Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Levante
Villarreal 		21.1%
56.5%		22.4%
+354
-143

1.06
1.88		2.94
o3-105
u3-114

Atlético Madrid
Valencia 		63.6%
14.7%		21.7%
+271
-104

1.88
0.77		2.65
o2½-120
u2½+100

Athletic Club
Alavés 		45.8%
26.5%		27.6%
+166
+167

1.35
0.96		2.31
o2½+102
u2½-119

Barcelona
Osasuna 		72.7%
10.5%		16.7%
-122
+347

2.37
0.78		3.15
o3-116
u3+100

Games for May 1, 2026
Games for May 3, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Getafe
Alavés		41.3%
28.8%		29.8%
+307
+133
+300
+130
1
0		-1.43763-1.42134-0.88365
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid		33.7%
36.3%		30.0%
+273
-102
+300
-105
1
1		-1.37251-1.36004-1.20547
Villarreal
Las Palmas		70.7%
11.4%		17.8%
-157
+450
-170
+460
2
1		-0.52319-0.51061-0.34655
Betis
Celta Vigo		35.9%
36.5%		27.6%
+272
+115
+265
+110
2
3		-0.79314-0.78946-1.00736
Valladolid
Rayo Vallecano		34.5%
36.1%		29.3%
+750
-235
+770
-240
0
1		-0.38596-0.39285-1.01774
Athletic Club
Betis		37.1%
35.1%		27.8%
+138
+220
+140
+218
2
2		-1.22902-1.20587-1.28049
Real Sociedad
Osasuna		52.4%
23.3%		24.3%
+152
+220
+155
+215
1
2		-1.19660-1.18945-1.45766
Celta Vigo
Valencia		24.7%
50.0%		25.2%
+267
+125
+263
+125
1
2		-0.84669-0.85257-0.69241
Alavés
Barcelona		5.6%
82.2%		12.2%
+1775
-625
+1500
-594
0
1		-0.17458-0.19445-0.19620
Real Madrid
Espanyol		72.9%
9.8%		17.3%
-335
+930
-345
+915
0
1		-2.36276-2.35852-2.32760
Valladolid
Villarreal		13.4%
67.3%		19.3%
+1350
-475
+1400
-530
1
5		-0.21905-0.21503-0.39602
Sevilla
Getafe		54.9%
19.3%		25.7%
+212
+173
+210
+170
0
0		-1.08895-1.09020-1.35712
Celta Vigo
Alavés		36.7%
34.0%		29.2%
+253
+132
+233
+140
1
1		-1.17866-1.18123-1.22953
Valencia
Barcelona		9.6%
74.6%		15.8%
+1200
-435
+1175
-460
1
7		-0.23926-0.24154-0.29296
Leganés
Athletic Club		20.7%
52.7%		26.6%
+990
-277
+1000
-300
0
0		-1.61934-1.63327-1.32471
Getafe
Real Sociedad		19.1%
56.7%		24.2%
+443
-106
+470
-110
3
0		-1.72350-1.77797-1.65637
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.21261 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.22520 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.31093
-0.09832
-0.08573

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.