Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Getafe
Atlético Madrid 		9.6%
70.8%		19.5%
+685
-168
+670
-170
0.57
1.97		2.54
o2-112
u2+106
o2-115
u2+100
Elche
Real Madrid 		6.1%
80.8%		13.2%
+740
-297
+825
-320
0.58
2.61		3.19
o3¼-113
u3¼-102
o3½+115
u3½-130
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Alavés
Barcelona		5.6%
82.2%		12.2%
+1775
-625
+1500
-594
0
1		-0.17458-0.19445-0.19620
Real Madrid
Espanyol		72.9%
9.8%		17.3%
-335
+930
-345
+915
0
1		-2.36276-2.35852-2.32760
Valladolid
Villarreal		13.4%
67.3%		19.3%
+1350
-475
+1400
-530
1
5		-0.21905-0.21503-0.39602
Sevilla
Getafe		54.9%
19.3%		25.7%
+212
+173
+210
+170
0
0		-1.08895-1.09020-1.35712
Celta Vigo
Alavés		36.7%
34.0%		29.2%
+253
+132
+233
+140
1
1		-1.17866-1.18123-1.22953
Valencia
Barcelona		9.6%
74.6%		15.8%
+1200
-435
+1175
-460
1
7		-0.23926-0.24154-0.29296
Leganés
Athletic Club		20.7%
52.7%		26.6%
+990
-277
+1000
-300
0
0		-1.61934-1.63327-1.32471
Getafe
Real Sociedad		19.1%
56.7%		24.2%
+443
-106
+470
-110
3
0		-1.72350-1.77797-1.65637
Real Madrid
Valladolid		73.1%
9.8%		17.1%
-445
+1275
-450
+1225
3
0		-0.23431-0.24163-0.31357
Espanyol
Sevilla		9.9%
71.8%		18.3%
+415
-130
+435
-135
1
1		-1.31946-1.32950-1.69947
Villarreal
Atlético Madrid		17.4%
60.0%		22.7%
+305
+101
+320
-105
1
1		-1.30291-1.34838-1.48479
Osasuna
Las Palmas		51.6%
22.9%		25.5%
+219
+142
+200
+150
1
1		-1.21033-1.19696-1.36661
Real Sociedad
Valencia		45.8%
28.3%		25.9%
+165
+225
+165
+205
0
1		-1.20811-1.16398-1.26298
Rayo Vallecano
Osasuna		23.6%
51.3%		25.0%
+250
+132
+245
+130
1
1		-1.18104-1.18866-1.38458
Las Palmas
Real Madrid		4.5%
84.4%		11.0%
+1650
-600
+1650
-690
1
4		-0.18903-0.18111-0.16909
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo		40.5%
31.3%		28.2%
+133
+240
+180
+223
2
1		-0.87187-1.00373-0.90444
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.27414 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.28710 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.51759
-0.24345
-0.23049

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.