Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 17, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Getafe
Celta Vigo 		36.2%
33.6%		30.1%
+560
-134
+450
-135
1.07
1.01		2.08
o2-120
u2+100
o2-120
u2+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Sevilla
Athletic Club 		52.4%
21.8%		25.8%
+530
-160
+495
-165
1.54
0.88		2.42
o2¼-105
u2¼+100
o2½+125
u2½-130
Atlético Madrid
Espanyol 		72.8%
9.0%		18.2%
-158
+525
-175
+545
2.09
0.58		2.67
o2¼-102
u2¼+100
o2-140
u2½-140
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Aug 16, 2025
Games for Aug 18, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sevilla
Betis		59.5%
18.2%		22.3%
+315
+105
+290
+103
1
1		-1.25889-1.26603-1.50018
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal		11.7%
70.6%		17.7%
+353
-120
+346
-125
0
3		-0.63175-0.62982-0.34845
Osasuna
Granada		27.1%
47.3%		25.6%
+240
+142
+240
+135
0
3		-0.91325-0.90084-0.74819
Athletic Club
Atlético Madrid		10.8%
69.6%		19.6%
+310
-102
+315
-110
1
3		-0.70958-0.69433-0.36268
Celta Vigo
Alavés		36.7%
34.0%		29.2%
+197
+170
+190
+170
0
3		-1.01749-1.03541-1.07752
Getafe
Almería		36.5%
33.3%		30.2%
+195
+160
+187
+160
3
1		-1.11261-1.08975-1.00747
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad		49.0%
25.6%		25.4%
+233
+135
+222
+140
1
0		-1.23412-1.20835-0.71282
Barcelona
Real Madrid		36.8%
35.4%		27.8%
+335
-138
+340
-138
2
3		-0.57887-0.57882-1.03877
Atlético Madrid
Alavés		73.9%
8.6%		17.5%
-125
+440
-125
+410
0
2		-1.71247-1.67815-2.45865
Villarreal
Almería		55.8%
21.0%		23.2%
-102
+257
-105
+250
2
1		-0.71184-0.71584-0.58429
Real Sociedad
Getafe		48.0%
25.0%		26.9%
+125
+280
+115
+301
1
1		-1.15002-1.14536-1.31264
Betis
Valencia		28.1%
46.6%		25.3%
+185
+177
+190
+173
2
1		-1.08119-1.10295-1.26954
Osasuna
Rayo Vallecano		42.3%
30.4%		27.3%
+325
+115
+320
+110
1
2		-0.79334-0.78220-1.19109
Las Palmas
Celta Vigo		19.1%
56.9%		24.0%
+460
-147
+460
-150
1
4		-0.54863-0.55172-0.56449
Granada
Athletic Club		32.4%
39.8%		27.8%
+1000
-340
+1050
-360
1
1		-1.80042-1.81327-1.27834
Valencia
Osasuna		38.0%
34.3%		27.7%
+240
+144
+245
+140
1
0		-1.25509-1.27744-0.96874
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.95018 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.96628 
DRatings20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.31784
-0.36766
-0.35156

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.