Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Levante
Villarreal 		21.1%
56.5%		22.4%
+354
-143

1.06
1.88		2.94
o3-105
u3-114

Atlético Madrid
Valencia 		63.6%
14.7%		21.7%
+271
-104

1.88
0.77		2.65
o2½-120
u2½+100

Athletic Club
Alavés 		45.8%
26.5%		27.6%
+166
+167

1.35
0.96		2.31
o2½+102
u2½-119

Barcelona
Osasuna 		72.7%
10.5%		16.7%
-122
+347

2.37
0.78		3.15
o3-116
u3+100

Games for May 1, 2026
Games for May 3, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Barcelona
Las Palmas		83.4%
5.1%		11.5%
-425
+1050
-430
+1025
2
0		-0.24515-0.25126-0.18161
Atlético Madrid
Valencia		63.6%
14.7%		21.7%
+106
+315
+110
+300
3
0		-0.75713-0.77525-0.45224
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano		63.0%
16.2%		20.8%
+167
+178
+155
+180
1
0		-1.01603-0.98449-0.46191
Espanyol
Alavés		32.4%
37.6%		30.0%
+435
-113
+440
-120
1
0		-1.71136-1.72862-1.12599
Osasuna
Celta Vigo		34.8%
37.0%		28.2%
+432
-138
+425
-140
0
1		-0.57551-0.57868-0.99450
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona		5.1%
83.7%		11.2%
+1250
-480
+1200
-510
0
1		-0.22363-0.22432-0.17831
Real Sociedad
Betis		52.1%
24.0%		23.9%
+240
+140
+225
+140
0
3		-0.90138-0.91644-1.42637
Sevilla
Valladolid		65.2%
13.6%		21.1%
+100
+328
-105
+310
4
0		-0.72478-0.71803-0.42733
Athletic Club
Espanyol		44.4%
27.5%		28.1%
-125
+418
-130
+435
1
1		-1.29678-1.30019-1.26773
Valencia
Villarreal		21.9%
54.9%		23.2%
+418
-144
+410
-145
1
1		-1.41325-1.41399-1.46128
Celta Vigo
Atlético Madrid		7.6%
76.6%		15.8%
+790
-248
+775
-263
1
1		-1.63414-1.63122-1.84674
Real Madrid
Osasuna		68.3%
12.8%		18.8%
-215
+585
-225
+560
1
1		-1.62136-1.64424-1.66993
Alavés
Leganés		30.5%
38.7%		30.8%
+130
+283
+130
+285
3
3		-1.12741-1.10331-1.17772
Barcelona
Sevilla		45.3%
27.8%		26.9%
-220
+565
-230
+625
4
1		-0.40444-0.38607-0.79275
Espanyol
Real Sociedad		13.2%
66.8%		19.9%
+505
-150
+575
-160
1
2		-0.54576-0.52232-0.40294
Leganés
Valencia		20.8%
53.7%		25.5%
+462
-128
+440
-128
0
2		-0.60611-0.62144-0.62206
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.21261 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.22520 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.31093
-0.09832
-0.08573

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.