Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Leganés
Getafe 		22.9%
48.2%		29.0%
+385
+110
+390
+106
0.79
1.28		2.07
o1¾+100
u1¾-118
o1½-135
u1½+120
Celta Vigo
Athletic Club 		24.6%
49.3%		26.1%
+403
-140
+380
-145
0.97
1.50		2.47
o2¾-105
u2¾-112
o2½-130
u2½+110
Barcelona
Villarreal 		55.5%
21.6%		22.9%
-125
+320
-115
+311
1.83
1.05		2.88
o3½+102
u3½-116
o3½+100
u3½-120
Atlético Madrid
Rayo Vallecano 		75.8%
7.9%		16.3%
-123
+391
-125
+380
2.27
0.59		2.86
o2¼-106
u2¼-112
o2½+130
u2½-145
Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 24, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Atlético Madrid
Rayo Vallecano		75.8%
7.9%		16.3%
-115
+383
-125
+375
2
1		-0.65297-0.63828-0.27676
Valencia
Almería		41.3%
31.3%		27.4%
+123
+242
+125
+215
1
2		-1.25822-1.19786-1.16146
Cadiz
Betis		22.7%
52.1%		25.2%
+488
-148
+460
-150
2
0		-1.79776-1.77396-1.48479
Villarreal
Real Madrid		19.1%
58.7%		22.1%
+526
-200
+500
-205
3
2		-1.86627-1.84200-1.65349
Getafe
Real Sociedad		19.1%
56.7%		24.2%
+525
-132
+510
-140
0
2		-0.58675-0.58807-0.56733
Athletic Club
Espanyol		44.4%
27.5%		28.1%
+111
+315
+105
+295
2
1		-0.76904-0.76992-0.81283
Elche
Osasuna		22.8%
51.7%		25.5%
+404
-120
+420
-135
1
2		-0.63137-0.60547-0.65888
Celta Vigo
Sevilla		11.6%
69.5%		18.9%
+228
+141
+245
+115
2
2		-1.21652-1.26104-1.66633
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia		19.2%
57.8%		23.0%
+316
+110
+285
+110
1
1		-1.21335-1.21043-1.47133
Betis
Atlético Madrid		8.7%
75.4%		15.9%
+850
-246
+800
-240
0
1		-0.36370-0.38211-0.28247
Real Sociedad
Villarreal		33.0%
40.5%		26.5%
+209
+165
+200
+160
0
2		-0.99482-1.00550-0.90404
Valladolid
Real Madrid		7.1%
78.5%		14.3%
+1404
-546
+1245
-520
0
6		-0.19846-0.22654-0.24151
Almería
Celta Vigo		31.8%
40.2%		28.0%
+575
-192
+550
-200
2
2		-1.54886-1.51036-1.27157
Barcelona
Elche		79.4%
6.8%		13.7%
-320
+1062
-310
+800
4
0		-0.29507-0.32745-0.23007
Sevilla
Cadiz		67.3%
12.0%		20.7%
+139
+253
+135
+240
2
0		-0.89028-0.90084-0.39610
Getafe
Athletic Club		28.5%
42.0%		29.4%
+533
-137
+470
-145
0
0		-1.27429-1.30442-1.22288
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.66371 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.66204 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.74329
-0.07958
-0.08125

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.