Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Levante
Villarreal 		21.1%
56.5%		22.4%
+354
-143

1.06
1.88		2.94
o3-105
u3-114

Atlético Madrid
Valencia 		63.6%
14.7%		21.7%
+271
-104

1.88
0.77		2.65
o2½-120
u2½+100

Athletic Club
Alavés 		45.8%
26.5%		27.6%
+166
+167

1.35
0.96		2.31
o2½+102
u2½-119

Barcelona
Osasuna 		72.7%
10.5%		16.7%
-122
+347

2.37
0.78		3.15
o3-116
u3+100

Games for May 1, 2026
Games for May 3, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Las Palmas
Betis		16.7%
61.9%		21.4%
+910
-295
+900
-300
0
1		-0.32247-0.32563-0.47965
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid		6.2%
80.8%		12.9%
+1000
-345
+1000
-375
1
2		-0.28163-0.28238-0.21285
Atlético Madrid
Getafe		64.3%
13.0%		22.6%
-114
+415
-118
+405
1
2		-1.67302-1.66532-2.03638
Valladolid
Valencia		21.5%
54.0%		24.5%
+775
-237
+825
-260
1
2		-0.37758-0.36980-0.61630
Villarreal
Alavés		60.7%
17.4%		21.9%
+152
+212
+155
+200
0
1		-1.16726-1.14069-1.74979
Leganés
Celta Vigo		27.4%
43.9%		28.7%
+545
-175
+555
-185
1
2		-0.48669-0.48263-0.82280
Valencia
Osasuna		38.0%
34.3%		27.7%
+275
+120
+260
+120
3
3		-1.25966-1.21790-1.28197
Real Sociedad
Barcelona		16.1%
63.2%		20.6%
+1100
-393
+1100
-385
0
4		-0.26047-0.27379-0.45834
Getafe
Leganés		39.9%
28.8%		31.3%
+190
+211
+187
+205
0
1		-1.16421-1.15429-1.24344
Athletic Club
Atlético Madrid		10.8%
69.6%		19.6%
+274
+115
+295
+110
0
1		-0.80038-0.76942-0.36268
Real Madrid
Betis		68.4%
13.2%		18.4%
-105
+305
-110
+282
1
2		-1.41741-1.38786-2.02791
Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano		68.6%
12.0%		19.4%
+215
+158
+220
+150
1
1		-1.14753-1.16587-1.63948
Las Palmas
Valladolid		22.0%
51.9%		26.1%
+157
+208
+152
+215
1
1		-1.17818-1.17866-1.34228
Leganés
Real Sociedad		13.0%
66.5%		20.5%
+545
-157
+600
-170
0
3		-0.52152-0.50104-0.40753
Betis
Getafe		30.5%
41.5%		28.0%
+181
+197
+180
+200
2
1		-1.06424-1.05866-1.18862
Valladolid
Athletic Club		21.4%
53.2%		25.5%
+1600
-515
+1500
-520
1
7		-0.21290-0.21428-0.63205
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.21261 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.22520 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.31093
-0.09832
-0.08573

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.