Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Getafe
Atlético Madrid 		9.6%
70.8%		19.5%
+600
-157
+670
-160
0.57
1.97		2.54
o2-112
u2-107
o2-115
u2+100
Elche
Real Madrid 		6.1%
80.8%		13.2%
+785
-300
+825
-325
0.58
2.61		3.19
o3¼-113
u3¼-105
o3½+115
u3½-130
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Villarreal
Athletic Club		45.2%
28.4%		26.4%
+375
-118
+335
-120
0
2		-0.63565-0.65427-1.25818
Real Sociedad
Leganés		58.8%
17.6%		23.6%
-125
+510
-105
+427
3
0		-0.61926-0.68826-0.53072
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia		19.2%
57.8%		23.0%
+285
+125
+270
+125
1
0		-1.37964-1.35004-1.65078
Barcelona
Betis		73.0%
10.8%		16.2%
-193
+505
-185
+475
2
2		-1.63317-1.58270-1.81825
Valladolid
Las Palmas		43.2%
28.2%		28.5%
+485
-152
+505
-150
1
2		-0.53561-0.54576-1.26408
Real Madrid
Athletic Club		61.8%
16.2%		21.9%
+128
+235
+120
+230
1
2		-1.23970-1.24026-1.81948
Osasuna
Sevilla		13.0%
67.3%		19.7%
+304
+100
+305
+100
1
1		-1.27927-1.27447-1.62547
Betis
Real Sociedad		17.9%
61.0%		21.1%
+497
-145
+450
-145
0
2		-0.55019-0.56405-0.49454
Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano		48.2%
25.2%		26.5%
+152
+235
+145
+235
2
1		-0.94202-0.93006-0.72880
Getafe
Real Madrid		10.5%
71.0%		18.5%
+1000
-290
+1025
-300
0
2		-0.32164-0.32584-0.34277
Atlético Madrid
Valladolid		73.1%
9.0%		17.9%
-218
+675
-230
+680
5
0		-0.40901-0.40971-0.31396
Celta Vigo
Espanyol		35.3%
35.0%		29.7%
+120
+278
+120
+260
1
3		-1.35162-1.32017-1.04996
Leganés
Alavés		31.5%
37.7%		30.9%
+480
-122
+470
-125
1
1		-1.19703-1.20574-1.17587
Las Palmas
Barcelona		3.8%
86.5%		9.6%
+1850
-675
+1950
-750
2
1		-2.99753-3.05676-3.26283
Real Sociedad
Athletic Club		45.2%
28.1%		26.7%
+270
+138
+260
+140
0
1		-0.89610-0.90835-1.27090
Real Madrid
Leganés		72.4%
9.6%		17.9%
-300
+940
-260
+840
3
0		-0.32365-0.35362-0.32238
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.27414 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.28710 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.51759
-0.24345
-0.23049

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.