Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Leganés
Getafe 		22.9%
48.2%		29.0%
+400
+110
+390
+106
0.79
1.28		2.07
o1¾+100
u1¾-118
o1½-135
u1½+120
Celta Vigo
Athletic Club 		24.6%
49.3%		26.1%
+395
-138
+380
-145
0.97
1.50		2.47
o2¾-105
u2¾-112
o2½-130
u2½+110
Barcelona
Villarreal 		55.5%
21.6%		22.9%
-115
+300
-115
+282
1.83
1.05		2.88
o3½+102
u3½-121
o3½+100
u3½-120
Atlético Madrid
Rayo Vallecano 		75.8%
7.9%		16.3%
-118
+375
-125
+380
2.27
0.59		2.86
o2¼-105
u2¼-112
o2½+130
u2½-145
Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 24, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Atlético Madrid
Valladolid		73.1%
9.0%		17.9%
-145
+446
-150
+400
5
2		-0.54739-0.55961-0.31396
Getafe
Espanyol		39.9%
29.8%		30.3%
+246
+152
+235
+140
0
1		-0.94325-0.92821-1.21234
Celta Vigo
Villarreal		15.7%
64.0%		20.3%
+461
-152
+360
-135
1
3		-0.52489-0.60462-0.44613
Valencia
Cadiz		48.3%
24.8%		26.9%
+165
+214
+160
+190
1
2		-1.16870-1.11541-1.39251
Betis
Barcelona		7.7%
78.9%		13.4%
+744
-251
+600
-250
0
4		-0.35632-0.38652-0.23733
Almería
Real Madrid		8.2%
76.8%		15.1%
+1887
-725
+1250
-675
2
4		-0.15792-0.18722-0.26460
Rayo Vallecano
Elche		32.5%
38.3%		29.2%
+106
+299
-125
+350
0
4		-1.41186-1.55452-0.96032
Real Sociedad
Osasuna		52.4%
23.3%		24.3%
+130
+295
+120
+265
2
0		-0.84756-0.83829-0.64674
Sevilla
Athletic Club		52.4%
21.8%		25.8%
+397
-125
+360
-125
1
0		-1.63368-1.57557-0.64569
Valladolid
Valencia		21.5%
54.0%		24.5%
+435
-138
+390
-140
1
2		-0.56791-0.58834-0.61630
Espanyol
Villarreal		13.3%
67.2%		19.5%
+526
-182
+510
-190
2
4		-0.46488-0.47322-0.39788
Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano		79.4%
7.0%		13.5%
-136
+425
-135
+385
1
2		-1.67793-1.62862-2.65712
Elche
Celta Vigo		25.0%
48.3%		26.7%
+817
-261
+800
-280
0
1		-0.34842-0.35415-0.72737
Almería
Getafe		26.7%
45.0%		28.3%
+385
-115
+380
-125
2
1		-1.60147-1.61702-1.32017
Real Sociedad
Betis		52.1%
24.0%		23.9%
+174
+198
+170
+180
0
0		-1.16523-1.18026-1.43054
Osasuna
Cadiz		41.8%
29.6%		28.5%
+338
+105
+300
+110
1
0		-1.49691-1.42425-0.87156
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.66371 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.66204 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.74329
-0.07958
-0.08125

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.