Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Getafe
Atlético Madrid 		9.6%
70.8%		19.5%
+615
-158
+670
-170
0.57
1.97		2.54
o2-110
u2-105
o2-115
u2+100
Elche
Real Madrid 		6.1%
80.8%		13.2%
+785
-300
+825
-320
0.58
2.61		3.19
o3¼-113
u3¼-105
o3½+115
u3½-130
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Athletic Club
Osasuna		37.5%
33.9%		28.6%
+105
+357
+105
+315
2
1		-0.73489-0.75828-0.98152
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo		55.3%
21.0%		23.7%
+197
+185
+187
+190
0
2		-1.06802-1.08043-1.56022
Valencia
Espanyol		45.1%
27.7%		27.2%
+227
+157
+225
+150
1
1		-1.12649-1.12741-1.30243
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal		11.7%
70.6%		17.7%
+390
-132
+375
-130
1
1		-1.39002-1.37318-1.73330
Leganés
Barcelona		5.8%
80.9%		13.3%
+1850
-800
+1950
-800
1
0		-3.00518-3.05061-2.84284
Betis
Villarreal		18.1%
61.2%		20.8%
+300
-106
+295
-115
2
1		-1.40703-1.41911-1.71064
Las Palmas
Real Sociedad		8.2%
76.4%		15.3%
+1000
-297
+1000
-305
0
0		-1.67948-1.65250-1.87445
Athletic Club
Alavés		45.8%
26.5%		27.6%
+115
+320
+115
+325
1
1		-1.16790-1.14303-1.28696
Getafe
Atlético Madrid		9.6%
70.8%		19.5%
+1200
-290
+900
-255
0
1		-0.30900-0.37692-0.34470
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano		75.9%
8.6%		15.5%
-192
+600
-180
+550
3
3		-1.49103-1.47845-1.86124
Celta Vigo
Sevilla		11.6%
69.5%		18.9%
+195
+165
+190
+160
0
1		-1.00299-1.00133-0.36407
Osasuna
Espanyol		38.5%
32.7%		28.8%
+180
+180
+175
+182
0
0		-1.18961-1.17144-1.24361
Valencia
Valladolid		45.1%
27.9%		27.0%
+142
+235
+145
+220
0
1		-1.23774-1.21470-1.27611
Espanyol
Getafe		23.5%
48.3%		28.1%
+525
-120
+560
-120
0
1		-0.63378-0.63599-0.72693
Sevilla
Atlético Madrid		22.7%
49.8%		27.5%
+853
-261
+865
-265
3
4		-0.35586-0.35335-0.69691
Alavés
Osasuna		24.9%
48.7%		26.3%
+280
+125
+265
+125
2
2		-1.16114-1.18264-1.33518
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.27414 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.28710 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.51759
-0.24345
-0.23049

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.