Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 17, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Getafe
Celta Vigo 		36.2%
33.6%		30.1%
+475
-131
+450
-135
1.07
1.01		2.08
o2-120
u2+100
o2-120
u2+100
Sevilla
Athletic Club 		52.4%
21.8%		25.8%
+490
-158
+490
-165
1.54
0.88		2.42
o2¼-108
u2¼-112
o2½+125
u2½-130
Atlético Madrid
Espanyol 		72.8%
9.0%		18.2%
-172
+589
-175
+545
2.09
0.58		2.67
o2¼-102
u2¼-115
o2-140
u2½-140
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Aug 16, 2025
Games for Aug 18, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Real Sociedad
Barcelona		16.1%
63.2%		20.6%
+400
-140
+405
-135
0
2		-0.57362-0.58152-0.45834
Almería
Betis		28.9%
45.1%		26.0%
+677
-250
+700
-269
2
3		-0.36938-0.36136-0.79709
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia		19.2%
57.8%		23.0%
+267
+128
+265
+125
0
0		-1.17555-1.16488-1.47133
Celta Vigo
Atlético Madrid		7.6%
76.6%		15.8%
+710
-245
+740
-270
0
1		-0.37535-0.36271-0.26694
Getafe
Cadiz		43.0%
26.9%		30.0%
+295
+113
+278
+120
0
1		-0.78148-0.81862-1.31200
Osasuna
Athletic Club		27.0%
46.2%		26.8%
+845
-240
+830
-240
2
2		-1.55813-1.54778-1.31774
Real Madrid
Granada		62.7%
16.3%		21.0%
-173
+445
-175
+440
4
0		-0.48569-0.49722-0.46657
Sevilla
Villarreal		40.0%
32.4%		27.6%
+268
+101
+270
-103
2
3		-0.72348-0.71650-1.12664
Granada
Sevilla		16.4%
61.7%		21.8%
+415
-144
+394
-145
0
3		-0.55520-0.57086-0.48250
Alavés
Valencia		20.5%
55.4%		24.1%
+290
+122
+305
+118
1
0		-1.38015-1.43167-1.58685
Villarreal
Celta Vigo		55.5%
21.3%		23.2%
+160
+175
+160
+170
2
3		-1.03358-1.02402-1.54839
Betis
Osasuna		33.4%
39.8%		26.9%
+135
+238
+135
+222
2
0		-0.87854-0.89637-1.09805
Cadiz
Real Madrid		6.3%
79.8%		13.9%
+885
-275
+800
-290
0
3		-0.34442-0.34579-0.22546
Las Palmas
Real Sociedad		8.2%
76.4%		15.3%
+1025
-300
+875
-295
0
2		-0.31840-0.34013-0.26885
Athletic Club
Getafe		33.9%
35.1%		30.9%
+118
+280
+110
+290
2
0		-0.81313-0.78794-1.08075
Valencia
Barcelona		9.6%
74.6%		15.8%
+835
-315
+825
-305
2
4		-0.31057-0.32569-0.29296
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.95018 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.96628 
DRatings20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.31784
-0.36766
-0.35156

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.