Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 17, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sevilla
Athletic Club 		52.4%
21.8%		25.8%
+535
-155
+495
-160
1.54
0.88		2.42
o2¼-102
u2¼-117
o2½+130
u2½-150
Atlético Madrid
Espanyol 		72.8%
9.0%		18.2%
-157
+495
-170
+510
2.09
0.58		2.67
o2½-108
u2½-111
o2½-110
u2½-105
Games for Aug 16, 2025
Games for Aug 18, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Getafe
Celta Vigo 		36.2%
33.6%		30.1%
+540
-145
+543
-150
2.08
o2-108
u2-108
o2-120
u2+100
1st H
39:00		0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Almería
Real Sociedad		15.3%
64.0%		20.7%
+1140
-335
+1129
-350
2
2		-1.75169-1.74491-1.57644
Villarreal
Athletic Club		45.2%
28.4%		26.4%
+455
-163
+438
-165
1
1		-1.49063-1.47142-1.33143
Alavés
Granada		20.3%
55.7%		23.9%
+165
+205
+190
+175
0
2		-1.14256-1.04728-0.58456
Sevilla
Las Palmas		74.8%
8.5%		16.7%
+162
+195
+160
+189
2
0		-0.98216-0.99774-0.29099
Barcelona
Cadiz		78.3%
7.1%		14.6%
+100
+290
+110
+310
1
0		-0.72902-0.75184-0.24421
Getafe
Rayo Vallecano		43.7%
27.6%		28.7%
+274
+133
+273
+130
0
0		-1.16133-1.14097-1.24737
Celta Vigo
Betis		29.2%
44.8%		26.0%
+345
-110
+300
-105
1
2		-0.67109-0.70824-0.80399
Valencia
Granada		32.3%
40.7%		27.0%
+150
+221
+145
+215
1
0		-0.94487-0.94415-1.12945
Atlético Madrid
Villarreal		51.4%
23.1%		25.5%
+110
+255
+120
+210
2
1		-0.76970-0.83829-0.66582
Athletic Club
Real Madrid		11.8%
69.3%		18.8%
+490
-175
+475
-165
0
2		-0.48711-0.50785-0.36619
Real Sociedad
Alavés		60.4%
17.2%		22.4%
+120
+305
+120
+290
1
0		-0.81735-0.83718-0.50382
Rayo Vallecano
Celta Vigo		25.9%
47.7%		26.4%
+347
-107
+340
-106
0
0		-1.29916-1.26954-1.33287
Las Palmas
Barcelona		3.8%
86.5%		9.6%
+975
-385
+925
-390
0
1		-0.26635-0.26904-0.14466
Osasuna
Almería		35.1%
36.6%		28.3%
+200
+150
+190
+155
3
0		-1.13345-1.10660-1.04660
Sevilla
Getafe		54.9%
19.3%		25.7%
+200
+167
+205
+160
1
0		-1.13271-1.14662-0.59904
Granada
Cadiz		48.6%
24.7%		26.7%
+410
-115
+390
-110
0
1		-0.65913-0.67708-1.39748
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.95018 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.96628 
DRatings20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.31784
-0.36766
-0.35156

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.