Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Getafe
Atlético Madrid 		9.6%
70.8%		19.5%
+600
-155
+570
-160
0.57
1.97		2.54
o2-108
u2-110
o2-115
u2-105
Elche
Real Madrid 		6.1%
80.8%		13.2%
+785
-300
+750
-320
0.58
2.61		3.19
o3¼-105
u3¼-107
o3½+115
u3½-130
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Las Palmas
Atlético Madrid		4.3%
83.8%		11.9%
+900
-305
+1050
-373
0
2		-0.31474-0.28020-0.17707
Valladolid
Osasuna		26.1%
47.3%		26.6%
+475
-145
+490
-160
0
1		-0.55642-0.53577-0.74883
Osasuna
Real Sociedad		17.4%
61.1%		21.5%
+522
-157
+515
-150
2
0		-1.85867-1.84187-1.75054
Atlético Madrid
Betis		69.1%
12.0%		18.9%
+122
+262
+120
+235
0
1		-1.31137-1.25924-2.12085
Valencia
Getafe		34.4%
35.7%		29.8%
+383
+108
+369
+105
1
1		-1.09682-1.09790-1.20915
Celta Vigo
Leganés		35.5%
34.0%		30.5%
+120
+270
+130
+245
0
3		-1.33579-1.27018-1.07931
Barcelona
Real Madrid		36.8%
35.4%		27.8%
+235
+102
+250
+100
4
0		-1.24012-1.27909-0.99956
Alavés
Rayo Vallecano		33.3%
37.5%		29.2%
+357
+100
+330
+100
0
1		-0.72398-0.73262-0.98072
Villarreal
Valladolid		59.3%
18.3%		22.4%
+100
+295
-105
+292
2
1		-0.71631-0.70593-0.52214
Sevilla
Espanyol		65.1%
13.6%		21.4%
+150
+211
+146
+200
2
0		-0.94056-0.94660-0.42995
Las Palmas
Valencia		13.7%
66.2%		20.1%
+385
-111
+375
-110
3
2		-1.60083-1.59480-1.98683
Sevilla
Barcelona		21.4%
54.2%		24.4%
+975
-350
+865
-350
1
5		-0.28546-0.29827-0.61304
Getafe
Villarreal		19.3%
57.0%		23.7%
+395
-120
+365
-115
1
1		-1.29572-1.29810-1.43944
Leganés
Atlético Madrid		6.6%
77.0%		16.4%
+810
-233
+800
-250
1
3		-0.39084-0.38537-0.26113
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo		70.5%
11.4%		18.0%
-180
+540
-175
+468
2
1		-0.45820-0.48700-0.34910
Betis
Osasuna		33.4%
39.8%		26.9%
+228
+145
+215
+145
2
1		-1.21023-1.18016-1.09805
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.27414 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.28710 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.51759
-0.24345
-0.23049

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.