Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Espanyol
Real Madrid 		7.1%
78.4%		14.5%
+1650
-625
+1600
-700
0.60
2.48		3.08
o3¼-110
u3½-122
o3½+105
u3½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Las Palmas
Osasuna 		17.2%
60.2%		22.6%
+360
-110
+340
-115
2.67
o2¼-108
u2½-122
o2½+120
u2½-125
1st H
00:05		0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Rayo Vallecano
Granada		19.1%
58.2%		22.8%
+172
+191
+165
+190
2
0		-1.03392-1.00586-1.65763
Sevilla
Alavés		66.4%
12.9%		20.7%
+148
+235
+140
+250
3
4		-1.23812-1.28258-2.04616
Atlético Madrid
Betis		69.1%
12.0%		18.9%
+105
+281
+104
+285
0
0		-1.30859-1.27740-1.66627
Cadiz
Barcelona		5.2%
82.6%		12.2%
+1200
-405
+1250
-425
0
2		-0.25521-0.25039-0.19120
Athletic Club
Osasuna		37.5%
33.9%		28.6%
+175
+196
+178
+185
2
0		-1.04580-1.06543-0.98152
Real Madrid
Almería		70.7%
11.3%		18.0%
-240
+605
-245
+675
3
1		-0.38236-0.37151-0.34677
Celta Vigo
Real Sociedad		15.5%
63.8%		20.7%
+525
-145
+475
-148
1
1		-1.32021-1.32825-1.57552
Las Palmas
Valencia		13.7%
66.2%		20.1%
+533
-168
+550
-180
0
1		-0.50127-0.49050-0.41309
Granada
Atlético Madrid		10.8%
70.7%		18.4%
+945
-315
+880
-330
1
3		-0.30248-0.31409-0.34620
Alavés
Cadiz		32.9%
36.2%		30.9%
+286
+128
+265
+130
0
1		-0.85470-0.87955-1.01495
Barcelona
Getafe		68.7%
11.9%		19.4%
-195
+640
-185
+575
0
0		-1.46512-1.42296-1.63969
Betis
Villarreal		18.1%
61.2%		20.8%
+375
-137
+355
-135
2
1		-1.59008-1.56456-1.71064
Osasuna
Celta Vigo		34.8%
37.0%		28.2%
+295
+112
+290
+115
2
0		-1.40125-1.39922-1.05509
Real Madrid
Athletic Club		61.8%
16.2%		21.9%
+116
+245
+118
+235
2
0		-0.80403-0.82533-0.48056
Valencia
Sevilla		16.3%
61.7%		21.9%
+360
-108
+330
-105
2
1		-1.55221-1.49673-1.81253
Valencia
Betis		37.6%
35.4%		27.0%
+157
+204
+150
+195
1
1		-1.21480-1.24577-1.30985
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.98366 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.99086 
DRatings20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.76196
-0.77830
-0.77109

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.