Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 14, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo 		40.5%
31.3%		28.2%
+169
+185
+170
+180
1.24
1.06		2.30
o2¼-110
u2¼-110
o2½+120
u2½-140
Villarreal
Levante 		47.3%
27.9%		24.9%
-140
+356
-150
+350
1.59
1.16		2.75
o2¾-122
u2¾+103
o3+100
u3-115
Real Madrid
Alavés 		74.0%
9.3%		16.7%
-165
+494
-164
+475
2.30
0.68		2.98
o2¾-102
u2¾-117
o2½-115
u2½+105
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Espanyol
Atlético Madrid		6.6%
78.0%		15.4%
+1300
-385
+1300
-397
0
0		-1.80199-1.81388-1.87028
Alavés
Real Sociedad		12.6%
68.1%		19.3%
+575
-163
+577
-175
2
1		-1.93683-1.95411-2.07171
Valencia
Athletic Club		32.1%
39.9%		28.0%
+440
-137
+455
-140
0
1		-0.57755-0.56874-0.91917
Leganés
Valladolid		30.4%
39.1%		30.5%
+310
+120
+283
+120
0
0		-1.14112-1.14646-1.18872
Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano		79.4%
7.0%		13.5%
-145
+425
-150
+456
2
1		-0.53929-0.54025-0.23008
Celta Vigo
Villarreal		15.7%
64.0%		20.3%
+412
-150
+375
-135
3
4		-0.53832-0.58281-0.44613
Betis
Alavés		41.4%
31.3%		27.3%
+240
+145
+230
+140
0
0		-1.14482-1.17283-1.29942
Valladolid
Real Madrid		7.1%
78.5%		14.3%
+2100
-625
+1900
-835
0
3		-0.16112-0.16030-0.24151
Rayo Vallecano
Getafe		21.5%
52.3%		26.2%
+230
+170
+225
+165
0
0		-1.05268-1.07093-1.33758
Real Sociedad
Espanyol		59.0%
18.0%		23.0%
+120
+290
+115
+290
1
0		-0.81164-0.81164-0.52821
Athletic Club
Barcelona		9.7%
73.7%		16.5%
+475
-167
+440
-170
1
2		-0.50441-0.50994-0.30491
Villarreal
Sevilla		25.5%
48.9%		25.6%
+225
+120
+220
+120
2
1		-1.20925-1.20554-1.36787
Valencia
Celta Vigo		41.0%
31.7%		27.3%
+277
+115
+260
+110
1
3		-0.78966-0.79308-1.15021
Atlético Madrid
Villarreal		51.4%
23.1%		25.5%
+110
+258
+103
+260
2
2		-1.30759-1.33815-1.36610
Espanyol
Valladolid		31.3%
39.0%		29.6%
+287
+135
+270
+130
0
1		-0.88049-0.87601-0.94115
Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad		11.7%
70.2%		18.1%
+483
-130
+510
-135
2
1		-1.78928-1.83214-2.14815
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.57870 
Sportsbooks32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.57733 
DRatings32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.67847
-0.09977
-0.10115

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.