Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Leganés
Getafe 		22.9%
48.2%		29.0%
+400
+109
+390
+106
0.79
1.28		2.07
o1¾+100
u1¾-118
o1½-135
u1½+120
Celta Vigo
Athletic Club 		24.6%
49.3%		26.1%
+395
-138
+380
-145
0.97
1.50		2.47
o2¾-105
u2¾-112
o2½-130
u2½+110
Barcelona
Villarreal 		55.5%
21.6%		22.9%
-115
+290
-115
+282
1.83
1.05		2.88
o3½+101
u3½-120
o3½+100
u3½-120
Atlético Madrid
Rayo Vallecano 		75.8%
7.9%		16.3%
-118
+375
-125
+380
2.27
0.59		2.86
o2¼-105
u2¼-112
o2½+130
u2½-145
Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 24, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Espanyol
Real Madrid 		7.1%
78.4%		14.5%
+2000
-625
+2250
-915
3.08
o3¼-110
u3½-115
o3½+100
u3½-108
2nd H
70:00		1
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Getafe
Betis		33.5%
37.9%		28.6%
+281
+135
+260
+130
1
0		-1.35872-1.33120-1.09279
Atlético Madrid
Espanyol		72.8%
9.0%		18.2%
+145
+200
+130
+215
3
3		-1.30405-1.25846-1.70545
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid		6.2%
80.8%		12.9%
+677
-245
+600
-245
1
2		-0.37048-0.39020-0.21285
Cadiz
Villarreal		11.7%
69.7%		18.6%
+549
-206
+560
-210
0
2		-0.42185-0.43703-0.36073
Sevilla
Elche		68.7%
11.6%		19.7%
+113
+269
+100
+275
1
1		-1.28273-1.31420-1.62653
Barcelona
Valladolid		76.8%
8.0%		15.1%
-103
+287
-105
+265
1
3		-1.37393-1.34289-2.52049
Almería
Real Sociedad		15.3%
64.0%		20.7%
+806
-251
+750
-275
0
1		-0.35297-0.35988-0.44665
Betis
Sevilla		13.3%
67.4%		19.2%
+276
+110
+250
+120
0
0		-1.30063-1.24698-1.64865
Real Madrid
Valencia		62.7%
16.2%		21.1%
+126
+230
+120
+220
0
1		-1.20604-1.20701-1.82183
Osasuna
Atlético Madrid		8.5%
75.0%		16.4%
+605
-204
+560
-225
0
3		-0.42425-0.41857-0.28712
Real Sociedad
Barcelona		16.1%
63.2%		20.6%
+419
-131
+365
-135
2
1		-1.66279-1.57867-1.82350
Elche
Getafe		20.7%
52.7%		26.6%
+539
-150
+550
-175
1
1		-1.34465-1.42570-1.32347
Celta Vigo
Athletic Club		24.6%
49.3%		26.1%
+484
-151
+415
-140
1
2		-0.53572-0.58918-0.70696
Valladolid
Cadiz		34.0%
34.9%		31.0%
+248
+118
+260
+110
0
2		-0.80670-0.79308-1.05185
Rayo Vallecano
Betis		23.1%
52.8%		24.1%
+265
+118
+260
+110
1
3		-0.80162-0.79308-0.63809
Barcelona
Espanyol		76.8%
8.0%		15.1%
-182
+532
-205
+525
4
2		-0.46197-0.44791-0.26341
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.91394 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.91966 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.99302
-0.07909
-0.07337

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.