41.7%
29.4%		28.9%
+180
+187
+166
+195
2
2		-1.14131-1.14577-1.23974
Sevilla
Real Sociedad		39.3%
32.5%		28.2%
+228
+148
+235
+140
1
0		-1.22319-1.25110-0.93298
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.21261 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.22520 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.31093
-0.09832
-0.08573

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.