Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Espanyol
Real Madrid 		7.1%
78.4%		14.5%
+1700
-625
+1725
-700
0.60
2.48		3.08
o3¼-110
u3½-120
o3½+105
u3½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Valencia
Betis		37.6%
35.4%		27.0%
+157
+204
+150
+195
1
1		-1.21480-1.24577-1.30985
Getafe
Valladolid		40.0%
30.0%		30.1%
+325
+100
+310
+100
0
0		-1.23794-1.22895-1.20188
Cadiz
Elche		31.7%
37.9%		30.4%
+200
+161
+200
+155
1
1		-1.21322-1.20045-1.19056
Barcelona
Celta Vigo		74.6%
9.4%		15.9%
+148
+182
+145
+175
1
2		-1.07175-1.05999-2.36478
Sevilla
Real Sociedad		39.3%
32.5%		28.2%
+465
-158
+450
-165
1
2		-0.51748-0.52388-1.12467
Athletic Club
Real Madrid		11.8%
69.3%		18.8%
+397
-150
+375
-150
1
1		-1.49183-1.48259-1.67078
Atlético Madrid
Villarreal		51.4%
23.1%		25.5%
+149
+172
+145
+165
2
2		-1.36692-1.37259-1.36610
Celta Vigo
Cadiz		38.6%
31.9%		29.5%
+219
+164
+200
+155
0
1		-0.98862-0.98808-1.14140
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano		63.0%
16.2%		20.8%
+129
+210
+125
+190
1
2		-1.14759-1.11581-1.81985
Espanyol
Valencia		21.4%
53.9%		24.7%
+281
+110
+320
-110
2
2		-1.28096-1.31983-1.39731
Elche
Athletic Club		18.5%
57.4%		24.1%
+739
-253
+720
-275
1
0		-2.15485-2.14892-1.68745
Real Sociedad
Atlético Madrid		17.6%
59.1%		23.3%
+259
+134
+240
+130
1
2		-0.86365-0.87347-0.52523
Valladolid
Almería		28.7%
43.5%		27.8%
+239
+128
+235
+115
0
0		-1.27189-1.30092-1.27898
Osasuna
Getafe		29.5%
41.9%		28.6%
+267
+154
+235
+145
1
2		-0.94788-0.94631-0.87091
Real Madrid
Sevilla		39.7%
31.7%		28.6%
+127
+214
+125
+205
2
1		-0.85442-0.86353-0.92337
Athletic Club
Osasuna		37.5%
33.9%		28.6%
+142
+223
+120
+240
0
2		-1.19534-1.27418-1.08190
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.87860 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.88320 
DRatings31-1-1 (0.500)0-1.34407
-0.46547
-0.46087

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.