Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Getafe
Atlético Madrid 		9.6%
70.8%		19.5%
+600
-157
+570
-160
0.57
1.97		2.54
o2-108
u2-110
o2-110
u2-105
Elche
Real Madrid 		6.1%
80.8%		13.2%
+785
-300
+750
-320
0.58
2.61		3.19
o3¼-113
u3¼-105
o3½+115
u3½-130
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla		8.7%
74.9%		16.4%
+305
+108
+310
+105
0
1		-0.75394-0.75649-0.28960
Villarreal
Osasuna		52.5%
23.6%		23.9%
+175
+168
+170
+155
2
2		-1.24573-1.28942-1.43054
Barcelona
Celta Vigo		74.6%
9.4%		15.9%
-140
+360
-145
+345
2
2		-1.49134-1.50657-1.83596
Alavés
Atlético Madrid		6.3%
78.9%		14.8%
+755
-215
+850
-230
1
2		-0.40836-0.39263-0.23739
Betis
Valencia		28.1%
46.6%		25.3%
+222
+155
+210
+170
2
4		-0.96622-1.02357-0.76312
Valladolid
Getafe		23.7%
48.4%		27.8%
+600
-152
+550
-145
0
2		-0.53290-0.56777-0.72470
Barcelona
Real Sociedad		54.6%
21.8%		23.5%
-114
+312
-115
+320
0
1		-1.45043-1.46404-1.52262
Athletic Club
Valladolid		44.4%
27.7%		27.9%
-105
+350
-110
+370
1
1		-1.25190-1.24344-1.27622
Celta Vigo
Betis		29.2%
44.8%		26.0%
+268
+117
+280
+100
2
2		-1.23957-1.30048-1.34688
Sevilla
Leganés		64.4%
13.3%		22.3%
+170
+210
+180
+196
0
1		-1.15201-1.12421-2.01823
Alavés
Villarreal		12.7%
68.5%		18.8%
+520
-170
+525
-180
0
3		-0.49686-0.48472-0.37880
Osasuna
Real Madrid		9.2%
74.9%		15.8%
+1150
-360
+1075
-415
0
4		-0.26261-0.26199-0.28866
Getafe
Celta Vigo		36.2%
33.6%		30.1%
+333
+111
+305
+115
0
1		-0.77892-0.79452-1.08969
Betis
Athletic Club		27.9%
46.0%		26.1%
+343
-110
+335
-115
1
1		-1.31796-1.30203-1.34504
Real Sociedad
Sevilla		25.6%
48.2%		26.2%
+138
+240
+135
+235
2
0		-0.89353-0.89509-1.36184
Espanyol
Barcelona		5.9%
81.5%		12.6%
+1700
-650
+1900
-700
1
3		-0.16509-0.15822-0.20417
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.27414 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.28710 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.51759
-0.24345
-0.23049

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.