Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Leganés
Getafe 		22.9%
48.2%		29.0%
+400
+110
+390
+106
0.79
1.28		2.07
o1¾+100
u1¾-118
o1½-135
u1½+120
Celta Vigo
Athletic Club 		24.6%
49.3%		26.1%
+395
-138
+380
-145
0.97
1.50		2.47
o2¾-105
u2¾-112
o2½-130
u2½+110
Barcelona
Villarreal 		55.5%
21.6%		22.9%
-125
+320
-115
+282
1.83
1.05		2.88
o3½+100
u3½-119
o3½+100
u3½-120
Atlético Madrid
Rayo Vallecano 		75.8%
7.9%		16.3%
-123
+391
-125
+380
2.27
0.59		2.86
o2¼-106
u2¼-112
o2½+130
u2½-145
Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 24, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Villarreal
Sevilla		25.5%
48.9%		25.6%
+156
+203
+160
+175
1
2		-1.12325-1.06161-0.71529
Atlético Madrid
Barcelona		30.0%
41.6%		28.4%
+331
+102
+305
-105
0
1		-0.71988-0.72091-0.87616
Valencia
Elche		49.6%
24.5%		25.9%
-110
+345
-115
+325
2
0		-0.67260-0.67627-0.70138
Celta Vigo
Real Madrid		8.3%
76.6%		15.1%
+1046
-360
+870
-350
0
2		-0.26902-0.30322-0.26606
Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad		11.7%
70.2%		18.1%
+540
-150
+460
-150
1
2		-0.53004-0.56203-0.35315
Athletic Club
Almería		40.8%
31.0%		28.2%
-138
+415
-140
+400
2
1		-0.56752-0.58780-0.89730
Betis
Osasuna		33.4%
39.8%		26.9%
+237
+141
+200
+150
2
3		-0.90352-0.96582-0.92171
Cadiz
Espanyol		28.4%
41.9%		29.6%
+315
+100

0
0		-1.25822-1.21618
Sevilla
Valencia		53.3%
21.9%		24.9%
+273
+123
+315
+105
2
0		-1.33397-1.45440-0.62978
Almería
Atlético Madrid		7.6%
76.7%		15.8%
+1315
-425
+1250
-500
1
2		-0.23097-0.23136-0.26587
Barcelona
Getafe		68.7%
11.9%		19.4%
-123
+432
-140
+425
0
0		-1.28793-1.33124-1.63969
Real Madrid
Cadiz		74.9%
8.6%		16.5%
-172
+532
-185
+500
2
0		-0.47857-0.48196-0.28954
Espanyol
Betis		25.4%
48.9%		25.7%
+310
+105
+315
-105
1
3		-0.74335-0.71943-0.71592
Real Sociedad
Athletic Club		45.2%
28.1%		26.7%
+290
+127
+270
+125
0
2		-0.84427-0.85786-1.27090
Valladolid
Villarreal		13.4%
67.3%		19.3%
+600
-206
+550
-210
2
1		-1.96998-1.92155-2.01021
Osasuna
Rayo Vallecano		42.3%
30.4%		27.3%
+345
+110
+305
+105
1
2		-0.74587-0.76871-1.19109
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.66371 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.66204 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.74329
-0.07958
-0.08125

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.