Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Leganés
Getafe 		22.9%
48.2%		29.0%
+400
+109
+390
+106
0.79
1.28		2.07
o1¾+100
u1¾-118
o1½-135
u1½+120
Celta Vigo
Athletic Club 		24.6%
49.3%		26.1%
+395
-138
+380
-145
0.97
1.50		2.47
o2¾-105
u2¾-112
o2½-130
u2½+110
Barcelona
Villarreal 		55.5%
21.6%		22.9%
-115
+290
-115
+282
1.83
1.05		2.88
o3½+101
u3½-120
o3½+100
u3½-120
Atlético Madrid
Rayo Vallecano 		75.8%
7.9%		16.3%
-118
+375
-125
+380
2.27
0.59		2.86
o2¼-105
u2¼-112
o2½+130
u2½-145
Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 24, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Barcelona
Espanyol		76.8%
8.0%		15.1%
-182
+532
-205
+525
4
2		-0.46197-0.44791-0.26341
Sevilla
Valladolid		65.2%
13.6%		21.1%
+200
+153
+195
+145
3
0		-1.11856-1.12646-0.42733
Atlético Madrid
Elche		75.7%
7.7%		16.6%
-235
+675
-250
+650
0
1		-2.06917-2.06530-2.56395
Valencia
Celta Vigo		41.0%
31.7%		27.3%
+245
+129
+240
+125
2
1		-1.26224-1.27357-0.89082
Getafe
Real Madrid		10.5%
71.0%		18.5%
+545
-164
+470
-160
0
1		-0.49604-0.53485-0.34277
Athletic Club
Villarreal		21.8%
54.2%		24.0%
+242
+120
+245
+110
1
5		-0.81063-0.79239-0.61238
Almería
Osasuna		29.4%
43.5%		27.1%
+305
-107
+290
-110
1
3		-0.68252-0.69589-0.83147
Valladolid
Rayo Vallecano		34.5%
36.1%		29.3%
+317
-103
+315
-110
1
2		-0.69796-0.69587-1.01774
Betis
Athletic Club		27.9%
46.0%		26.1%
+512
-152
+440
-150
1
0		-1.82984-1.73693-1.27626
Espanyol
Sevilla		9.9%
71.8%		18.3%
+362
-116
+355
-125
2
3		-0.63820-0.63592-0.33155
Cadiz
Atlético Madrid		5.9%
79.2%		14.9%
+1068
-327
+950
-350
1
5		-0.28895-0.29023-0.23316
Celta Vigo
Getafe		27.0%
44.7%		28.3%
+204
+181
+195
+175
0
1		-1.05785-1.05794-0.80524
Villarreal
Valencia		45.8%
28.6%		25.6%
+192
+162
+175
+155
1
1		-1.23347-1.27247-1.36176
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad		49.0%
25.6%		25.4%
+240
+139
+210
+140
0
2		-0.88673-0.92591-1.36234
Osasuna
Barcelona		7.6%
78.5%		13.9%
+1884
-610
+1700
-650
0
1		-0.17538-0.19309-0.24184
Elche
Almería		25.3%
47.9%		26.8%
+400
-140
+380
-145
1
2		-0.56414-0.57346-0.73587
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.66371 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.66204 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.74329
-0.07958
-0.08125

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.